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THT Daily: Felix Thrills

by Dave Studeman
April 12, 2007

Major League News for April 12
Today’s Links
Yesterday’s Results
Today’s Games
Standings
Game of the Day
Yesterday’s Home Runs
Top Minor League Performances
Player News

THT Links

Soon, the entire US economy will be based on movies, microcode and delivering pizzas on time to Japanese journalists covering Japanese players in Major League Baseball. As such, I welcome our new overlords, and have to say that the Daisuke Matsuzaka-era has been immensely fun to watch so far. You've got the Boston media, which is insane enough as it is. The baby-faced assassin here to defeat the Evil Empire. Stories of legendary pitches. I'm on the Dice-K bandwagon and riding it all the way to Cooperstown in 2028 baby.

Setting Sun? - Robert Whiting of the Japan Times wonders if Major League Baseball is destroying Japan's national pastime.

Milledge Likely Out - The Mets appear to be planning to demote prospect Lastings Milledge when Mike Pelfry is ready to come up and join the rotation. Milledge has gotten on two at-bats so far this season, and doesn't seem to be happy with the move. Shawn Green's fast start can't be helping either.

Cheap Saves - Jorge Julio is out as Marlins closer. I'll give you all a second to pick Henry Owens or Kevin Gregg up for your fantasy league team. Marlins manager Fredi Gonzalez hasn't announced a replacement yet, but this is exactly why I never draft closers high. By my count, whoever wins the scrum will be the fourth new closer in the first week and a half of the season who probably wasn't drafted (Al Reyes, David Weathers, Dan Wheeler).

Road to Recovery - Checking in on Josh Hamilton, who hit what eventually turned out to be the game-winning home run for the Reds yesterday. In limited action so far, he's hit two home runs and a double with three walks in 12 plate appearances for a .333/.500/1.111 line.

Regression Primer - Not quite sure what the often-bandied term "regression to the mean" really means? Read this handy primer from stats guru (and sometimes THT contributor) Mitchel Lichtman.

Snow Day - Weathermen predict snow showers and temperatures in the high 30s/low 40s for the Giants' upcoming series in Pittsburgh. In California, we would definitely write that off to an "El Nino year."

An Ode to Sport - Mark Armour writes about Sport magazine and its wonderful photojournalism back in the day. I really enjoy reading stories like this because as someone born in the '80s, I can't really remember a world where I couldn't just find pretty much any information I wanted on the Internet. It's like a glimpse of what life was like back in the Stone Ages.

Benedict Bako - Wow. Comedic gold, incisive insight into the Royals fan's psyche and fun Paul Bako desktop backgrounds.

Thursday at THT

Ten Things I Didn’t Know Last Week - Having fun with early-season shenanigans.

Today’s Worst Arm Action… in the World - Shut your eyes if you need to. This is Mark Redman, today's nominee for worst arm action in the world.

Measuring the Change In League Quality (Part Two) - David continues his look at the evolution of league quality, and gives us some conclusions.


THT Links represents the best efforts of our editors in scouring the various tubes of the interweb for both relevant and irrelevant news items. If you have happened upon a story that we have overlooked or wish to give feedback of any sort, please notify us at THT Links.

Updated weekdays at noonish, ET.

Yesterday’s Results
American League
DET     4  BAL     1    (Recap and Boxscore) 12 innings; Monroe: GS HR in 12th
SEA     3  BOS     0    (Recap and Boxscore) See below
TOR     7  KC      4    (Recap and Boxscore)
LAA     4  CLE     1    (Recap and Boxscore) Saunders: 6.2 IP, 1 R
MIN     5  NYA     1    (Recap and Boxscore)
CHA     6  OAK     3    (Recap and Boxscore) Sox score 5 in last 2 innings
TB      6  TEX     5    (Recap and Boxscore) Young: 2 HR

National League
ATL     8  WAS     3    (Recap and Boxscore) James: 6 IP, 0 R
MIL     5  FLA     2    (Recap and Boxscore) Weeks: 2-4, 3B, HR
PHI     5  NYN     2    (Recap and Boxscore) Eaton: 7 IP, 2 R
STL     3  PIT     2    (Recap and Boxscore) Duncan: 9th inning GW HR
CIN     3  ARI     2    (Recap and Boxscore) Hamilton: 2nd HR in 2 games
LAN     3  COL     0    (Recap and Boxscore) Penny: 6.1 IP, 0 R
SD      4  SF      0    (Recap and Boxscore) Maddux: 6 IP, 0 R

Today’s Games
National League
 ---------------
 Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets, 7:10 PM
  (L) Jamie Moyer (1-0) vs. (L) Tom Glavine (1-1)
 Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves, 7:35 PM
  (R) Jason Bergmann (0-1) vs. (R) John Smoltz (1-0)
 
 American League
 ---------------
 LA Angels of Anaheim at Cleveland Indians, 1:05 PM
  (R) Dustin Moseley (1-0) vs. (L) Jeremy Sowers (0-0)
 Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox, 4:05 PM
  (L) Jarrod Washburn (0-0) vs. (R) Tim Wakefield (0-1)
 Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles, 7:05 PM
  (R) Gil Meche (1-1) vs. (R) Steve Trachsel (0-0)
 Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays, 7:07 PM
  (L) Mike Maroth (1-0) vs. (R) Tomo Ohka (0-0)
 Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Minnesota Twins, 8:10 PM
  (L) Casey Fossum (0-1) vs. (R) Carlos Silva (0-1)

Standings
The graphics next to each team are called "sparklines.” They depict each team’s performance over the last month. Each "up" bar is a victory and a "down" bar is a loss. There are horizontal lines for home games and red bars represent games decided by two runs or less. "PWins" is short for Projected Wins, based on each team’s Run Differential, and is often a better measure of a team’s true strength. Other team graphs and stats can be found on our Team Page.
American League East        Pwins  Diff
TOR      5   3 .625    0.0    5     0    sparkline graph
BOS      4   4 .500    1.0    5    -1    sparkline graph
NYA      4   4 .500    1.0    5    -1    sparkline graph
TB       3   5 .375    2.0    3     0    sparkline graph
BAL      3   6 .333    2.5    4    -1    sparkline graph
American League Central     
DET      5   3 .625    0.0    4     1    sparkline graph
MIN      5   3 .625    0.0    4     1    sparkline graph
CLE      3   2 .600    0.5    3     0    sparkline graph
CHA      4   4 .500    1.0    4     0    sparkline graph
KC       3   6 .333    2.5    3     0    sparkline graph
American League West        
LAA      6   3 .667    0.0    6     0    sparkline graph
SEA      3   2 .600    1.0    2     1    sparkline graph
TEX      4   5 .444    2.0    5    -1    sparkline graph
OAK      4   6 .400    2.5    4     0    sparkline graph


National League East        Pwins  Diff
ATL      7   1 .875    0.0    5     2    sparkline graph
NYN      5   3 .625    2.0    7    -2    sparkline graph
FLA      5   4 .556    2.5    5     0    sparkline graph
PHI      2   6 .250    5.0    3    -1    sparkline graph
WAS      1   8 .111    6.5    1     0    sparkline graph
National League Central     
CIN      5   4 .556    0.0    5     0    sparkline graph
MIL      5   4 .556    0.0    5     0    sparkline graph
STL      5   4 .556    0.0    4     1    sparkline graph
PIT      4   5 .444    1.0    4     0    sparkline graph
CHN      3   5 .375    1.5    4    -1    sparkline graph
HOU      3   5 .375    1.5    3     0    sparkline graph
National League West        
ARI      7   3 .700    0.0    6     1    sparkline graph
LAN      6   3 .667    0.5    5     1    sparkline graph
SD       6   3 .667    0.5    6     0    sparkline graph
COL      4   5 .444    2.5    5    -1    sparkline graph
SF       2   7 .222    4.5    2     0    sparkline graph
Game of the Day

Hopefully, you got to watch it on ESPN2. Felix Hernandez was brilliant, outdueling Daisuke Matsuzaka by almost pitching a no-hitter. The only Red Sox hit was a single by J.D. Drew up the middle. In the other headline matchup, Matsuzaka held Ichiro hitless in five at bats
SEATTLE (3) VS BOSTON (0) - FINAL

SEATTLE                ab  r  h rbi bb so lob   avg
I Suzuki cf             5  0  0  0   0  1   2  .222
A Beltre 3b             4  1  1  1   1  0   0  .118
J Vidro dh              5  0  2  1   0  1   3  .150
R Ibanez lf             4  0  0  0   0  1   2  .167
R Sexson 1b             4  0  0  0   0  1   0  .176
J Guillen rf            3  1  2  0   0  0   0  .267
 J Ellison rf           0  0  0  0   0  0   0 1.000
K Johjima c             3  0  2  0   1  0   1  .286
Y Betancourt ss         3  0  0  1   0  0   4  .133
J Lopez 2b              4  1  2  0   0  0   1  .188

Totals                 35  3  9  3   2  4  13

BATTING: 2B - K Johjima 2 (3, D Matsuzaka 2); A Beltre (1, D Matsuzaka). SF - Y 
Betancourt. RBI - Y Betancourt (3), A Beltre (2), J Vidro (1). 2-out RBI - A 
Beltre, J Vidro. Runners left in scoring position, 2 out - J Vidro 1, J Lopez 
1, Y Betancourt 2. GIDP - J Vidro. Team LOB - 9. 
 
FIELDING: DP: 1 (Y Betancourt-A Beltre-R Sexson). 
 
BOSTON                 ab  r  h rbi bb so lob   avg
J Lugo ss               4  0  0  0   0  0   1  .276
K Youkilis 1b           3  0  0  0   1  1   0  .258
D Ortiz dh              3  0  0  0   0  0   1  .207
M Ramirez lf            3  0  0  0   0  1   0  .214
J Drew rf               3  0  1  0   0  1   0  .393
M Lowell 3b             3  0  0  0   0  0   1  .233
J Varitek c             3  0  0  0   0  1   1  .217
C Crisp cf              3  0  0  0   0  2   1  .143
D Pedroia 2b            2  0  0  0   1  0   0  .227

Totals                 27  0  1  0   2  6   5

BATTING: GIDP - D Ortiz. Team LOB - 2. 

FIELDING: E - D Pedroia (2, throw); J Lugo (1, throw). DP: 1 (K Youkilis-J 
Lugo-D Matsuzaka). 
 
----------------------------------------------------
    SEATTLE         - 010 020 000   --   3
    BOSTON          - 000 000 000   --   0
----------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE                      ip       h   r  er  bb  so  hr    era
F Hernandez (W, 2-0)          9       1   0   0   2   6   0   0.00

BOSTON                       ip       h   r  er  bb  so  hr    era
D Matsuzaka (L, 1-1)          7       8   3   3   1   4   0   2.57
J Romero                        2/3   0   0   0   0   0   0   8.10
J Pineiro                     1 1/3   1   0   0   1   0   0   4.91

HBP - J Guillen (by D Matsuzaka). Pitches-strikes: F Hernandez 111-69; D 
Matsuzaka 103-64; J Romero 7-4; J Pineiro 18-13. Ground balls-fly balls: F 
Hernandez 17-4; D Matsuzaka 9-8; J Romero 1-1; J Pineiro 2-2. Batters faced: F 
Hernandez 29; D Matsuzaka 30; J Romero 2; J Pineiro 7. 
 
UMPIRES: HP--Jerry Crawford. 1B--Bill Hohn. 2B--Brian O'Nora. 3B--Phil Cuzzi. 

T--2:22. Att--36,630. 
Weather: 46 degrees, cloudy. Wind: 13 mph, in from center.

The following graph tracks the game's Win Probability, courtesy of Fan Graphs. You can also view live WPA graphs at Fangraphs during any ballgame all season long.

image

Yesterday’s Home Runs
The following stats are provided by Hit Tracker, which logs the projected distance of each home run (if it were to land uninterrupted at field level) and its "standard" distance, which is corrected for weather conditions.
Hitter                  Pitcher                      True Dist. Std. Dist.  HR #
Jones, Chipper   ATL    Williams, Jerome      WAS       442        440        1
Monroe, Craig    DET    Birkins, Kurt         BAL       417        432        1
Young, Michael   TEX    Shields, James        TB        422        422        2
Jones, Andruw    ATL    Wagner, Ryan          WAS       422        419        2
Young, Michael   TEX    Shields, James        TB        420        417        1
Duncan, Chris    STL    Torres, Salomon       PIT       406        409        2
Pena, Carlos     TB     Tejeda, Robinson      TEX       400        398        1
Cabrera, Miguel  FLA    Bush, Dave            MIL       400        397        3
Weeks, Rickie    MIL    Mitre, Sergio         FLA       406        392        2
Zobrist, Ben     TB     Tejeda, Robinson      TEX       396        392        1
DeJesus, David   KC     Chacin, Gustavo       TOR       393        392        2
Dye, Jermaine    CWS    Duchscherer, Justin   OAK       400        382        1
Kinsler, Ian     TEX    Shields, James        TB        376        376        4
Hamilton, Josh   CIN    Medders, Brandon      ARI       384        375        2
Borchard, Joe    FLA    Wise, Matt            MIL       374        371        1
Glaus, Troy      TOR    De La Rosa, Jorge     KC        363        362        2
Peralta, Jhonny  CLE    Saunders, Joe         LAA       355        354        1

Top Minor League Games
The following list, provided by First Inning, includes the top minor league batting (based on Runs Created) and pitching (based on Game Score) performances from yesterday.
ORG LVL PLAYER            POS AB  H 2B 3B HR BB SO  Notes
ATL AA  Brandon Jones      LF  4  3  0  0  1  0  1  .577 OBP during past week
BOS A+  Aaron Bates        1B  4  3  2  0  1  0  1  3 runs scored
CHW AA  Thomas Collaro     RF  4  3  3  0  0  0  1   
CLE AAA Shin-Soo Choo      LF  3  3  2  0  0  2  0   
DET A+  Cameron Maybin     CF  3  2  1  0  1  1  1   
DET A+  Dusty Ryan          C  3  3  0  0  2  0  0   
FLA AAA                    1B  4  3  0  0  1  0  1  4 runs scored
FLA AAA John Baker          C  5  4  1  0  1  0  0   
NYM AAA Andy Tracy         1B  4  3  0  0  2  0  1   
OAK A+  Nick Blasi         LF  4  4  0  0  2  1  0  5 RBI
 
ORG LVL PLAYER             IP   H  R ER SO BB HR  Notes
BOS AAA Devern Hansack     5.0  2  1  0 10  2  0   
CIN AAA Phil Dumatrait     7.0  3  2  1  6  2  0   
LA  AA  William Juarez     7.0  5  0  0  6  1  0   
LAA A+  Jered Weaver       7.0  3  0  0  7  2  0   
NYY AA  Chase Wright       7.0  1  0  0 10  1  0   
OAK AAA Brad Halsey        5.2  4  0  0  8  2  0   

Player News
Player Headlines are courtesy of Rotoworld

Mike Mussina said he believes he'll miss his next start but avoid the disabled list after suffering a strained left hamstring on Wednesday. That's what he says, but it's better than 50-50 that he lands on the DL. Darrell Rasner can fill in for him next week.

According to the Los Angeles Times, Jered Weaver's (shoulder) scheduled Monday return against the Red Sox "is looking a little iffy." Weaver is expected to throw 90 pitches in a start at Single-A Wednesday, but the Angels could decide that he needs one more minor league appearance before returning. "It's penciled in," manager Mike Scioscia said. "It will depend on how he feels. If he can pitch a little deeper into the game and get his pitch count where it needs to be and maintain his velocity, we'll certainly look at doing that. But there's a chance he could need one more rehab start."

Player news items are provided by CBS SportsLine.com.

Seattle Mariners left-hander Arthur Rhodes has a torn ligament in his pitching elbow and is considering ligament replacement surgery that would keep him out for the rest of the season. Team medical director Dr. Edward Khalfayan said Rhodes has a choice between pitching with the tear or having Tommy John surgery. Rhodes is expected to get a second opinion. "It's not good news," manager Mike Hargrove said before Wednesday night's game against Boston. "We feel like we've got people that can come in and fill in for him. It makes it tough, but we've got capable people."

Jaret Wright isn't out of the Baltimore Orioles starting rotation yet, although the right-hander didn't sound optimistic Wednesday when asked to report on the condition of his ailing shoulder. "It only hurts when I throw," Wright said. Wright left Tuesday's game against the Detroit Tigers with stiffness in his right shoulder.

According to MLB.com, Marlins manager Fredi Gonzalez was noncommittal Wednesday about Jorge Julio remaining the team's closer a day after he blew his second save of the season against the Brewers. "We'll do what's best for the team, the organization and the individual," Gonzalez said. Julio is 0-1 with a 14.73 ERA in 3 2/3 innings. He also has six walks to one strikeouts.

2B Brent Abernathy was acquired by the Nationals from the Phillies organization for future considerations. Abernathy had been playing at Triple-A Ottawa. He was replaced on the Lynx roster by 2B Joe Thurston, who was released by the Nationals after failing to make the opening-day roster.

Cubs OF prospect Felix Pie has opened the season hitting .474 (9-for-19) for Triple-A Iowa. In five games, he also has nine runs, one double, one homer, one RBI and one stolen base. Mariners OF prospect Adam Jones went 3-for-5 with a double during Tuesday's game for Triple-A Tacoma. The three hits raised his average to .391 (9-23) in six games. He also has three runs, two doubles, a homer and five RBI. Royals OF prospect Billy Butler has played just six games in Triple-A, but has three home runs to show for it. Yankees OF prospect Jose Tabata has opened the season at Class A Tampa by hitting .444 (8-18) through the first six games. He also has three runs, one triple, one homer, two RBI and two stolen bases.

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