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June 19, 2013
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Rich Barbieri
John Barten Kyle Boddy Brian Borawski James Gentile Matt Hunter Frank Jackson Chris Jaffe Brad Johnson Jason Linden Dan Lependorf Bruce Markusen Jeff Moore Greg Simons Scott Spratt Dave Studeman Shane Tourtellotte Steve Treder And here's the full roster. Now available
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The Verdict: analyzing a draftby Michael SteinJanuary 29, 2013 The Court wants to hear your comments on whether you concur or dissent with the verdict by sending an email to michael.stein @ fantasyjudgment.com, or find us on Facebook and Twitter @FantasyJudgment. Comments
Jimbo said...
With the lock-down on rosters I think you were wise not to get too cute with unproven players. Really went to the other extreme though! I ask myself a basic question when contemplating a pick/ranking…is this player’s best season likely behind him or ahead of him? This ‘breakout value’ requires proven players that have yet to show their best. When I look at that roster the only guy who fits is Santana. For a league setup like this perhaps bounceback value is a better bet than breakout value. Certainly, if injuries are kind then you have a lot of upside for the cost. Posted 01/29 at 01:12 PM
costarican chata said...
” Granderson’s batting average took a major nosedive in 2012, but I expect that to bounce back…” maybe if he sat against lefties . Posted 01/30 at 01:41 AM
Detroit Michael said...
Regarding your Granderson comment, have there been any studies supporting the contract year effect you cite? Even if there are, I’m not sure that I’d expect that average effect to apply to Granderson, a player who seems to always work hard and display a good attitude, as best as fans can tell. On your Teixeira comment, I don’t see why losing A-Rod for much of the year would be expected to improve Teixeira’s batting statistics. I guess Teix moves up a slot in the line-up, which’ll get him 20 more plate appearances. Interesting that Hanrahan lasted longer than Wilhelmsen. Solid draft other than your bad luck with Storen. Posted 01/30 at 10:45 AM
Michael A. Stein said...
It obviously isn’t bulletproof, but look back at recent years for players having breakout seasons the year before they hit free agency (Adrian Beltre, Gary Matthews, Kyle Lohse, etc.). I don’t think Granderson will hit .290, but I also don’t think he will hit .230 again. By improvement, I would expect something in the .260 range. As for Teixeira, it isn’t so much the removalof A-Rod from the lineup that will help him. He has been a good hitter his whole career and has an incredible work ethic. I don’t think anyone has been more disappointed with his overall results than Teixeira himself. With more responsibility on his shoulder in the middle of the Yankees lineup, I think you will see more consistent production from him, including a decrease in strikeouts and an increase in batting average. Posted 01/30 at 11:26 AM
Kevin said...
It’s easy to cherry pick a few players that did well in the walk year, and really, Matthews was most likely a result of PEDs and Lohse a favorable BABIP. You could just as easily name dozens of players who struggled before free agency. Googling works too: http://www.forbes.com/2010/04/13/yankees-phillies-astros-business-sports-bloomberg-baseball.html Posted 01/30 at 06:22 PM
Fungazi said...
Go with some youngsters in a real draft. What’s your avg age of players, 35? Your whole season can crumble before you in no time with all those old players and all you will be able to do is drop them, since no one else will want them. Stats aside, you need to consider age & injury proneness before anything. Posted 02/01 at 01:28 AM
MFG said...
I counted 3 references to lineup protection, 2 references to contract year theory, 1 reference to “change of scenery”, 2 references to better team = more save opportunities, and one reference to a starting pitcher’s “return to greatness” due to better players on the roster. Posted 02/01 at 06:07 PM
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That OF could be dominant or a complete failure. Might have been wise to hedge your bets a bit in rounds 8-10 with a more consistent producer given the type of league your in (frozen rosters). Rounds 5 and 9 (Roy and Paps) might have been the time to do that. That being said, if these players stay healthy and at least produce the average for what they are capable of, you should have a pretty good shot at winning.