In the New York Times, Dan Rosenheck wrote about the Diamondbacks’ improbable outperformance of their Pythagorean projection. Such musing was also the subject of THT’s recent “Outsmarting Pythagoras.” One thing I didn’t make clear earlier this week was that not all Pythagorean variance can be brushed aside as non-repeatable “I-won’t-call-it-luck.” Rather, it makes up a […]
A cautionary tale: do not mess with ancient Greek philosophers/baseball fans.
Do pitchers or hitters control the length of plate appearances? The thrilling dénouement to Sal’s series on the length of plate appearances.
Sal learns that there are no efficient pitchers, only effective ones.
If you’re going to use human eyes to evaluate defense, you can trust the word of a few scouts who only get a chance to watch a player a few times a year…or you can ask every single baseball fan on the planet. How can you do the latter? By participating in Tangotiger’s 2007 Fan […]
Do pitchers who control the strike zone force batters to put the ball in play?
Sal sifts through Retrosheet data to look beyond averages and evaluate plate appearances through distributions.
One pitch? Two pitches? Sal figures out how far back a hitter can remember.
We review some of the surprising performances in the first half.
Sal takes a look at how hitters react to 3-0 pitch counts.
Next up: The two Eastern divisions.
The hits that made AL and NL Central fans swoon so far this season.
The highlights of the season so far, using Win Probability Added.
A review of Mike Stadler’s new book, The Psychology of Baseball: Inside the Mental Game of the Major Leaguer.
A look at how closers are being leveraged so far this year.
Sal adds his thoughts to the “new market inefficiency” and outlines a framework for somebody looking to play the market.
Sal tries not to get too excited (or depressed) about the first month of baseball.
Sal owns up to a mistake, and ties up some loose ends with mERA+.
ERA+ is great tool, but it may not telling us the full story when it comes to league and park adjustments.
Sal asks his wife for help in assessing the disposition of the 2007 A’s.