Victor looks at whether taking a chance on that toolsy prospect is worth it for your team.
Did the GM do right? Let’s run the numbers.
What a player’s minor league stats and pedigree can tell us about his chances of success in the majors.
The Braves flipped Mark Teixeira for prospects just a year after giving up five of their own to get him. Victor says that they came out behind.
Most observers think the Cubs got the better end in the Rich Harden trade, but Victor takes a longer view and finds value for both sides.
Forecasting isn’t as easy as it may appear
The Brewers gave up a lot of talent, but Victor says that the increased odds of going to the postseason and the draft picks they’d get for Sabathia make it worth it.
Do teams know more about their own prospects than other teams do?
Is home run hitting talent normally distributed?
The Twins got value from the Mets for Santana, but how did the Mets’ package stack up with rumored previous offers from the Red Sox and Yankees?
Cheer up, Twins fans, it’s not all bad news.