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Black Magic Woman

by Jeffrey Gross
December 26, 2012



Jeffrey Gross is an attorney (and die-hard Cubs fan) who currently resides in Green Bay, Wisconsin. In addition to writing for The Hardball Times, he also reviews tasty adult beverages as part of a side project titled "saBEERmetrics." He previously worked for The Daily Illini and Northern Star newspapers as a film critic and sportswriter (respectively). You can reach him by email at saBEERmetrics AT gmail DOT com.

Comments

Brad Johnson said...

Thanks for putting together my justification to keep/trade him at $22. I consider him fringy at that price, but since it’s a two catcher league…

Posted 12/27  at  08:21 AM
Andrew said...

since Santana is a catcher, he doesn’t have to put up monster numbers to still be valuable and a higher proportional rank than Nolasco was. But his numbers may never reach those numbers still and he will still be a disappointment in the mold of Nolasco.

Posted 12/28  at  01:16 AM
jack said...

I have Santana (20) and Wieters (19) in AL 4x4.  seems strange to blow 15% of my cap on 2 players, but I feel like both of them are on the cusp of doing great things.  And after mauer, AJP and Salvador Perez, the drop off in quality is precipitous.  it’s tempting to force other owners to roster junk at the position—it might lead to some funny bidding wars at the auction.

then again, another part of me wants to throw them back and try to get them cheaper.  it’s a low inflation league, and neither of these guys is a bargain.

Posted 12/28  at  11:51 AM
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Posted 01/05  at  06:57 AM
Alexis said...

Jeff: I am being offered Votto and Stanton for my Miggy, Bumgarner and 1 of my Dunn, Howard or Cruz.  Should I do it?

Posted 01/09  at  11:50 AM
Brad Johnson said...

Sounds like a reasonable offer, which means it depends on what you need and what you can get.

Is it an auction or snake draft? How many keepers? What do they cost? What are the best players expected to be available at 1B and 3B? Any quirks around categories, positions, etc.?

Posted 01/09  at  11:56 AM
Jeff gross said...

If you can give up Dunn or Cruz of that three, yeah I would do that on paper. Need more details though.

Posted 01/09  at  01:46 PM
Alexis said...

Thanks guys.  It is a 10 team, H2H, keeper league, snake-draft (most likely I’ll have 10th pick in 1st, 2nd and 3rd rounds, but it snakes after that).  6x6 (ops and losses). 

I can keep 5 players. I currently have:
Miggy (1st round)
Braun (2nd round)
Dunn (5th round)
Howard (6th round)
Scherzer (7th round)
Cruz (10th round)
Bumgarner (11th round)
Latos (12th round)
Medlen (15th round)
Chris Davis (15th round)

The main issue is that I REALLY want Stanton (9th round keeper), but I don’t think I can get him for any combination that doesn’t include 1 of Miggy or Braun.  Also, I hate to give up the “safeness” of Miggy or Braun without getting “safeness” in return. 

So the idea was Miggy (1st round) and 2 of the others for Votto (1st round) and Stanton (9th).  Most like the other 2 will be Howard and Bumgarner.

I don’t think Dunn or Howard are “values” as keepers in their respective rounds and Bumgarner REALLY scares me with the way he ended last year.  I think he is going to get hurt this year or suffer a lack of velocity and thus not be as effective.

The final result would be: Votto (1st), Braun (2nd), Stanton (9th), Medlen (15th), Davis (16th).

Thanks for all your help!

Posted 01/10  at  12:25 PM
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