It’s time to embarrass the lot of us once again as we review THT’s preseason predictions for the 2013 playoffs and the major awards. And since we have a sabermetric focus around these parts, I’ll apply a (debatably rational) formula to determine who did the best with his picks. To spread the wealth, I’ll separate the postseason from the awards so we can have two winners.
2013 playoffs recap
The scoring system for the postseason is fairly straightforward. Picking a team to win its division is worth two points, as is correctly choosing a Wild Card winner. If someone picks a team to be a Wild Card, and that squad actually won its division, I’ll also give one point. Vice versa if a Wild Card winner is picked to win its division. (Maybe this isn’t so straightforward after all…)
Since all I asked for in the spring was pennant winners and World Series champs, we’ll give four points for making the finals and eight points for winning the world title. (If you click on this link and scroll to the bottom, you’ll see that those last two categories earned points for but a solitary soul, but those points turned out to be key.)
And now the results.
Staffer Points Paul Francis Sullivan 13 Dave Studeman 12 Chris Jaffe 11 Jeffrey Gross 11 Matt Hunter 10 Jason Linden 9 John Barten 9 Steve Treder 9 Bruce Markusen 8 Doug Wachter 8 Jack Weiland 8 Matt Filippi 8 Brad Johnson 7 Dan Lependorf 7 Greg Simons 7 James Gentile 7 Mike Clark 7 Sam Hendrickson 7 Shane Tourtellotte 7 Joe Distelheim 6 Nick Fleder 5
Paul Francis Sullivan was the only one of us to correctly predict the St. Louis Cardinals as a World Series participant, and not one of us expected the Boston Red Sox to win it all. That prescient insight pushed Sully past our head honcho, Dave Studeman, and into first place. Chris Jaffe and Jeffrey Gross will have to split the bronze medal for third.
Oh, and don’t consult Nick Fleder (well, any of us, really) before heading to Vegas to place your preseason bets.
The scoring methodology for the awards is a bit complicated. I think it’s about equally as important to have gotten any one of the awards correct. However, the ballot lengths are not the same for each award, and every player (theoretically) has a chance at the MVP.
What I decided to do was award 14 points for picking the correct MVP and 10 points for choosing the correct Cy Young or Rookie of the Year. From there, I gave nine points for choosing the player who finished second in any award voting, eight points for a third-place finish, etc., all the way down to one points for a tenth-place or lower finish. So if a THT member’s selection received even a single vote, our staffer received a point.
Staffer Points Dan Lependorf 36 Dave Studeman 33 Doug Wachter 31 Steve Treder 30 Shane Tourtellotte 29 Greg Simons 27 James Gentile 24 Joe Distelheim 24 Paul Francis Sullivan 23 Bruce Markusen 17 Jeffrey Gross 17 Sam Hendrickson 16 Jack Weiland 15 Nick Fleder 15 Chris Jaffe 14 Jason Linden 14 Mike Clark 14 Matt Hunter 11 John Barten 10 Matt Filippi 9 Brad Johnson 5
Dan Lependorf captures the crown when it comes to awards picking, with five of his six picks landing on the ballot. (He missed only the National League Cy Young, pegging Gio Gonzalez as the winner.)
Studes came in second again, far and away the best combined performance in these two categories, even if we’re not naming an overall champion. He also finished fourth in our division predictions. It’s like the guy knows a thing or two about the game of baseball.
Maybe there’s something about having a name beginning with “D” that helps, because Doug Wachter finished in third place.
Congrats to the winners. Parade around town, shout your victory from the rooftops, or take a Yoohoo shower. You’ve earned it.