Do they have enough talent to compete with the money-printing Dodgers and defending World Series champion Giants?
Do umpires call more strikes for home pitchers on pitches just off of the plate?
What should the trade-off be between correlation and spread for a projection system or ERA estimator?
Should ERA estimators be a reflection of “true talent” level or be the most effective predictor of future ERA?
Should we use an ERA estimator that ignores balls in play for the lower levels of the minor leagues?
The first in a set of minor league leader boards based on a major league ERA estimator.
Last week, I discussed the issue of teams “going for broke” and how significant increases in payroll may affect overall success (win totals). One of the more interesting findings in that piece dealt with teams who had great success the season before they increased payroll. I found that from 2001 to 2012 there were 28 […]
Does a significant increase in payroll guarantee success?
Can the statistic beat a projection system?
Strikeout rates show that these guys were better than their numbers.
Suggestions from readers inspire additional research.
The gap between runs allowed by starters and relievers seems to be increasing. Why?
Walks, strikeouts and their relationship to a hitter’s average.
Should the Rays consider moving their successful young right-hander?
Are complex estimators better at predicting FIP than the statistic itself?
When we complicate statistics are the results actually improved?
Should we use ERA estimators for relievers?
Further refining an effort to re-weight FIP.
Should home runs be considered a factor in predicting pitching statistics?
Is simpler really better when it comes to projecting future pitching numbers?