November 22, 2009
Order Now The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2010 is now in development and will ship in mid November! This year's book will feature articles by THT's staff as well as Bill James, Tom Tango and Craig Wright. If you use this link to purchase the Annual, you will be in the first group to receive it and you'll be supporting THT. 
Rich Barbieri
John Barten Brian Borawski Craig Brown Evan Brunell David Gassko Jonathan Hale Brandon Isleib Chris Jaffe Max Marchi Bruce Markusen Harry Pavlidis Jeff Sackmann Dave Studeman Steve Treder Bryan Tsao Tuck! Dan Turkenkopf Colin Wyers Geoff Young John Brattain And here's the full roster.
Or you can search by:
Gear up for baseball season with Chicago White Sox tickets and New York Yankees tickets. LA Angels tickets, Houston Astros tickets, and Atlanta Braves tickets are hot sellers! You can get Boston Red Sox tickets, San Diego Padres tickets or Chicago Cubs tickets for your favorite baseball fan. Coast to Coast Tickets has the best MLB tickets like Minnesota Twins tickets, LA Dodgers tickets, Milwaukee Brewers tickets, New York Met tickets and St. Louis Cardinals tickets. Find premium Chicago Cubs tickets and other Chicago tickets at JustGreatTickets.com. Chicago Cubs Tickets Chicago Tickets  All content on this site (including text, graphs, and any other original works), unless otherwise noted, is licensed under a Creative Commons License. |
Consistency is inconsistentby Sal BaxamusaDecember 17, 2007 I screwed up when I presented the Weibull plots and the consistency numbers last week! Based on reader feedback, I changed the model that I used to compute the Weibull parameters. You can read about the changes in this article. Those changes did impact (pretty signifcantly) the lists I presented previously, so I wanted to present the revised lists here. Scored 0-2 runs more frequently than expected LAN +9.6 SLN +5.9 NYA +4.5 ... ARI -5.7 PHI -9.6 MIL -11.7 Scored 8+ runs more frequently than expected SLN +6.2 SFN +5.8 KCA +5.5 ... CLE -5.5 CHA -5.7 BAL -6.7 Offenses, ranked by most consistent to least consistent MIL 15.6 BAL 9.4 PHI 8.0 FLO 7.4 CHN 7.0 SEA 5.5 CHA 4.0 CLE 3.8 OAK 3.7 TBA 2.9 SDN 2.0 CIN 1.4 MIN 0.8 ARI 0.7 PIT 0.6 MON -0.1 HOU -0.1 NYN -0.8 ANA -1.0 COL -1.6 DET -1.9 ATL -1.9 NYA -2.1 SFN -2.1 TOR -3.1 BOS -3.8 TEX -4.4 LAN -5.8 KCA -6.4 SLN -12.7 It also affects the conclusion that consistency is not correlated with overall offensive prowess. That is incorrect; it turns out that good offenses are less consistent, but this correlation is quite weak (r2=0.10, if you're a stat wonk). In other words, you shouldn't intentionally build a weak-hitting team in search of a more consistent offense - you're not guaranteed to get one and but you'll definitely end up scoring fewer runs! You can download all the revised plots and reports by clicking here. Sal Baxamusa is a graduate student in chemical engineering. He can be reached here. Commenting is not available in this weblog entry. Do you have a general question or comment for one of THT's writers? Send it in to our weekly mailbag We also welcome unsolicited op-ed pieces of approximately 500 words for consideration. We reserve the right to edit for length, clarity and consistency of style. Please include your whole name and location to be considered. If you have a comment about this specific article, please email the writer. |
