This past year, I twice had the pleasure of serving as a judge in Vince Gennaro’s Diamond Dollars Baseball Case Competition. Vince’s idea is brilliant: develop a business school case study about baseball and ask teams of business school students to present their recommendations for the case. Just like they do at Harvard Business School, […]
So I’m sitting here working on the Hardball Times Annual 2013 (which is, alas, not yet ready for order) and editing a great article by Chris Jaffe on the history of major league umpires and their balls/strikes calling. Meanwhile, over at Bill James Online, Bill posts an article (for subscribers only) that compares the strikeouts […]
In a word, no. September games, on average, are less important than games in May, June and July. Here’s a table of the relative importance of games by month, from 2008: Month Game LI Apr 0.47 May 0.63 Jun 0.70 Jul 0.64 Aug 0.46 Sep 0.43 As you can see, games (on average) were less […]
Believe it or not, Tom Tango has just opened his tenth (!) annual scouting report. This is a chance for all baseball fans to come together and create that Wisdom of the Crowd thing we hear so much about. Simply go to Tango’s scouting web page, select your favorite team, and fill out the fielding […]
A couple of times a week, I download a bunch of baseball stats into Excel and generate my own standings table. Since we’re at the official All-Star break thingie, I thought I’d inflict my standings format on you: 7/11/2012 Win Probability Added American League East Temp RS RA PWins Diff Close Bat Starters Bullpen NYY […]
Together at last.
I posted an idea yesterday, a made-up stat just for fun. I called it No-Hitter Added because it was a “real time” stat that apportioned credit among Mariners’ pitchers for their Friday no-hitter. Tom Wilhelmsen was given a lot more credit for the no-hitter than Kevin Millwood, because Wilhelmsen pitched the critical ninth inning when […]
The Mariners threw a multi-pitcher no-hitter against the Dodgers yesterday. Sadly, starter Kevin Millwood injured his groin and had to leave after the sixth inning. Millwood had been terrific, facing the minimum number of batters and only allowing one batter to reach base (Juan Rivera walked but was subsequently out on a double play). Five […]
Meanwhile on Twitter, CJ Nitkkowski got my attention by calling THT a “nerd blog” and belittling Tom Tango’s analysis that Mariano Rivera is worth about two wins a year to the Yankees. CJ’s blog response was a lot more reasonable (another reason to dislike Twitter) and made the point that the loss of Rivera brings […]
The Houston Astros and old buddy Mike Fast are looking for a summer intern for their Decision Sciences group. They’re particularly interested in candidates with good database and front-end skills. If that sounds up your alley, here’s the link.
Someone interrupted my presentation at the SABR Analytic Conference to tell me that he literally “knew” that the Cardinals were going to win the seventh game of the World Series last year after they broke Texas’ heart in Game Six. Someone else (at least, I think it was someone else) commented on my recent critical […]
The real key to forecasting performance in any year is getting a player’s playing time right. Sure, averages and percentages rise and fall, but they remain outside our best efforts to make them more predictable. Playing time is tough to predict too, but something can be done here. This is where you come in. People […]
Can you guess it?
Next month, SABR (that’s the Society for American Baseball Research to you people who like everything spelled out) is hosting an analytic conference in Mesa, where the Cubs play spring ball. There are going to be cool speakers, panel discussions, case studies and presentations—you can see the agenda here. Lots of THT friends will be […]
If you like fantasy baseball, we’ve got a sweet deal for you. Sign up for a new account with Fanduel, the daily fantasy gaming site, and receive a full-season subscription to THT Forecasts for free! It’s a great combination: play a daily game on Fanduel and use THT Forecasts to get the latest player projections […]
I’ve gotten a few email inquiries about this, so I’d like to remind everyone that The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2012 is now available for the Kindle. This is a less expensive, electronic version of the book, complete with all the great articles By Rob Neyer, John Dewan, Craig Calcaterra and the rest of our […]
and cool graphs, too.
We’ve got a new feature here at the Hardball Times. It’s called THT Dispatch, and it’s a newly featured blog on the site (you can view a link for it in the links at the top of the page—between THT Live and THT Forecasts). The idea behind THT Dispatch is that our writers will regularly […]
The Internet is abuzz with the news that baseball analyst extraordinaire Mike Fast has been hired by the Astros. Mike will report to Sig Mejdal, who was made famous by Sam Walker’s book Fantasyland. They promise to be powerful contributors to the Astros’ braintrust. The press release states that Mike is a Baseball Prospectus writer, […]
The Hardball Times is proud to be one of the sponsors of a brand new thing, the SABR Analytics Conference. We’re sponsoring this conference along with other well-known baseball organizations and websites such as Bloomberg Sports, Baseball Reference, Baseball Prospectus and Fangraphs. The conference, to be held in Mesa from March 15-17, is available to […]