February 9, 2010
Order Now Get "The world champ of baseball annuals." The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2010 features articles by THT's staff as well as Bill James, Tom Tango and Craig Wright and contains much, much more. Please support THT and use this link to purchase the Annual.  Get the fantasy book that everyone's raving about! Edited by THT Fantasy's Rob McQuown and Michael Street, and featuring our own Matt Hagen on prospects. Shipping now from ACTA! 
Pat Andriola
Rich Barbieri John Barten Brian Borawski Craig Brown Evan Brunell Chuck Brownson Kevin Dame Joshua Fisher David Gassko Jeremy Greenhouse Brandon Isleib Chris Jaffe Max Marchi Bruce Markusen Dan Novick Harry Pavlidis Alex Pedicini Jeff Sackmann Nick Steiner Dave Studeman Steve Treder Bryan Tsao Tuck! Geoff Young John Brattain And here's the full roster.
Or you can search by:
Gear up for baseball season with Chicago White Sox tickets and New York Yankees tickets. LA Angels tickets, Houston Astros tickets, and Atlanta Braves tickets are hot sellers! You can get Boston Red Sox tickets, San Diego Padres tickets or Chicago Cubs tickets for your favorite baseball fan. Coast to Coast Tickets has the best MLB tickets like Minnesota Twins tickets, LA Dodgers tickets, Milwaukee Brewers tickets, New York Met tickets and St. Louis Cardinals tickets. Find premium Chicago Cubs tickets and other Chicago tickets at JustGreatTickets.com. Chicago Cubs Tickets Chicago Tickets  All content on this site (including text, graphs, and any other original works), unless otherwise noted, is licensed under a Creative Commons License. |
An early look at HITf/xby Harry PavlidisJune 09, 2009 HITf/x is fun, even with one month of sample data. The two basic pieces of information that I'm playing with now are the initial speed and launch angles. That's plenty of fun, especially when combined with the event data and descriptions entered by stringers. Classifying batted balls is next, but, for now, I'm just filtering by the stringer's classifications: ground ball, fly ball, line drive and pop-up. The following three charts show how many of each type of ball were hit. Click the charts to pop-up a larger version (if available).    Benefits of speedStopping well short of run values (that's next, since game states are conveniently in the sample data already), here are in total bases per ball in play, split into 10 mph buckets for each of the batted ball types above, except pop-ups.    Without regard to direction (that's next), the harder you hit a line drive, the more bases you get. Makes sense. The fly balls are pretty cool. The bloopers and the blasts get you somewhere, but pop-ups (not shown) don't result in more than .067 bases per batted ball. Grounders have a similar pattern: to get on base, either hit it too softly to be fielded in time or rip it by the fielders. But get it past the catcher's reach, will ya? The distribution on the fly balls paints a good picture of the risk/reward nature of the fly ball hitter: Nail it, you're golden. Just miss, you lose. Vertical launch anglesLet's try that again, this time by initial vertical angle (IVA). This time, I'm including pop-ups—there appears to be a dunk zone. Zero degrees is straight, 90 is straight up and -90 is straight down.  For liners, higher is better, based on this crude review.  Lower is better for flies—makes sense.  A ground ball that isn't pounded down into the ground is better, again confirming intuition.  There's that dunk zone, in the 30s. Horizontal launch anglesUsing IHA this time, 90 degrees is straight up the middle, 45 is down the first base line, 135 is down the third base and 180 is straight back. Pop-ups are again included, as there looks to be a tiny drop zone behind first base and another, bigger one, beyond the left side of the infield. I'm assuming "beyond/behind", no actual knowledge of landing spots in this analysis.     No real surprises. Ground balls become base hits when the fielder isn't in the way; balls hit down the lines earn more bases. What's nextA lot. This is just a start, so much more can be done with this data, well, it's just silly. Max will have a field day (pun intended). I'm curious about swing styles, too. For example, Jim Thome crushes fly balls but hits some of the weakest grounders you can find. References and Resources More on the data and the Summit - you can register to gain access to the data. Harry Pavlidis admits he has a baseball problem. He also writes for Beyond the Boxscore, Out of the Ivy and his own blog, Cubs f/x. Feedback, questions and comments are appreciated - harrypav@gmail.com Commenting is not available in this weblog entry. Do you have a general question or comment for one of THT's writers? Send it in to our weekly mailbag We also welcome unsolicited op-ed pieces of approximately 500 words for consideration. We reserve the right to edit for length, clarity and consistency of style. Please include your whole name and location to be considered. If you have a comment about this specific article, please email the writer. Next Article: THT Daily: Last to First>> <<Previous Article: Historic comparables (Volume 1) | ||||
