Mike is currently working in Public Relations for the Colorado Rockies' AAA affiliate, the Colorado Springs Sky Sox - much in part to his experiences at The Hardball Times.
A recent graduate of the UMass-Amherst Sport Management Program, Mike can also be found at Firebrand of the American League (firebrandal.com) and Statistically Speaking (Statspeak.net). If you have any questions or comments, you can reach him at mjasilver AT gmail DOT com. He would love to hear it.
Comments
A. Nony Mouse said...
Its the Coors Effect brother
Posted 10/14 at 03:14 PM
Chris Purvis said...
my biggest question is where he falls in preseason rankings. the closest comp that comes to mind is Nelson Cruz this year, who ended up around 120-130 overall in most player rankings. at that price I’m in.
Posted 10/15 at 10:02 PM
Evan said...
Hi Mike,
I’m sorry I didn’t join this discussion sooner. You did a nice job of putting Car-Go’s recent development in context. It’s hard to quibble with most of your projections given his minor league numbers, but I’ll give you a few reasons why I believe he might be a 30 steal guy next year.
(1) A new role that will give him more opportunities to steal. 2010 will be the first year that he bats leadoff for an entire season. As far as I know, he has always hit in the middle of the lineup throughout his minor league career (with a few exceptions) and consequently wasn’t encouraged to run on a consistent basis. Next year, he’ll likely have around 765 PA (using per-team averages by lineup position from the 2008 season) assuming he remains in the No. 1 spot. According to scouts, he’s always had the speed, and now he’ll have a role that requires him to utilize it.
(2) As you detailed above, his improving walk rate and decreased K rate portend good things for his OPS.
(3) This is a much weaker point, but his SB total after the All Star break is even more impressive considering how many games he lost to his hamstring strain and hand injury.
Like I said, if you are only looking at his minor league speed numbers, his 11 SB in the second half of ‘09 looks like an anomaly. But when viewed as the result of increased opportunity and improved on-base skills, his late season SB numbers might be a promising sign of a “five-tool player” finally realizing his speed potential.
An Optimistic Car-Go Owner
Posted 10/21 at 01:45 AM
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Its the Coors Effect brother