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The Verdict: Hardball Times mock draft analysisby Michael SteinJanuary 31, 2012 The Court wants to hear your comments on whether you concur or dissent with the verdict by sending an email to michael.stein @ fantasyjudgment.com, or find us on Facebook and Twitter @FantasyJudgment. Comments
Chris R said...
I think Cabrera’s ascent has more to do with his announced return to 3B than any improvement in protection from Victor Martinez to Fielder. Also, Granderson’s ADP was 73 last year and is 19 this year, per Mock Draft Central, but Ellsbury’s was 63 and now is 7, so your “without a doubt” assertion is wrong. (However, I would much rather have Granderson than Ellsbury, based on durability if nothing else.) Posted 01/31 at 11:05 AM
Vinny said...
The below analysis seems completely backwards to me. Since Gordon has never proven any consistency, unless you say he was consistently bad from 07-10 and Choo was the definition of consistency from 08-10. And Gordon seems to me with the more power upside being 27 and out homering Choo’s career high last yr
Posted 01/31 at 11:09 AM
mymrbig said...
You said Chris Young could be 30-30 player every year (with some improvements), but he only hit 30 HR once, 5 years ago, and has never stolen 30 bases. I think he’s a decent 12th round pick, but your analysis seems a little overly optimistic on that one! I thought Lester, Young, and Street were your best picks. Posted 01/31 at 11:43 AM
Jose Hernandez said...
Gordon consistent? he only had one good season. Posted 01/31 at 12:28 PM
Derek Ambrosino said...
I thought Young was a pretty good pick. I read the Chris Young comment differently. Basically, he has 30-30 potential and 30-30 is a reasonable ceiling for Young. If he rephrased it and said: Young is a good bet for 20-20 and it is somewhat likely that he’ll have a 30-30 season at some point in his career, at age 28 this could very well be that year. This was a good price to pay to find out. That would make sense, right? I think that’s basically what he was saying. Also, while he never went 30-30 before and never stole more than 28 bases, he did go 32/27 and 27/28. That’s not 30-30, but it’s just about there - and certainly supports the idea that 30-30 is reasonably within reach in any given year. Posted 01/31 at 12:49 PM
Michael A. Stein said...
While I did draft some players who are on the down side of their careers such as A-Rod, Soriano, Bay, and Abreu, their value lies in where they were drafted. I am not relying on these players to be the primary source for my statistics. They are now complementary players on a fantasy team. I did not draft A-Rod expecting first round production. Rather, if he can put up 25 HR and 90 RBI, then that would be great value for a 4th round 3rd baseman. The others can still put up passable numbers for their commensurate draft position. I agree that Miguel Cabrera’s draft value has also increased because he will have eligibility at third base. I neglected to mention that above. As for Alex Gordon vs. Shin Soo Choo, I like what I saw out of Gordon last year more than what I saw from Choo before 2011. I think we can count on Gordon to replicate or improve his statistics more than we can count on Choo to return to where he was prior to last year. And thank you Derek…yes, that was my point about Chris Young. Posted 01/31 at 02:02 PM
johnnycuff said...
you drafted a-rod before sandoval, lawrie, youkilis and aramis ramirez came off the board. all of these guys could potentially manage the same 25/90 that you’re expecting from a-rod. taking a-rod 50 picks before aramis is a reach for a player with very little upside, not a value at the place he was chosen. your other veteran picks seem reasonable for their spots, but since you highlighted a-rod i figured it was worth commenting. Posted 01/31 at 04:01 PM
Jeffrey Gross said...
Where does Abreu figure to get regular PT this year? Morales at DH, Pujols at 1B, Bourjos in CF, Hunter/Wells in the corners Posted 01/31 at 05:44 PM
Derek Ambrosino said...
Don’t forget Trumbo - he’ll figure into the 1B/DH logjam too. Posted 01/31 at 06:08 PM
Jeffrey Gross said...
Derek, Trumbo plays 3B now Posted 01/31 at 06:25 PM
Ben Pritchett said...
Troy Glaus 2.0 Posted 02/01 at 12:40 AM
Derek Ambrosino said...
Is that a definite? They resigned Callaspo too. I know Trumbo played some 3B in the minors. Best case scenario is that be bounces around enough to have mutlipositional eligibility. Posted 02/01 at 11:32 AM
Ender said...
I’m in the minority here I know but I think Cabrera lost value with the Fielder signing. I just don’t trust his ability to stay healthy while trying to play 3B every day and I think the whole situation is going to just mess with his head. I’m not big at all on Howard either, he already is only a 2 category player, if he loses any of the power he is really nothing special at all. He basically is worthless for SB and R and hurts you in AVG, it takes a lot to offset that. Abreu won’t be on a roster by the all star break, he is going to end up being the odd man out on that team. I like Cuddyer but I find it hard to believe he can play OF and CI at the same time. I’d like him a lot more if you had him in MI too. Posted 02/01 at 11:37 PM
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Is it 2008? Between A-Rod, Bay, Soriano, Abreu and Howard you have the past-their-primes all-stars! Seriously, that’s a lot of burn out risk in one offense.