July 4, 2009
Rich Barbieri
John Barten Brian Borawski Craig Brown Evan Brunell David Gassko Jonathan Hale Brandon Isleib
Chris Jaffe
Bruce Markusen Harry Pavlidis Jeff Sackmann Dave Studeman Steve Treder Bryan Tsao Tuck! Dan Turkenkopf Colin Wyers Geoff Young John Brattain And here's the full roster.
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Predicting ERAby Dave StudemanAugust 15, 2008 Colin Wyers has done something I meant to do earlier this year: a new and in-depth analysis of the effectiveness of various ERA "component" stats. The study seems sound to me, though I would have created a league-specific FIP add-on for each year (which is what we do here at THT), instead of using 3.2 in all cases. Colin finds that the "DIPS" estimators (FIP and DIPS) are the best estimators of a pitcher's ERA in the next year. That's why we carry FIP in our THT stats. Colin also introduces a new ERA component stat, a FIP/Base Runs hybrid, which appears to be the best ERA predictor of all. Dave is the manager of the Baseball Graphs website.. Comments about this article can be sent to him through the miracle of e-mail. Commenting is not available in this weblog entry. Do you have a general question or comment for one of THT's writers? Send it in to our weekly mailbag We also welcome unsolicited op-ed pieces of approximately 500 words for consideration. We reserve the right to edit for length, clarity and consistency of style. Please include your whole name and location to be considered. If you have a comment about this specific article, please email the writer. |
