February 10, 2012
 

Now Available for 2012

 

THT Essentials:
About Us
Contact Us
Our RSS Feeds
Our Stats Glossary
Reference Articles
THT Reports
 

Now Available



The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2012, an annual "must buy" for all baseball fans, is now shipping. Read this article to learn more about it.
 
Fangraphs Player Search:
 

THT's latest book


Third Base: The Crossroads is THT's new e-book, available for $3.99 from the Kindle store. The good news is that anyone can read a Kindle book, even on a PC. So enjoy the best from THT in a new format.
 

Lucas Apostoleris
Rich Barbieri
John Barten
Brian Borawski
Vince Caramela
Chris Jaffe
Brad Johnson
Mat Kovach
Kevin Lai
Myron Logan
Chris Lund
Bruce Markusen
Jeff Moore
Troy Patterson
Harry Pavlidis
Dave Studeman
Steve Treder
David Wade

And here's the full roster.
 



 

Dish TV Packages options for all televised baseball games.
 



Or you can search by:
Category
Month
Author
 

Sports Tickets
 

Gear up for baseball season with Chicago White Sox tickets and New York Yankees tickets. LA Angels tickets, Houston Astros tickets, and Atlanta Braves tickets are hot sellers! You can get Boston Red Sox tickets, San Diego Padres tickets or Chicago Cubs tickets for your favorite baseball fan. Coast to Coast Tickets has the best MLB tickets like Minnesota Twins tickets, LA Dodgers tickets, Milwaukee Brewers tickets, New York Met tickets and St. Louis Cardinals tickets.
 

Championship Tickets




 


Creative Commons License
All content on this site (including text, graphs, and any other original works), unless otherwise noted, is licensed under a Creative Commons License.

Part of the USA Today Sports Media Group

Predicting ERA

by Dave Studeman
August 15, 2008

Colin Wyers has done something I meant to do earlier this year: a new and in-depth analysis of the effectiveness of various ERA "component" stats. The study seems sound to me, though I would have created a league-specific FIP add-on for each year (which is what we do here at THT), instead of using 3.2 in all cases.

Colin finds that the "DIPS" estimators (FIP and DIPS) are the best estimators of a pitcher's ERA in the next year. That's why we carry FIP in our THT stats. Colin also introduces a new ERA component stat, a FIP/Base Runs hybrid, which appears to be the best ERA predictor of all.

Dave was called a "national treasure" by Rob Neyer. Seriously. Comments about this article can be sent to him through the miracle of e-mail.

Comments


Commenting is not available in this weblog entry.




The best online source for major league baseball tickets is Ticket City.