November 22, 2009
Order Now The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2010 is now in development and will ship in mid November! This year's book will feature articles by THT's staff as well as Bill James, Tom Tango and Craig Wright. If you use this link to purchase the Annual, you will be in the first group to receive it and you'll be supporting THT. 
Rich Barbieri
John Barten Brian Borawski Craig Brown Evan Brunell David Gassko Jonathan Hale Brandon Isleib Chris Jaffe Max Marchi Bruce Markusen Harry Pavlidis Jeff Sackmann Dave Studeman Steve Treder Bryan Tsao Tuck! Dan Turkenkopf Colin Wyers Geoff Young John Brattain And here's the full roster.
Or you can search by:
Gear up for baseball season with Chicago White Sox tickets and New York Yankees tickets. LA Angels tickets, Houston Astros tickets, and Atlanta Braves tickets are hot sellers! You can get Boston Red Sox tickets, San Diego Padres tickets or Chicago Cubs tickets for your favorite baseball fan. Coast to Coast Tickets has the best MLB tickets like Minnesota Twins tickets, LA Dodgers tickets, Milwaukee Brewers tickets, New York Met tickets and St. Louis Cardinals tickets. Find premium Chicago Cubs tickets and other Chicago tickets at JustGreatTickets.com. Chicago Cubs Tickets Chicago Tickets  All content on this site (including text, graphs, and any other original works), unless otherwise noted, is licensed under a Creative Commons License. |
BJ Upton’s sizzling postseasonby Sal BaxamusaOctober 15, 2008 After last night, BJ Upton is sporting a healthy .294/.359/.794 postseason line. The batting average and on-base ability are in line with his established performance level, but that slugging is just off the charts. Looks like the shoulder that was bothering him all season might be back in working order. It brings to mind the question: should his hot postseason hitting change our expectation of him going into next year? It's only 40 PA, but he's already hit half as many homers in the last eight games as he did in the entire regular season. Using his regular season stats and running a Marcel projection, Upton figures to hit something like .285/.380/.437 next year. That's pretty darn good for a young centerfielder, and with acceptable defense it would make him one of the best under-25 players in baseball. If we throw in his postseason stats, that projection jumps to .284/.380/.447. That difference is mostly a projected increase in his - you guessed it - home run rate, from 16 per 650 PA to 18 per 650 PA. Not a huge difference, but there it is. The analytical community doesn't normally include postseason stats when making projections, and I'm not sure why (beyond the practical reasons that the data sources keep the two seasons separate). It seems weird to use less data rather than more, and the postseason is just as much part of the performance record as the regular season. So, yes, Upton's power-hitting in the postseason does slightly change our perception of him as a batter, but not by a lot. Sal Baxamusa is a graduate student in chemical engineering. He can be reached here. Commenting is not available in this weblog entry. Do you have a general question or comment for one of THT's writers? Send it in to our weekly mailbag We also welcome unsolicited op-ed pieces of approximately 500 words for consideration. We reserve the right to edit for length, clarity and consistency of style. Please include your whole name and location to be considered. If you have a comment about this specific article, please email the writer. |
