November 22, 2009
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Disco Hayes theorizesby Jeff SackmannSeptember 23, 2009 If you're like me, you rarely click on links to MLB and minor league player blogs. Even in the cases where the players write for themselves, entries are often nothing more than longer versions of your typical post-game interview boilerplate. Not so with Royals prospect Disco Hayes. (Not everyone would categorize Hayes as a "prospect," but (a) he gets outs, (b) he's got a cool nickname, and (c) you gotta root for this guy.) Yesterday, Disco posted a mammoth blog entry presenting some out-of-the-box thoughts on defensive positioning. In the post, he
Seriously, did you ever expect to read something like this, from an active ballplayer: So, late in the game, if an opposing team's batting order goes righty, lefty, righty, why take O'Day out of the game when the lefty comes up and not stick him at first base with the idea of putting him right back on the mound for the next batter? If he's twice as bad as the worst first baseman--let's say -0.00112 runs per batter, which is two times the runs the worst first baseman costs his team--in the league and is replacing the best, for that one left-handed batter, he will cost 0.00228 runs, but then for the next batter, the righty, he will return to the mound and save 40 times that, or 0.09239 runs, a net 0.09065 positive runs. To begin with, he was only worth 0.09239 runs, and he just added .09065; you could say he has doubled his value. And this makes sense, have him pitch to two batters instead of one and he's twice as effective. Disco: You're now my favorite prospect. If, years down the road, you decide to hang up the spikes, I think we can find a spot for you with THT. Jeff Sackmann is the creator of MinorLeagueSplits.com. With Kent Bonham, he founded CollegeSplits.com, which provides data on amateur baseball to about half of the 30 Major League teams. You can also follow him on Twitter.
Pat Andriola said...
This was simply amazing. There were some wonderful ideas in there. Disco needs to start writing for THT asap. Posted 09/23 at 07:10 PM
Dave Studeman said...
That was amazing. Someone contact his literary agent. Posted 09/23 at 08:59 PM
Nick Steiner said...
Awesome stuff. Posted 09/23 at 09:03 PM
Dave Studeman said...
You should read his bio, by the way. Went to Northwestern and got an 800 on his math SAT’s. Posted 09/23 at 09:09 PM
ecp said...
You REALLY have to read his study on the proper distribution of donut flavors for a fantasy baseball league’s draft day. The guys in the league are all Harvard grads, by the way, and they were suitably impressed: http://discohayes.mlblogs.com/archives/2009/06/fan_mail_friday_june_5th_natio.html Posted 09/24 at 09:30 AM
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Disco should be the first player/manager since Pete Rose.