Fantasy Waiver Wire: Week 21, Vol. III

Something major happened in my life this week, and we should probably talk about it. Something so big and jarring that my life will never be the same, and the course of human (and non-human) events is likely altered forever. I promise this time (just this once) I am totally not exaggerating at all.

Anyway, I cancelled cable.

I cancelled cable and I could not be more excited about it. I did it mostly because I was tired of paying their exorbitant fees, but it’s also directly affected my baseball viewership. Out are ESPN and MLB Network, in is my MLB.tv subscription routed through my new Roku box. So far, so good (and yes, I realize these things were not mutually exclusive before, since I already had an MLB.tv account, but whatever, okay? I’m happy with the heavier wallet).

All of this lead me to wonder how my Waiver Wire family ingest their baseball. So let us know in the comments below, or via Twitter (@jackweiland, @Karl_de_Vries). Cable? MLB.tv? Both? Rabbit ears? Anyone tossing MiLB.tv on there as well? Anyone out there give up on their fantasy teams and subsequently their baseball viewing?

Before we jump into the meat of today’s column, let’s take a quick look at some of our recent subjects.

Will Venable has continued his hot hitting, with two more home runs since I wrote about him here, and I’m still cautiously optimistic that this is a legitimate breakthrough.

I think I read somewhere that Alex Rodriguez had an eventful trip to Boston? Did I get that right? At this point he’s essentially trolling the baseball world, but as a fantasy asset he’s still underowned right now (just 61 percent at CBS). Bad karma be darned, he’s a wonderful free addition for leagues where he’s still toiling on the wire.

Ryan Ludwick hasn’t set the world on fire since rejoining the Reds, but he’s picked up the pace in his last few games, and I still like him as outfield help down the stretch.

Danny Farquhar is still excelling in ninth-inning duties for the Mariners. He’s worth speculating on for saves down the stretch, and he’ll probably make a good target for drafts next spring.

Today let’s look at a scorching-hot Cub and an American League outfielder whose playing time might press him into usefulness.

Donnie Murphy | Chicago Cubs | 3B | ESPN: 11.5 percent ownership; Yahoo!: 17 percent; CBS: 11 percent
YTD: .340/.397/.811 in 58 plate appearances
ZiPS projection: .304/.363/.684 in 95 plate appearances

We need to talk about Donnie Murphy.

I’ve made it no secret here that I watch many Cubs games. (Why? Now that’s one for the therapist.) So I’ve been patiently waiting for Donnie Murphy to come back down to Earth to save me the trouble of addressing his production here. That has not happened, and twice in the past week I’ve endured Cubs announcers mentioning Murphy’s incredible home run production during his short time with the club. In some ways, the talk is fair. His seven home runs in just 58 plate appearances is a pace that equates to 72 bombs over 600 PAs. That’s pretty incredible. If he kept posting a .472 ISO all season, it would rank as the third best single season ISO since 1900 (behind just Barry Bonds‘ 2001 and Babe Ruth‘s 1920).

Also, if we’re being honest, what else are Cubs’ announcers supposed to talk about these days? This is the part of the season where nothing happens and nobody cares. If that sounds bitter, it’s because I’m bitter.

Anyway, the thing is, Donnie Murphy is not very good. The Cubs are Murphy’s fourth team in eight partial major league seasons, and over the 698 plate appearances that make up his big league resume, his triple slash is a rather pedestrian 216/.281/.410. He has 25 career home runs, of which more than a quarter are from this run alone. He’s doing so based on a HR/FB rate of 35 percent, and three of his seven dingers were either “Just Enough” or “Lucky” according to Hit Tracker Online.

On top of that, Cubs’ corner man Luis Valbuena is beginning his rehab soon, and his return would likely steal playing time away from Murphy.

Recommendation: Officially, for the record, look elsewhere. No matter how crazy his success is in the short term, there’s very little reason to believe Murphy can continue anything close to this pace.

Emilio Bonifacio | Kansas City Royals | 3B/OF | ESPN: 27.3 percent ownership; Yahoo!: 16 percent; CBS: 24 percent
YTD: .219/.264/.325 in 306 plate appearances
ZiPS projection: .224/.272/.324 in 403 plate appearances

It’s worth mentioning up front that there is nothing new about Emilio Bonifacio. His appearance here is not because I’ve noticed a change in his statistical profile, or read a story about a change in his mechanics that is worth monitoring.

No, he’s here mostly because he’s been playing a lot, all over the diamond, and can provide short-term help to owners in need of steals.

Bonifacio came to Kansas City from Toronto at the trade deadline for a player to be named later and cash. Since then, he’s played on a regular basis in the outfield, and at third base in place of the ailing Mike Moustakas. With just Chris Getz and Jamey Carroll standing in his way at second base, as well, it stands to reason that Bonifacio could grab odd starts there as well.

And while he’s not hitting well (even worse than his career triple slash of .260/.319/.340), this is a player who has 40-steal potential if inserted into the lineup enough. He hits for very little power, poor average, and doesn’t walk a ton. But when he gets on, he can run, and his real-life defensive versatility makes him worth using in the right situation, for an owner with the right need. Nothing more, nothing less.

Recommendation: Worth grabbing for the steals alone. Don’t expect anything else.

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Comments

  1. J.Henry Waugh said...

    Never had cable.  Kids are all grown up now & I still won’t get it. Played FB for 3 years now, finishing 1st twice and the other time 5th.  THT, FG, RotoWire and BHQ with a little Razzball thrown in have been all that I need. Played Strato a lot, not sure how much that helped. ( I do have Netflix so stream “Pride of the Yankees”  and “Bull Durham” over and over to gain added insights ).

  2. james c said...

    conflicted???  1st and formost. ESPN makes it to say that C. Martinez is coming only for the Bullpendo …also Ishould pickup Bruce Chen whiles hes on the wire or just go with Nate Eovaldi? ive got to spots

  3. Belle of the League said...

    Cable and everything else is inexpensive here compared to other parts of the US, so I haven’t cancelled it yet. (Think Lake Woebegone but further south and I really miss living in Massachusetts.)
    I stream MLB.tv to my baseball cave with multiple computers and monitors and can easily watch 4-6 games simultaneously.
    Other than the completely idiotic, non-fan friendly, greed-designed blackout policy that prevents me from 1) watching games more than 500 miles away from my home because this is considered team “territory” and 2)being held hostage by Fox when it prohibits me from watching the game/s that I want to watch, the system works as well as any. (Best invention ever: Mute buttons for almost everything from Fox Sports.)

    Agree with your player evaluations, especially Venable.
    One note of caution re Bonifacio-You always have the possibility of being Yosted here. I’m sure he uses a Ouija board to construct his lineup.  You’ll need one, too, to see if Bonifacio playing.
    BTW: It’s either the Ouija board or Chris Getz has compromising pictures of Glass because he’s in the lineup far more often than a player with his talent should be when there are other options.

  4. Jack Weiland said...

    @J. Henry Waugh – Sorry, I’m an accountant obsessed with fantasy baseball. I can’t relate.

    @james c – I’d lean Eovaldi.

    @Belle of the League – I’ve got a similar setup now. It rules. The blackout restrictions are pretty annoying, although I haven’t had the wrong area code thing in awhile.

    The Getz thing is frustrating. I’ve been dealing with that for awhile as a former Giavotella owner. But if you’re diligent enough about checking lineups (via baseballpress.com or elsewhere) you can probably stream him in enough. Maybe.

    Thanks for the comments, guys. Universal Baseball Association, Inc. and Lake Wobegon references … you guys are the best.

    See you tomorrow morning!

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