College World Series odds through day 2
by Jeff SackmannMay 31, 2009
We're down to 48 teams. In 24 hours, we'll be down to no more than 32. Highlights from yesterday's action include a Virginia win over UC Irvine, a Kansas State win over Rice, and a second win from at-large whipping boy Oklahoma State.
The real story, however, was a 25-inning (yes, you read that right) game between Texas and Boston College. You'd think we'd be talking about BC's Mike Belfiore, who pitched 9.2 innings of scoreless relief, but Texas's Austin Wood blanked the Eagles for thirteen innings. Thirteen.
My simulator doesn't account for the suffering (both emotional and bullpen-related) that BC must be going through, but with that limitation, follow the jump for updated College World Series odds. Naturally, the 2-0 teams are heavily favored to win their regionals. In the double-elimination format, they need only one more win, while whoever comes out of the loser's bracket will need to beat them twice.
Team SuperReg Omaha FinalTwo Champ Texas 87.6% 54.3% 14.2% 6.7% Army 5.4% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% Boston College 7.0% 2.7% 0.3% 0.1% Texas Christian 80.2% 33.8% 7.1% 2.9% Oregon State 10.1% 3.7% 0.6% 0.2% Texas A&M 9.7% 3.5% 0.6% 0.2% Georgia Tech 25.6% 14.4% 3.0% 1.3% Southern Mississippi 63.5% 25.7% 2.7% 0.8% Elon 11.0% 5.0% 0.7% 0.2% Florida 83.7% 48.0% 7.4% 2.7% Jacksonville 4.6% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% Miami (FL) 11.7% 5.5% 0.6% 0.2% Arizona State 89.3% 68.4% 32.8% 19.9% Kent State 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% Oral Roberts 7.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.5% Clemson 28.3% 9.0% 2.6% 1.1% Tennessee Tech 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% Oklahoma State 69.8% 17.0% 3.5% 1.2% East Carolina 29.2% 13.7% 3.3% 1.5% Binghamton 2.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% South Carolina 68.0% 23.8% 3.5% 1.2% North Carolina 80.5% 51.3% 13.1% 6.1% Kansas 5.7% 2.5% 0.3% 0.1% Coastal Carolina 13.7% 8.2% 2.0% 0.9% Cal State Fullerton 92.8% 65.6% 23.4% 13.5% Utah 2.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% Gonzaga 5.1% 1.9% 0.2% 0.1% Louisville 80.5% 26.6% 5.5% 2.3% Vanderbilt 9.0% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% Middle Tennessee State 10.5% 3.0% 0.5% 0.2% Florida State 83.8% 47.6% 6.4% 2.4% Ohio State 5.5% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% Georgia 10.7% 5.2% 0.5% 0.1% Oklahoma 26.9% 15.8% 2.4% 1.0% Washington State 7.9% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% Arkansas 65.1% 26.3% 2.0% 0.5% UC Irvine 7.9% 4.1% 0.8% 0.3% San Diego State 2.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% Virginia 89.4% 65.9% 30.7% 19.6% Mississippi 81.7% 24.6% 5.5% 2.2% Western Kentucky 11.3% 2.9% 0.5% 0.2% Missouri 7.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% Rice 18.8% 7.4% 1.2% 0.5% Xavier 4.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% Kansas State 76.6% 31.2% 5.3% 2.2% Louisiana State 88.4% 55.9% 13.6% 6.7% Baylor 4.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% Minnesota 7.1% 2.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Jeff Sackmann is the creator of MinorLeagueSplits.com. With Kent Bonham, he founded CollegeSplits.com. Jeff and Kent blog about college baseball and the draft, and you can follow them on Twitter for bite-sized snacks of minor league and college stats. Jeff also has an email address.