Against replay in baseball

Major League Baseball has language in its new collective bargaining agreement that calls for the expansion of the use of video replay in adjudicating certain calls on the field. We know at least two possible scenarios for replay include fair and foul balls as well as helping umpires determine whether or not a ball was caught in the air.

A great many people are already welcoming this addition to baseball’s rules. But, for all the pleas to “just get the call right,” something just doesn’t feel right about increasing video replay in baseball.

The prevailing thought is that embracing video replay will ultimately eliminate costly umpiring errors, famous errors like those made by Jim Joyce and Don Denkinger, two men who are household names to baseball fans for blown calls.

Prevailing thought says expanded use of instant replay would make egregious errors like those a thing of the past. Some fans are in favor of eventually expanding replay to include anything from force outs to—as some have even called for—balls and strikes.

Embrace it, and replay could bring us into a new and wonderful age in baseball where there is no doubt the contest is settled fairly and accurately, on the field of play, with precise calls. Real baseball fans would be fools to oppose such an obvious benefit to the game they love.

Yet, something still seems off.

Some of those who favor replay believe all of those who oppose replay are either luddites or simpletons, fools who are falling for one of several logical fallacies. The list of fallacious arguments against replay is filled with terms you may remember from your Introductory Logic course.

One trap opponents of instant replay could fall in is what’s known as an “appeal to authority.” This would catch anyone who quotes players or managers who have spoken out against replay and uses those quotes as evidence against expanding it. That’s a bad argument, according to the textbooks.

At the same time, this thought process prohibits those in favor of replay from using quotes from Buck Showalter, who feels expanded use of replay would be so successful it would only make us wonder why we didn’t switch to it years ago. This article quotes Showalter’s prediction for a Utopian world of baseball under video surveillance. This is the poor argument Bud Selig used a couple of years ago.

Umpire Jim Joyce admittedly blew a call that cost Detroit Tigers pitcher Armando Gallaraga a perfect game back in June of 2010. Everyone remembers it, and everyone remembers that Commissioner Selig not only declined to reverse the call, but also used the controversial game to point out that he was against the expansion of replay.

The Commissioner said he had talked to luminaries in Major League Baseball, and from what they told him, “Most baseball people are really against instant replay.” Appealing to general managers and owners doesn’t make Selig wrong, but it’s an argument that sets itself up for criticism.

Another logical fallacy waiting to entrap opponents of instant replay is the dreaded “appeal to tradition.” This one makes those against replay look like crotchety old-timers who don’t want the game to change.

People can be against change because they feel it is bad for the game, but they need to be careful. They can be ridiculed by those who would note that we’d still have segregation in baseball had some traditionalists had their way. To be sure, it’s not right to oppose something because it means a change, even if changing something is wrong or undesirable. A 200-year history without replay does not mean replay is invalid.

Others against replay already have argued that the very first foray into implementing such technology, like what has already been used for home run boundaries, would open a “Pandora’s Box.” They fear replay is already leading us down a slippery slope that could end up with every call reviewed by laser sensors spanning the entirety of the field, perhaps even culminating in R2D2 calling balls and strikes.

Yes, that doomsday scenario of a “slippery slope” is yet another logical fallacy. This one involves a terrible outcome stemming from some new rule or law, for instance.

Bad consequences are possible after change, but it’s hard for that arguer to get his case heard when he makes leaps all the way to his dreadful scenario while skipping over several more likely points in between that could surface before we ever get to such a horrible state. The illogical argument as it pertains to replay in baseball goes something like this:

“If we expand replay, where will it stop? Eventually, every play at first will be replayed, and the game, which often takes too long already, will take even longer. This will drive people from the game. Revenue for Major League Baseball will fall. Young children will no longer have dreams of playing professional baseball. Little League enrollment will fall off dramatically. Eventually, no children will even play baseball, and the sport will be wiped off the face of the earth.”

Well, that obviously ends in hyperbole. There’s no way replay could spell the end of baseball. But even though that’s true and “getting the call right” doesn’t seem to carry any negative consequences, something still seems bad about it.

Given that the case against replay is fraught with the potential for so many perilously poor arguments, where in the world can I turn to express what is becoming a growing abhorrence for replay in any sport, let alone baseball?

Maybe this is where I should have a little faith. Maybe baseball won’t follow the path of the National Football League, where replay has become its own game within a game and where dozens of high-definition looks don’t always provide a definite answer, anyway.

Not to mention the fact that replay has the side effect of sucking the joy out of nearly every big play, since nearly every big play could potentially be overturned and has to endure the deepest of analysis before we know if a play even will stand. Furthermore, replay causes a break in the action and makes the game longer than necessary, something that’s already a concern in baseball.

In the NFL, there is football strategy—Xs and Os, as they like to say. But there’s also the strategy of dealing with replay. A coach has to decide when to throw the challenge flag, and when that flag is thrown, we are no longer watching a football game.

Now we are watching officials examine a play with incredible scrutiny, scrutiny that sometimes leads to announcers disagreeing with each other on what the call should be. In fact, several broadcasts now bring in an official to serve as the “replay expert” in the booth, and even the expert has predicted a different conclusion from what was eventually called on the field. Is that “getting the call right?”

Consider this quote about replay in football:

“When instant replay began, everybody thought we were going to get a piece of film that’s absolutely going to nail it down,” said Barry Mano, president of the National Association of Sports Officials. “Guess what? You can look at a clip and I can look at a clip and we can see two different things.”

Maybe that wouldn’t happen in baseball. Maybe MLB will implement something that doesn’t put an arbitrary number on how many challenges a manager could use. Maybe they will only choose certain plays to review and have an umpire watching in the booth, taking the onus off the managers. Maybe we won’t have to examine every single double-play ball to make sure the middle infielder doesn’t use the “neighborhood play” at second. Maybe.

However, even the best implementation of replay can’t keep some calls from still carrying a certain degree of uncertainty. And, if that’s the case, how do we ever get to a point where we know, absolutely, that the right call is made?

Maybe the majority of players, coaches, and fans still will embrace replay. Maybe calls will increase for expansion until we see Pitch-f/x systems in place to call balls and strikes. Bill James has even argued that we should put sensors on the bases and boundaries so calls can be made electronically and negate even the need for video evidence. Maybe that’s the only way to guarantee we absolutely get the call right.

Hopefully that type of change would make the game better and not just impose too much technology on a ball and stick game. But for that type of dramatic change to take place, baseball will have to take a look at its defined rules.

As it stands, baseball is played “under jurisdiction of one or more umpires.” For those umpires to yield their jurisdiction to electronic sensors would seem to deviate from one of the main commandments of the game. Of course, in many ways the game would still be under the jurisdiction of umpires, even if they relied on video replay to help on a call. In fact, the umpires’ jurisdiction might reach unanticipated levels should video evidence rule a caught ball as trapped.

Video replay may be able to rectify an out into a safe call, but something would have to be done for any potential baserunners, and an umpire, who already had the right to place runners as he sees fit on calls such as fan interference, may also have to place baserunners on an overturned diving attempt at a catch on a fly ball to the gap with runners on.

But again, such calls might be worth it if gross errors are eliminated. Arguing against this may just be a silly attempt to hold on to something that’s not attainable anymore. Not when the technology is there to settle disputes as easily and finally as what is seen in professional tennis, which, other than a rogue call or two, is widely accepted by its players and fans.

So, in the end, maybe all there is to offer against instant replay is a gut feeling, a feeling without concrete evidence that the game doesn’t need replay to take it into the coming years any more than it needed steroids to save it in the 1990s.

It’s just a game, yet it has somehow always been more than a game. As cold, calculating, and valuable as all the statistical analysis in the world may be, it doesn’t mean the players aren’t playing a game. Baseball didn’t need a rash of homers to keep its true base watching, and it won’t need replay to validate it.

Isn’t all we really need from umpires is impartiality and a strong desire to get their calls right? They already use technology to grade their performance. Maybe that’s as far as it really needs to go in a game that so often is a metaphor for life. And in life, you go with the calls you’re given, whether right or wrong. You deal with the bad breaks, and they can even define you.

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Comments

  1. Rich O said...

    With home run, no home run type replays, if the umpire rules “ball in play” and is overruled by instant replay, it is easy to correct the result.  All outs are nullified and all runners score. Foul/fair calls are the same.  If the umpire calls fair, but the ball is foul (assuming it is not a caught fly ball, in which case fair/foul is irrelevant) just send people back to their original bases. 

    But, if the umpire rules foul (or home run), but the ball should be in play, we have a lot of judgment calls on what to do with the runners.  The players relied on the umpire call.  In the case of traps/no traps, there is a problem if the umpire is overruled either way. 

    This doesn’t mean we can’t make up rules to cover these situations.  It just means we will get strange results or more umpire judgment.

  2. aweb said...

    The idea that one camera angle gives a different conclusionthan another in football, or people can reasonably disagree about what has been seen,  is typically driven by the idiotic conversation that goes something like this:

    announcer #1 – “That camera angle doesn’t show us whether the knee was down or not before the ball came out”

    New replay shows it definitely – ball was out.

    announcer #2 -“That replay looks like the ball came out, but the last one we couldn’t be sure, so is it indisputable?”

    #1 – “yeah, the call must stand, we can’t be sure. “

    I assume officials must have this internal conversation themselves, since they occasionally disregard clear visual evidence. Drives me frigging crazy -> unclear + very clear = very clear. Sometimes, it’s not clear on any angle, but often the discussion is driven by the banal need for controversy. The only thing that screws up football replays is the inane “receiver has control throughout the act of making the catch”, which has somehow come to include being tackled, falling down and standing up, etc. I swear that rule was put in just to make more controversies.

    As for baseball, the fair or foul calls should be like tennis, essentially. The technology exists, and it takes 10 seconds, max. Cricket has something similar. Again, this technology exists right now, if MLB is willing to pay for it. And if tennis can cobble the money together, surely MLB can figure it out.

    Baseball should have either, a) a replay official in each stadium, not on the field but able to contact the field crew, or b) a centralized replay crew like the NHL. It’s silly to use the on-field officials to do it, even the NHL figured this out after a few years (they used to replay at ice-level). A dedicated replay official would have an answer ready before the field crew makes it to the “booth”.

    Still lots of room for luck and breaks after replay, or even in a fully-automated system. Liner fair by an inch? Flyball to the warning track? Pitch a quarter inch inside the zone vs. not? “Them’s the breaks” is fine for that. Ball actually caught but called safe? homer called fair but actually foul? Those are not breaks I care to see, thanks.

  3. bucdaddy said...

    Isn’t there a Murphy’s Law corollary that says something like “No available technology will go unused”? Something like that. Replay will only expand, eventually to cover everything. Because it’s there, and there will always be someone to say, well, if we use it to get calls at second base right, why not first base? And if we use it at first base, why not balls and strikes? And then there will be some crucial pitch in a World Series that is clearly six inches outside and gets called a strike …

    Creeping incrementalism.

    I sit on the fence here. I don’t want technology to overwhelm the game, I think the games already run way too long. But then I read studies like the one I saw here a couple years ago (wish I could find it again) that reveal things like “5-6 percent of pitches right down the middle of the plate are called balls,” and I don’t find human error all that charming, I find it stupid and fixable.

    Not all calls, of course, will be. I’ve gotten into huge debates about the Jerry Meals call in the Pirates-Braves game last summer because I have yet to see a replay that proves to me without a doubt that McKenry applied a tag. If anyone finds one and can point to the exact moment the tag is applied, please feel free to post it here.

    I’ll also note in the “gut feeling” zone that in Thomas Boswell’s “99 Reasons Baseball is Better Than Football,” he notes that all plays in football are repealable. The first thing fans have to do after any big play is look around for a flag. There always has to be a moment’s (or more) hesitation before you know the play is valid and will stand. Balloon, meet pin.

    I don’t want that to happen to baseball. I want to know a hit is a hit or an out is an out RIGHT NOW, and isn’t going to become the other thing two minutes from now. Otherwise, how can you really cheer a close play? It’ll stretch what should be the most exciting moments of the game over minutes, with fans standing around waiting to know whether they should cheer or not. That doesn’t seem to me like much fun.

  4. Mike Fast said...

    Bucdaddy, you might be thinking of John Walsh’s article from the early days of the PITCHf/x system, where the data showed 5-6 percent of pitches down the middle called balls.

    http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/strike-zone-fact-vs-fiction/

    It turns out that the vast majority of those were errors by the stringers in assigning the ball/strike labels to the proper pitch.  Sometimes a pitch in the sequence was missed, for example.  The MLBAM stringers and auditors have gotten much better at producing clean data in the intervening years.

    There are still a few cases I’ve seen where the umpire blows a call on a pitch right down the middle because he appeared to have been confused or influenced by a check swing by the batter. But those are very few in number.

  5. Mat Kovach said...

    As I wrote an article on this subject, I got a bit philosophical about instant replay.

    http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/on-instant-replay/

    I addressed the issue of determing when instant replay should be used and what criteria should be taking into account when expanding it.

    Once can read the article for my reasoning, but the bullet points where:

    – Provide better visual information using technology to help witness descriptions. Basically, technology must be sufficient and be better than the umpires.

    – Move the human element from one witness to another, not add any additional areas of the human element. This is hard to get without the context of the article.

    – Apply only to plays which, by their nature, have the umpire out of place to get the best visual information.

    – Apply to uncommon occurrences to reduce time burdens. Obviously, this rule can be changed as technology advances.

    – Apply standards equally across stadiums and games. No provisions for additional instant replay during playoff games.

  6. Mat Kovach said...

    @Mike Fast

    I would be interested to see the times when an umpired missed one right down the center. Mainly because I tend to believe the umpires have specific heuristics and they tend to get calls wrong when they think something else is going to happen.

    For example: Pitcher has been throwing his first 0-2 pitch low and away for much of the game. Ump thinks he’ll do it again and unconciously says, ‘That can’t be right’ he just can’t make the correct call.

  7. bucdaddy said...

    Mike Fast,

    That looks like it, thanks.

    I’m glad to know this turned out to be somewhat incorrect, because for a year or two after I went around telling other fans the 5/6% thing was the most amazing baseball stat I had ever seen.

    Restores my faith a little. Just a little.

  8. Will H. said...

    It hardly ever takes a lot of time. We see the mistake on replays very often in just a second. Managers bitching takes way longer than that. For example, it would have taken a few seconds to see that Gallaraga should have a perfect game. Now I agree that isn’t the case for strike zone, but in the field it is really so often something immediately obvious on tv but not something umps could catch. And as for actually enforcing rules about time between pitches, well, they are the friggin rules so they should hurry the hell up. If both changes happened, the net would be a faster ballgame.

  9. Will H. said...

    I have to say that I wrote the above in response to commenters. Now that I’ve actually read the article, I want to first commend the author for covering all the arguments against him without snark. I teach argument writing and one of the best things you can do is acknowledge the other side. Still, I have to say that I don’t think most MLB reviews would take anywhere near the time/subjective judgement of such things as whether a receiver had control. There are just so many cases where a bang-bang play is easily seen as having the wrong call with a single replay.

    Also, when you wrote “even the best implementation of replay can’t keep some calls from still carrying a certain degree of uncertainty. And, if that’s the case, how do we ever get to a point where we know, absolutely, that the right call is made?” you seem to make your own fallacy, where you chuck the baby with the bath water insofar as there is quite some good in making things better even if we can’t make them perfect.

    You also have cases where it isn’t humanly possible for umps to get it right, as when they are at third and call out the runner because he didn’t tag up before a catch in the outfield, which requires a level of peripheral vision we literally don’t have.

    Finally, you avoid outright embarrassments for the officials, and not just with the perfect game that wasn’t. I remember one Yanks/Angels playoff game where three calls were wrong… all in a hugely important type of game, and it seemed that one call was to make up for another bad one.

    Finally, reverting to “authority” but the one I think actually matters, I’ve heard more than one umpire say they’d welcome replay because then they wouldn’t have to live down an irreversible mistake, so no, I’d have to disagree with your last idea, that we should have a game be human in the sense that mistakes happen.

    That all said, loved that you went there, really respect how you did it, and would love to see you respond to some of the commenters.

  10. Al Gellin said...

    I disagree. The umpires are so pompous they rarely even confer with each other on controversial calls.  It pains me to say this but football has got it right when it comes to instant replay. They take it so seriously that they review every scoring play in the final two minutes of the game. And you know what, it doesn’t harm the game in any way. In fact, it adds to the integrity of the game. I’m all for the human element in baseball and to maintain that, there would be not instant replay on calls and strikes. Other than that, everything is open to instant replay. Certainly some sort of system would have to be worked out to decide what gets looked at but really, in any one game, there aren’t that many plays that would warrant review for it to be cumbersome.

  11. Stan M said...

    I don’t believe that our beloved commissioner is being completely altruistic in his desire for more instant replay. Now when there is a controversial call, the manager confronts one or more umpires and the TV cameras follow the episode. With replay, as in football, the announcers will now be able to say, “We’ll be right back after this message with the umpires decision” and another obnoxious commercial will be able to be inserted. It’s bad enough that they add time between innings for extra commercials, then complain about the extra time a game takes. Now the powers that be want to hurry players while at bat and limit their “stepping out”, etc. I would think that should any player consequently hurt due to being “hurried” will have a huge lawsuit against Major League Baseball.

  12. David Wade said...

    Is it implicit in that last post that those who are against replay are not true fans of baseball, or did I make that leap myself?

    Something that bothers me about the laser guided strike zone is that we would have a pitcher throwing to a zone that does not have visible and physical markings defining its boundaries.

    In tennis, the lines are marked on the court.  They can be hit by the ball.  I guess for that reason I’m more willing to accept their replay system, although as I watch tennis now I don’t see where their replay has made the game far better than it was before.  It has cut down on players arguing, I suppose, so if arguing calls bothered a lot of people then I guess it could be called an improvement.  My point is the game was still great before replay.

  13. David Wade said...

    Will H.- thanks for the kind words. 

    This was a tough argument to make in written form.  I think it may be better done verbally, perhaps somewhere with adult beverages.

    The hard part is that there really are several rational reasons to increase replay and that’s why I tried to meet them head on.  Commenters have easily added reasons or downplayed what I fear will be drawbacks.

    I wish I could have emphasized it like bucdaddy did when he talked about wanting to know a hit is a hit RIGHT NOW- instead of the “needle meeting the balloon”. 

    You’re right about the baby and bathwater- I probably shouldn’t be against something that would only improve calls 95% just because there would still be 5% that are still too close to call. 

    But again, I see the NFL examine a catch over and over to try and tell if part of the ball may have touched the ground and if it did, then did the ball bobble at all or were both hands underneath and in control at all times and…. ugh.

    I just envision bang bang plays at first where they’ll have to check the baserunner’s foot versus the ball in the glove (in the glove, not just touching the glove) and I just hate the thought of it.

    And I admit that hatred doesn’t mean it would be a good thing to reverse a clear instance of a missed call.  Yet, I still hate.

  14. Anna McDonald said...

    What a great article! You wrote this beautifully.

    I’ve interviewed Todd Worrell (caught in one of the worst calls in MLB history) and he believes instant replay should not be expanded. At first I thought he was crazy but after hearing what he said (which was really, really insightful) my mind was changed. He made the point that the umpires in certain positions on the field are trained to be in the wrong spot. He made a few other points but also said (which I loved) that part of baseball, part of being the best at what you do, is having the ability to bounce back from mistakes.

    Great discussion and article. Thanks again.

  15. hopbitters said...

    To build on what David said about the strike zone, baseball is unique in that the playing field is not consistent for every location. Field dimensions, ground rules, and even the surface itself can vary from stadium to stadium. That inconsistency makes standardized implementation of technology difficult and subject to a greater degree of human interpretation. Boundary calls are pretty simple (and I don’t oppose using technology for that particular application), but other situations are usually going to require an official to make a judgement that is going to take time and not necessarily result in a definitive ruling. There are a ton of obscure and indecipherable rules that crop up occasionally and are subject to a great deal of interpretation. (See Martin, B and Brett, G, “MLB Rules 1.10(c), 6.06”, 24 July, 1983.) There must be an umpiring crew that is heavily involved in the game and capable of knowing, interpreting, and applying those rules whenever the situation arises.

    Another unique element that I think adds to the game is the interaction between the umpire and the batter, catcher, and pitcher. Each of the three players needs to understand and work with the umpire’s particular strike zone and that creates a dynamic that (for me, at least) adds interest to the game.

    Also, the clear-cut errors could be remedied by a simple conference with the umpires and most other issues could at least be ameliorated in the same manner. I’m not 100% against replay or other technology, particularly if it were implemented intelligently (which is my biggest worry given the current regime), but I think that the umpiring isn’t as broken as some people think and that improvements could be made without a wholesale overhaul and minimization or elimination of the player-umpire dynamic throughout the game.

  16. Al Gellin said...

    While baseball is a game, it’s also big business, so the argument to not have instant replay so that umpires can “bounce back from mistakes” to be “the best at what they do” doesn’t address the fact that there are too many mistakes already being made and these mistakes have not made umpires any better. These mistakes are affecting the outcomes of games on many levels, including financial implications. That being said, I’d love to hear more about the interview with Todd Worrell. Is there a transcript or an article that we can be directed to?

  17. Al Gellin said...

    I agree 100% with hopbitters…If we can only get umpires to confer with each other on close plays, there would be no need to have instant replay. Why they don’t confer with each other on all close calls is a mystery, at least to me.

  18. Harry T. said...

    It seems to me that every true fan of baseball would like to see the calls made correctly 99.9% of the time.
    Adding a lead offical in the scoring booth would be a simple change.  Make sure the booth umpire is trained to use the replay technology quickly and efficeintly.
    I would even be in favor of a lazer guided system that makes the calls on balls and strikes.  You simply leave the umpire behind the plate he is given a signal from an ear-piece that informs him of the proper call then he signals.  This would speed the game up.  There would be no more arguments between umps and mangagers.  There would be no more dumbfounded players staring at the umps in disgust after being rung up on a pitch that was out of the zone but called a strike to make up for an incorrect call in the previous inning.
    The game that we all love should now and should allways have been decided by the players on the field not by the whims of umpires, who can be biased against players, coaches, or entire teams.
    The human element of the game is the players, with their egos and faults, and their somtimes super-human abilities to hit a round ball with a round club.
    If there was not a problem with the current officiating of the game we would not be debating this at all.

  19. bucdaddy said...

    Don’t know why a batter’s stance would be a problem for the laser zone. You’d lock it into the computer after two or three at-bats and unless the hitter dramatically changes his stance it’ll stay that way in the course of his season/career.

  20. Mike Schryver said...

    David made the point that is most important to me, and has been ignored by the previous commenters, who are mired in the question of will-it-or-won’t-it improve the accuracy of calls.  I don’t care about that.

    Replay will ruin every big play, by introducing an element of doubt into each one.  Was that a big play or wasn’t it?  We’ll find out in a minute.

    A blown call every now and then is a small price to pay for that excitement.

  21. Al Gellin said...

    Thanks for the article, Anna, which was great! Two other key points that Worrell made were having umpires confer with each other, as discussed here, and training umpires in proper positioning to make the correct call.

  22. Will H. said...

    Thanks, David, nice response, and for all a nice discussion (which on the interwebs isn’t always the case). Just to make clear, I don’t think lasers would work for balls/strikes (though I don’t think the current analysis of umps works either, insofar as zones are so off from the rules) especially because height of the batter—when he crouches to hit—defines the zone as opposed to static lines in tennis. I just think that there are an awful lot of cases where quick corrections can, and should, be made. But good arguments all around.

  23. Al Gellin said...

    Mike Schryver’s comment reminds me of big plays in football when you wait a fews seconds to see if the play will be called back due to a penalty. But I welcome instant replay in football where they review every scoring play in the playoffs because of the magnitude of each game. I’m not saying that should be done in baseball but to me it’s not about the excitement but rather fairness in the spirit of competition. I want to know that a team is winning “fair and square” and with fairness, comes an increased integrity for the game. Unfortunately, in baseball, the frequency of blown calls exceeds “every now and then”  and IMHO, blown calls are not an acceptable trade-off for fairness and integrity.

  24. Adam Powell said...

    Perhaps someone could take the time to explain why we are expecting perfection from a game. I understand and can appriciate that sports are a big business but are they really so big that perfection is a prerequisite.

    I’m against instant replay because I’m not interested in perfection. I’m interested in how people react to and overcome adversity, including the adversity that should have never happened or was doled out incorrectly. That’s what’s important, not determining whether a ball is caught or if a baserunner beats out a close play.

    The most important result of Jim Joyce’s blown call wasn’t the loss of a perfect game but the reaction of Armando Gallaraga in confronting Joyce in a mature and forgiving manner. In that way Gallaraga should be known not for how he played on the field but how he conducted himself off it.

    To be human is to constantly fall short of perfection and while that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t try to to be better it does mean we should at least attempt to recognize the effect striving for perfection has on our own humanity.

  25. Al Gellin said...

    Adam Powell, I’m not suggesting perfection. I don’t think balls and strikes should be subjected to instant replay but IMO, once the ball is in play every effort should be made to make the correct call. The first level is umpires conferring with one another. The second level is instant replay. Your comment suggests to me that your only interest in watching a baseball game is to see how players react to bad calls and if that’s the case, fine, everyone has the right to enjoy the game in their own way. However, the goal of major leaguers is to win the World Series and my enjoyment of watching that pursuit is enhanced when I know that every effort is be made toward fairness by all those involved.

  26. Derek Ambrosino said...

    Late to the party here, but here’s a thought.

    When the sport was invented, umpires basically were “the best available technology to promote accuracy.” I think it’s worth asking ourselves whether the game’s architects would have called for the use instant replay and other technology to ensure correct rulings had such technology been available.

    The use of umpires wasn’t an attempt to lend another variable to game, or the acknowledge the existentially imperfect nature of human endeavor, but to try to get calls correct. This is the true heart of the anti traditionalist argument. By falling in love with the imperfect nature of the umpire, you are romanticizing the shortcoming of an intervention intended to minimize exactly that which you are glorifying.

    Nothing about umpires is hallowed, the concept they represent is – which happens to be same concept instant replay represent. Signifier/signified.

    Personally, I prefer the replay official model to the challenge model. In the NFL, the challenge itself becomes like a hail mary play of its own. In crucial situations, a coach is basically forced to challenge a call (Manningham catch, most recently) and the throw of the flag is basically used as the toss of a die. …Maybe there will be one bad looking frame that undermines the entire context of the play – might as well try. Baseball replays may not get that granular, so maybe it’s not an issue, but with tag plays and the like, it’s possible. The replay official cuts down on the “game within the game” dynamic.

  27. bucdaddy said...

    There’s one play that would get reversed a lot, and I’d kind of hate to see it go. I call it the “out on general principles” play. Let’s say you’re on first base and you do something completely boneheaded, like try to take third on a sharp, one-hop single in front of the left fielder, who guns the ball to third where, by some miracle, you beat the throw. 99 times out of 100 the umpire is going to call you out anyway unless you beat the tag by 10 feet or something. Anything remotely close is gonna get you called out, I think for being an idiot. Almost as an instructional measure by the umpire. “Son, in the big leagues you need to learn not to be that stupid.”

  28. Tom Suarez said...

    I read the article and just wonder what the statistics were?

    How many MLB games are decided by an umpire’s call? Do the numbers justify the emotions of “Getting the call correct”?

    With well over 5000 MLB games played each year, is the ‘replay’ decision really needed to address less than 1% of the games calls? Time delay to an already long game and additional expenses for each ball park for extra cameras and operators.

    Don’t get me wrong, I think the replay in the NFL has only verified the accuracy of the official’s calls. I feel the same would happen in the the MLB arena.

    Malfunctions would be rare but expected. Then the call would probably revert to what the umpire called.

    What would be the penalty be for a ‘challenge’? An ‘out’ added or taken away from the challenging team? Would there only be ONE challenge per 9 innings? another if there were extra innings?

  29. Al Gellin said...

    Suarez asks a good question regarding the stats. I think it’s way more than 1% but using his numbers and a conservative .5%, we’re talking about roughly 25 plays being reviewed each year (there were probably 25 plays that could’ve been reviewed during last year’s playoffs!). Often, playoff races are very close and last year, for example, the two wild cards races were each decided by one game. It’s certainly possible that within even 25 plays being reviewed during the season, one call may affect the outcome of a game that impacts a pennant race.

  30. hopbitters said...

    From some ESPN research (http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/otl/news/story?id=5464015), umpires outright miss roughly 20% of reviewable calls (some calls couldn’t be determined conclusively even upon review). From their numbers (sampled from 184 games), that amounts to one call every four games. There’s no mention of the total number of calls made in a game, but if it’s at least 25, then 1 every four games would be 1%. I think the question would be to find the number of calls that are a) reviewable; b) would render a conclusive decision based on review; c) have a significant impact on the game’s result; and d) could not be solved by a conference of the umpires.

  31. Mickey named after Mickey said...

    Why do we have umpires? Why do we even have players? With Video, Lasers and computers we don’t need any. MLB could just have us pay to get a box Score of a simulated game based on Cybermetrics. No need to build stadiums or pay players. Every game would be perfect. Of course it will also be boring with absolutley no human drama. No arguements by half crazed coaches about calls. No razzing of umpires or players over calls. No Bartmen’s to cause a contrversy. Yes, Utopia is actually a very boring place.

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