2012 Forecast Based on Forecasted Major League Innings Pitched

Period Age Org IP W L S Hld QS ERA WHIP H K BB HR K/9 BB/9 HR/9 WAR
Year to Date 26 STL 122 7 7 0 0 0 3.92 1.36 136 98 30 7 7.2 2.2 0.5 2.0
Rest of Year 26 STL 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.57 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Full Year 26 STL 122 7 7 0 0 0 3.92 1.36 136 98 30 7 7.2 2.2 0.5 2.0

Six-Year Major League Equivalent Forecast

Year Org Age IP ERA WHIP H K BB HR K/9 BB/9 HR/9 WAR
2012 STL 26 140 3.57 1.29 141 110 40 8 7.1 2.6 0.5 1.6
2013 STL 27 165 3.60 1.29 167 131 46 10 7.2 2.5 0.5 1.8
2014 STL 28 164 3.70 1.31 170 133 45 10 7.3 2.5 0.6 1.6
2015 STL 29 158 3.73 1.33 166 130 43 9 7.4 2.5 0.5 1.5
2016 STL 30 160 3.77 1.33 170 134 43 10 7.5 2.4 0.6 1.4
2017 STL 31 159 3.83 1.34 171 134 42 10 7.6 2.4 0.6 1.3
2018 STL 32 158 3.93 1.35 173 132 41 10 7.5 2.3 0.6 1.1

Latest Comment

Preseason 2012
(Submitted by lboros)

Maintained his rookie-season strikeout rate while cutting his walk rate and increasing his innings; good times. It was nonetheless an up-and-down season in which Garcia struggled at various times with his command and mental focus. He became over-reliant on his change-up at times and less apt to throw his cutter inside to right-handers than in 2010. Garcia recovered from a terrible August (6.84 ERA) to help pitch the Cardinals into the playoffs in September, and his erratic postseason did include two gems (one each against the Phillies and Rangers). It was a successful year all in all, and he’s still capable of better ones.

Recent Years

Year Age Org Tm Lg Class G GS CG GF W L S ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR K/9 BB/9 HR/9 WAR
2008 22 STL SPR TEX AA 6 6 1 0 3 2 0 2.06 1.20 35 26 41 16 0 10.5 4.1 0.0 1.3
2008 22 STL MEM PCL AAA 13 12 0 0 4 4 0 4.44 1.41 71 74 59 26 6 7.5 3.3 0.8 0.8
2008 22 STL STL NL MLB 10 1 0 4 1 1 0 5.62 1.38 16 14 8 8 4 4.5 4.5 2.3 0.0
2009 23 STL CDS GCL R 2 2 0 0 0 1 0 4.50 1.25 4 4 3 1 0 6.8 2.3 0.0 0.0
2009 23 STL PMB FSL A+ 3 2 0 0 0 1 0 0.71 0.63 13 4 16 4 0 11.3 2.8 0.0 0.7
2009 23 STL MEM PCL AAA 4 4 0 0 2 0 0 3.86 1.24 21 17 22 9 5 9.4 3.9 2.1 0.4
2010 24 STL STL NL MLB 28 28 1 0 13 8 0 2.70 1.32 163 151 132 64 9 7.3 3.5 0.5 4.9
2011 25 STL STL NL MLB 32 32 2 0 13 7 0 3.56 1.32 195 207 156 50 15 7.2 2.3 0.7 4.0
2012 26 STL STL NL MLB 20 20 0 0 7 7 0 3.92 1.36 122 136 98 30 7 7.2 2.2 0.5 2.0
2012 26 STL CDS GCL R 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 1.74 2 4 1 0 0 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
2012 26 STL SPR TEX AA 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 5.23 0.78 10 8 11 0 2 9.6 0.0 1.7 0.0
2012 26 STL MEM PCL AAA 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 3.60 1.40 5 4 8 3 1 14.4 5.4 1.8 0.1

Recent Years/Major League Equivalents

Year Age Org Lg Class ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR K/9 BB/9 HR/9 WAR
2008 22 STL NL MLB 4.57 1.48 116.94 116 92 57 9 7.1 4.4 0.7 1.3
2009 23 STL NL AAA 3.47 1.22 35.17 26 32 17 4 8.2 4.4 1.0 0.8
2010 24 STL NL MLB 3.19 1.29 166.4 150 132 64 7 7.1 3.5 0.4 4.2
2011 25 STL NL MLB 3.55 1.27 200.64 204 159 51 13 7.1 2.3 0.6 4.0
2012 26 STL NL MLB 3.57 1.31 141.81 152 117 34 9 7.4 2.2 0.6 2.6

Older Comments

Preseason 2011
(Submitted by lboros)

The Cards’ best rookie pitcher since Rick Ankiel, Garcia had the third-highest groundball rate in the NL, the fifth-best home run rate, and a healthy K/9 of 7.3. An intelligent pitcher with good assortment of pitches, he should have a long career.

Preseason 2010
(Submitted by lboros)

Garcia has the makings of a solid mid-rotation starter, but still is a tad underripe. At 23 years old, and with only 108 innings above Double-A under his belt (including 16 with the Cardinals), Garcia could use another month or two in the minors to work on his control.

He’ll have a chance to pitch his way onto the Opening Day roster; if he doesn’t make it, he’ll be first in line to get recalled in case of an injury on the big-league club.