2012 Forecast Based on Forecasted Major League Innings Pitched

Period Age Org IP W L S Hld QS ERA WHIP H K BB HR K/9 BB/9 HR/9 WAR
Year to Date 30 STL 199 14 13 0 0 0 3.94 1.25 196 184 52 15 8.3 2.4 0.7 3.3
Rest of Year 30 STL 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.24 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Full Year 30 STL 199 14 13 0 0 0 3.94 1.25 196 184 52 15 8.3 2.4 0.7 3.3

Six-Year Major League Equivalent Forecast

Year Org Age IP ERA WHIP H K BB HR K/9 BB/9 HR/9 WAR
2012 STL 30 202 3.24 1.18 185 182 53 12 8.1 2.4 0.5 3.0
2013 STL 31 207 3.38 1.21 196 183 54 13 7.9 2.3 0.6 2.8
2014 STL 32 203 3.55 1.24 200 178 52 13 7.9 2.3 0.6 2.3
2015 STL 33 202 3.62 1.26 203 176 51 13 7.8 2.3 0.6 2.2
2016 STL 34 202 3.69 1.26 206 175 49 14 7.8 2.2 0.6 2.0
2017 STL 35 201 3.81 1.29 210 171 48 14 7.7 2.2 0.6 1.7
2018 STL 36 199 3.95 1.31 214 166 48 14 7.5 2.2 0.6 1.4

Latest Comment

Preseason 2012
(Submitted by lboros)

Wainwright made such brisk progress in his rehab last summer that he tried to convince the Cardinals to activate him for the postseason, but they didn’t bite. Prior to getting hurt, he had lowered his ERA and increased his K/BB ratio three years in a row. He currently ranks third on the franchise's all-time leaderboard in K/9 and K/BB.

Recent Years

Year Age Org Tm Lg Class G GS CG GF W L S ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR K/9 BB/9 HR/9 WAR
2008 26 STL STL NL MLB 20 20 1 0 11 3 0 3.20 1.18 132 122 91 34 12 6.2 2.3 0.8 3.3
2008 26 STL MEM PCL AAA 2 2 0 0 0 1 0 12.27 2.70 4 8 3 2 1 7.3 4.9 2.4 -0.3
2008 26 STL SPR TEX AA 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.85 5 4 7 0 0 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.3
2009 27 STL STL NL MLB 34 34 1 0 19 8 0 2.63 1.21 233 216 212 66 17 8.2 2.5 0.7 7.2
2010 28 STL STL NL MLB 33 33 5 0 20 11 0 2.42 1.05 230 186 213 56 15 8.3 2.2 0.6 7.7
2012 30 STL STL NL MLB 32 32 3 0 14 13 0 3.94 1.25 199 196 184 52 15 8.3 2.4 0.7 3.3

Recent Years/Major League Equivalents

Year Age Org Lg Class ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR K/9 BB/9 HR/9 WAR
2008 26 STL NL MLB 3.99 1.27 133.83 133 101 37 11 6.8 2.5 0.7 2.3
2009 27 STL NL MLB 3.72 1.26 222.4 213 215 67 14 8.7 2.7 0.6 4.5
2010 28 STL NL MLB 2.45 1.03 233.13 182 219 58 12 8.5 2.2 0.5 7.8
2012 30 STL NL MLB 3.54 1.24 197.79 193 187 53 12 8.5 2.4 0.5 3.6

Older Comments

Preseason 2011
(Submitted by lboros)

His ERA, strikeout rate, and K/BB ratio all improved for the third consecutive year, an extremely rare feat. Wainwright set new career bests in wins, ERA, complete games, BB/9, K/9, H/9, and BB/SO in 2010 but grew slightly weary down the stretch (3.83 ERA in his last eight starts), giving rise to whispers that his elbow was barking. Since becoming a full-time starter in 2007 he has the second-best ERA and park-adjusted ERA+ in baseball, trailing only Roy Halladay.

Preseason 2010
(Submitted by lboros)

He labored through his first seven starts, posting a 4.35 ERA with 21 walks in 41 innings. Then Carpenter told Wainwright he was throwing too much over the top; Wainwright lowered his arm slot and put up a 2.25 ERA the rest of the way, with just 45 walks in 191 innings. He allowed two runs or fewer in 15 of his 19 starts after July 1 (including Game 2 of the NLDS).

Only three St. Louis pitchers in history have topped the 212 strikeouts Wainwright logged in 2009: Bob Gibson (six times), Carpenter and Sam Jones. The Cardinals control his rights for the next four years at a total cost of $32 million.