Nate Silver runs a projection on A-Rod’s chances at passing Barry Bonds. That’s well and good and you can click through for Nate’s handicapping of the chances, but I’m struck by one of the positive indicators he throws out:
Perverse Incentives, Part I. Rodriguez stands to make a $30 million bonus if he breaks the all-time home run record. If he gets close, those are 30 million reasons for him to extend his career until he does, rather than consider early retirement.
At the risk of sounding like one of those awful wannabe populist columnists — and with the full realization that this would never, ever happen — how much fun would it be if A-Rod announced next week that he was donating his $30 million bonus to anti-drug charities? It would be delicious chaos, no? How does anyone root against him? Sure, you could call him a crazy, image-obsessed drug user, but think of the kids! He could even let Hank Aaron pick the charities! The columnists’ heads would ‘asplode.
These are the things I think about when I’m hopped up on cold medicine like I am today.