Updated: average and prime year projections

Jason Heyward / OF / Atlanta
Average Year Projection:
.308 / .413 / 33 HR / 39 2B / 4 3B / 109 RBI / 103 R / 104 BB / 118 SO / 15 SB / 5 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.320 / .434 / 40 HR / 40 2B / 5 3B / 123 RBI / 108 R / 113 BB / 108 SO / 18 SB / 5 CS

Stephen Strasburg / SP / Washington
Average Year Projection:
211 IP / 3.13 ERA / 1.17 WHIP / 17 W / 9 L / 234 SO / 188 H / 58 BB
Prime Year Projection:
220 IP / 2.77 ERA / 1.10 WHIP / 18 W / 8 L / 256 SO / 189 H / 54 BB

Carlos Santana / C / Cleveland
Average Year Projection:
.271 / .359 / 25 HR / 30 2B / 1 3B / 89 RBI / 80 R / 79 BB / 97 SO / 1 SB / 1 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.280 / .376 / 30 HR / 32 2B / 1 3B / 100 RBI / 90 R / 86 BB / 89 SO / 2 SB / 1 CS

Mike Stanton / OF / Florida
Average Year Projection:
.286 / .362 / 29 HR / 34 2B / 3 3B / 101 RBI / 97 R / 67 BB / 138 SO / 8 SB / 2 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.298 / .382 / 35 HR / 35 2B / 3 3B / 116 RBI / 105 R / 77 BB / 127 SO / 10 SB / 3 CS

Buster Posey / C / San Francisco
Average Year Projection:
.293 / .366 / 17 HR / 34 2B / 1 3B / 82 RBI / 80 R / 62 BB / 82 SO / 2 SB / 1 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.304 / .385 / 23 HR / 36 2B / 1 3B / 90 RBI / 90 R / 69 BB / 76 SO / 3 SB / 1 CS

Madison Bumgarner / SP / San Francisco
Average Year Projection:
204 IP / 3.29 ERA / 1.21 WHIP / 15 W / 9 L / 195 SO / 187 H / 59 BB
Prime Year Projection:
216 IP / 2.90 ERA / 1.13 WHIP / 17 W / 8 L / 221 SO / 189 H / 55 BB

Jesus Montero / C/1B / NY Yankees
Average Year Projection:
.274 / .343 / 22 HR / 31 2B / 1 3B / 83 RBI / 76 R / 54 BB / 89 SO / 1 SB / 1 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.284 / .360 / 27 HR / 32 2B / 1 3B / 92 RBI / 83 R / 60 BB / 80 SO / 2 SB / 1 CS

Jeremy Hellickson / SP / Tampa Bay
Average Year Projection:
196 IP / 3.55 ERA / 1.23 WHIP / 14 W / 9 L / 190 SO / 186 H / 56 BB
Prime Year Projection:
208 IP / 3.19 ERA / 1.16 WHIP / 16 W / 9 L / 220 SO / 188 H / 54 BB

Desmond Jennings / OF / Tampa Bay
Average Year Projection:
.291 / .364 / 12 HR / 39 2B / 9 3B / 66 RBI / 102 R / 68 BB / 96 SO / 37 SB / 8 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.302 / .384 / 15 HR / 40 2B / 10 3B / 74 RBI / 114 R / 76 BB / 86 SO / 43 SB / 8 CS

Mike Moustakas / 3B / Kansas City
Average Year Projection:
.287 / .345 / 25 HR / 40 2B / 2 3B / 95 RBI / 84 R / 50 BB / 101 SO / 3 SB / 2 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.295 / .359 / 30 HR / 40 2B / 2 3B / 106 RBI / 90 R / 57 BB / 90 SO / 3 SB / 1 CS

Brian Matusz / SP / Baltimore
Average Year Projection:
206 IP / 3.66 ERA / 1.26 WHIP / 14 W / 10 L / 200 SO / 195 H / 65 BB
Prime Year Projection:
217 IP / 3.29 ERA / 1.18 WHIP / 16 W / 10 L / 225 SO / 197 H / 60 BB

Martin Perez / SP / Texas
Average Year Projection:
201 IP / 3.71 ERA / 1.29 WHIP / 14 W / 10 L / 202 SO / 192 H / 68 BB
Prime Year Projection:
210 IP / 3.29 ERA / 1.20 WHIP / 16 W / 10 L / 226 SO / 193 H / 58 BB

Pedro Alvarez / 3B/1B / Pittsburgh
Average Year Projection:
.270 / .344 / 26 HR / 33 2B / 2 3B / 97 RBI / 82 R / 66 BB / 138 SO / 4 SB / 2 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.281 / .363 / 32 HR / 35 2B / 2 3B / 109 RBI / 88 R / 75 BB / 130 SO / 4 SB / 1 CS

Starlin Castro / SS / Chicago Cubs
Average Year Projection:
.298 / .358 / 10 HR / 41 2B / 5 3B / 77 RBI / 85 R / 54 BB / 86 SO / 21 SB / 6 CS
Prime Year Projection:
.309 / .376 / 13 HR / 43 2B / 6 3B / 83 RBI / 97 R / 62 BB / 79 SO / 27 SB / 7 CS

Neftali Feliz / SP/RP / Texas
Average Year Projection:
184 IP / 3.73 ERA / 1.30 WHIP / 13 W / 10 L / 183 SO / 173 H / 66 BB
Prime Year Projection:
198 IP / 3.31 ERA / 1.21 WHIP / 15 W / 9 L / 213 SO / 179 H / 61 BB

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Comments

  1. DD said...

    Bumgarner is horrible….he will not come anywhere close to those numbers.

    Also, an average Pedro Alvarez season = .270 BA???  Riiight…try .250

  2. Chris said...

    To defend the Stanton prediction just look at Garrett Jones and his 33.4 HR pace (over 500 AB’s) last season and his 20.3 HR pace this year. Yeah the power should develop more as he gets older, but at the same time he’s never played in AAA and historically speaking, it will limit him. Rays’ predicted pace is also based on a 600 AB season. 600 AB’s isn’t easy to do. Sampling a random group of players (Callaspo, Butler, Choo, Holiday, Pujols, Carlos Pena and Tulo) only one, Butler, reached the 600 AB mark and the average was some where around 560’s, I usually work out my predictions based on 500 AB seasons since it’s conservative and allows for short DL stints.

    Also, it’s only a prediction and these seem to be relatively ‘safe’ predictions so no one should be getting too bent out of shape.

  3. Ray said...

    ..pretty shocked to see Mike Stanton’s numbers at Avg – 29 HR Prime – 35 HR. This year his HR numbers project out to 35 HR if he played in all 162 games, and I doubt anyone’s Age 20 season is their prime year.

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