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THT Daily: Muddle

by Matthew Carruth
September 05, 2007

Major League News for September 5
Today’s Links
Player News
Yesterday’s Results
Today’s Games
Standings
Game of the Day
Top Minor League Performances

You can always find the most recent THT Daily at http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/content/thtdaily/

THT Links

Blogs - It's always entertaining to read blogs by athletes; they can offer us more intimate glimpses into the people that we as a society spend so much time idolizing. You could say it all started with Jim Bouton with Ball Four being the first ever athlete blog, though in print form (believe me, 30 years from now, that's how we'll be thinking about these things). From Paul Shirley and Gilbert Arenas' NBA blogs to C.J. Wilson on the Rangers, we have quite a few good blogs out there. Add this one to the mix: 26-year-old journeyman minor league pitcher Dirk Hayhurst, who offers up some unique angles on minor league life.

Free Agent Hitters - For those of us rooting on teams whose biggest interest lies in December and January, here's the list of free agent hitters for this offseason.

Sarge Junior - In light of the above list, here's a little blip from Adam Morris regarding the worth of Gary Matthews Jr. and his $50 million contract. Who didn't see this one coming? All of you with arms raised, congratulations. You are qualified to be GM for a Los Angeles/Anaheim-based sports franchise.

Necessary Adjustments - Josh Kalk has some wonderful work on the beginnings of adjustments to the pitch f/x data based on ballpark. Because we all know it's impossible to set those things up exactly the same in every location.

Managers - Among the list of people who do not deserve the cushy job they have, baseball most be highly over represented. Chief among them are managers who constantly do things like this.

The Braves Way - Derek Zumsteg, responding to a different article about veteran playing time over young players during playoff runs, offers up the Atlanta Braves as a pinnacle example of a team not afraid to work in new talent even in the midst of winning division after division.

THT Links represents the best efforts of our editors in scouring the various tubes of the interweb for both relevant and irrelevant news items. If you have happened upon a story that we have overlooked or wish to give feedback of any sort, please notify us at (JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).

Player News
Player Headlines are courtesy of Rotoworld

Miguel Cabrera singled in Hanley Ramirez on Tuesday to become the third-youngest player to reach 500 RBI. Cabrera, who is 24 years and 139 days trails only Mel Ott (23 years, 74 days) and Ted Williams (24 years, 4 days). He's four RBI away from becoming the third-youngest player with four consecutive 100-RBI seasons. Ott and Williams beat him there, too.

Paul Lo Duca homered twice and drove in a career-high seven runs Tuesday to lead the Mets to an 11-7 win over the Reds. Where did that come from? He only had five homers and 34 RBI all year, with no long balls at all since June 30. It was the third multi-homer game of Lo Duca's career, but first since October 2001. All told, Lo Duca was 3-for-5, raising his BA to .269 as the Mets won their season-best fifth straight game. The NL East leaders are getting hot at the right time.

Jermaine Dye left Tuesday' game after four innings because of a strained left quadriceps. It was the other quad that Dye injured back in June. He's considered day-to-day. Darin Erstad replaced him tonight and likely will fill in for at least another day or two.

With Tim Wakefield expected to make his start on Thursday, Clay Buchholz is being sent to the bullpen for now. If the Red Sox intend to give Buchholz a chance to make the postseason roster as a reliever, it's hard to complain about this. Buchholz would be a better bet as a starter than Jon Lester from here on in, but Boston's lead is pretty comfortable now anyway and only an injury to one of the top four guys would have made Buchholz a candidate for the postseason rotation.

Gary Sheffield (shoulder) believes he'll be back in Detroit's lineup when he's first eligible to come off the disabled list on Thursday. "I feel a lot better," Sheffield said. "The first couple of swings, I noticed the difference. I was able to finish my swing." If true, he should be able to generate more power than he was while struggling to play through his soreness a last month.

Roger Clemens will have a cortisone shot Wednesday for his sore right elbow. Still no word on what Monday's MRI turned up. It's believed Clemens will miss his next start, but he expects to pitch again this month. Mike Mussina is expected to fill in for Clemens this weekend.

Yesterday’s Results
American League
BOS     5  TOR     3    (Recap and Boxscore)
NYA    12  SEA     3    (Recap and Boxscore)
BAL     8  TB      4    (Recap and Boxscore)
CHA     3  DET     1    (Recap and Boxscore)
CLE     7  MIN     5    (Recap and Boxscore) 11 innings
LAA     4  OAK     3    (Recap and Boxscore)
TEX     9  KC      8    (Recap and Boxscore)

National League
PHI     5  ATL     2    (Recap and Boxscore)
WAS     4  FLA     3    (Recap and Boxscore)
LAN     6  CHN     2    (Recap and Boxscore)
NYN    11  CIN     7    (Recap and Boxscore)
MIL     5  HOU     3    (Recap and Boxscore)
STL     6  PIT     2    (Recap and Boxscore)
ARI     9  SD      1    (Recap and Boxscore)
COL     6  SF      5    (Recap and Boxscore)
You can download a compact version of yesterday's boxscores from Heater Magazine.

First Inning's Major and Minor League Daily Reports:

Today’s Games
National League
 ---------------
 New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds, 12:35 PM
  (R) John Maine (14-8) vs. (R) Tom Shearn (1-0)
 Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves, 1:05 PM
  (R) Kyle Kendrick (8-3) vs. (R) Tim Hudson (15-7)
 Florida Marlins at Washington Nationals, 7:05 PM
  (R) Sergio Mitre (5-8) vs. (R) Tim Redding (3-5)
 Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 PM
  (L) Eric Stults (1-2) vs. (L) Ted Lilly (13-7)
 Houston Astros at Milwaukee Brewers, 8:05 PM
  (R) Matt Albers (4-6) vs. (R) Yovani Gallardo (6-4)
 Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:10 PM
  (R) Bryan Bullington (0-0) vs. (L) Mark Mulder (0-0)
 San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies, 8:35 PM
  (R) Kevin Correia (3-6) vs. (R) Ubaldo Jimenez (3-2)
 San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks, 9:40 PM
  (R) Jack Cassel (0-0) vs. (R) Livan Hernandez (9-9)
 
 American League
 ---------------
 Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins, 1:10 PM
  (R) Fausto Carmona (14-8) vs. (R) Scott Baker (8-6)
 Oakland Athletics at LA Angels of Anaheim, 3:35 PM
  (R) Joe Blanton (11-9) vs. (L) Joe Saunders (7-2)
 Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers, 7:05 PM
  (R) Gavin Floyd (1-2) vs. (L) Kenny Rogers (3-2)
 Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees, 7:05 PM
  (L) Jarrod Washburn (9-12) vs. (R) Phil Hughes (2-3)
 Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox, 7:05 PM
  (R) Shaun Marcum (12-5) vs. (R) Curt Schilling (8-6)
 Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Devil Rays, 7:10 PM
  (R) Radhames Liz (0-1) vs. (R) Andrew Sonnanstine (4-9)
 Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers, 8:05 PM
  (R) Kyle Davies (2-3) vs. (R) Vicente Padilla (4-9)

Standings
The graphics next to each team are called "sparklines.” They depict each team’s performance over the last month. Each "up" bar is a victory and a "down" bar is a loss. There are horizontal lines for home games and red bars represent games decided by two runs or less. "PWins" is short for Projected Wins, based on each team’s Run Differential, and is often a better measure of a team’s true strength. Other team graphs and stats can be found on our Team Page.
American League East        Pwins  Diff
BOS     84  55 .604    0.0   88    -4    sparkline graph
NYA     77  62 .554    7.0   82    -5    sparkline graph
TOR     70  68 .507   13.5   73    -3    sparkline graph
BAL     60  77 .438   23.0   63    -3    sparkline graph
TB      57  82 .410   27.0   55     2    sparkline graph
American League Central     
CLE     80  58 .580    0.0   77     3    sparkline graph
DET     73  65 .529    7.0   75    -2    sparkline graph
MIN     69  70 .496   11.5   70    -1    sparkline graph
KC      62  76 .449   18.0   66    -4    sparkline graph
CHA     59  79 .428   21.0   54     5    sparkline graph
American League West        
LAA     82  56 .594    0.0   78     4    sparkline graph
SEA     74  63 .540    7.5   68     6    sparkline graph
OAK     68  72 .486   15.0   69    -1    sparkline graph
TEX     64  74 .464   18.0   66    -2    sparkline graph


National League East        Pwins  Diff
NYN     78  60 .565    0.0   76     2    sparkline graph
PHI     73  65 .529    5.0   73     0    sparkline graph
ATL     70  69 .504    8.5   74    -4    sparkline graph
WAS     62  77 .446   16.5   59     3    sparkline graph
FLA     60  79 .432   18.5   62    -2    sparkline graph
National League Central     
CHN     70  67 .511    0.0   72    -2    sparkline graph
MIL     70  68 .507    0.5   69     1    sparkline graph
STL     68  67 .504    1.0   61     7    sparkline graph
CIN     62  77 .446    9.0   63    -1    sparkline graph
HOU     62  77 .446    9.0   61     1    sparkline graph
PIT     60  78 .435   10.5   61    -1    sparkline graph
National League West        
SD      76  62 .551    0.0   77    -1    sparkline graph
ARI     77  63 .550    0.0   66    11    sparkline graph
LAN     73  65 .529    3.0   73     0    sparkline graph
COL     72  66 .522    4.0   74    -2    sparkline graph
SF      62  77 .446   14.5   68    -6    sparkline graph


Wildcard Standings
American League             
NYA     77  62 .554    0.0
SEA     74  63 .540    2.0
DET     73  65 .529    3.5
TOR     70  68 .507    6.5
MIN     69  70 .496    8.0
National League             
PHI     73  65 .529    0.0
LAN     73  65 .529    0.0
COL     72  66 .522    1.0
MIL     70  68 .507    3.0
ATL     70  69 .504    3.5

Game of the Day
The Nationals dropped the Marlins further into last place in the NL Central by prevailing last night, 4-3. Dontrelle Willis pitched a nice game for the Marlins, but the Nationals’ Jesus Flores hit a two-out, two-run double off Kevin Gregg in the bottom of the ninth to provide the come-from-behind victory.
FLORIDA (3) VS WASHINGTON (4) - FINAL

FLORIDA                ab  r  h rbi bb so lob   avg
H Ramirez ss            5  1  2  0   0  1   1  .334
A Amezaga 2b            4  0  2  0   0  1   1  .266
J Hermida rf            4  1  1  0   0  0   4  .282
M Cabrera 3b            4  0  1  1   0  0   3  .315
J Willingham lf         4  1  1  1   0  1   2  .271
M Jacobs 1b             4  0  3  1   0  0   0  .273
 J Wood 1b              0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .267
C Ross cf               4  0  1  0   0  2   2  .333
M Olivo c               4  0  0  0   0  3   3  .231
D Willis p              3  0  0  0   0  0   1  .222
 L Gardner p            0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 a-T Linden ph          0  0  0  0   1  0   0  .221
 R Abercrombie pr       0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .212
 K Gregg p              0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000

Totals                 36  3 11  3   1  8  17

a-walked for L Gardner in the 9th.

BATTING: 2B - M Jacobs (21, S Hill); J Hermida (24, S Hill); J Willingham (30, 
S Hill). RBI - J Willingham (86), M Jacobs (40), M Cabrera (96). 2-out RBI - M 
Cabrera. Runners left in scoring position, 2 out - M Olivo 1, M Cabrera 1, J 
Willingham 1. GIDP - H Ramirez. Team LOB - 7. 
 
BASERUNNING: SB - H Ramirez 2 (45, 2nd base off W Abreu/J Flores, 2nd base 
off S Hill/J Flores). CS - M Jacobs (2, 2nd base by S Hill/J Flores). 
 
FIELDING: DP: 3 (M Cabrera-A Amezaga, D Willis-A Amezaga-M Jacobs, A 
Amezaga-J Wood). 
 
WASHINGTON             ab  r  h rbi bb so lob   avg
N Logan cf              4  1  2  0   0  1   1  .272
F Lopez ss              3  1  2  0   0  1   1  .246
R Zimmerman 3b          2  0  1  1   2  0   2  .270
D Young 1b              3  0  0  0   1  0   3  .330
 R Langerhans pr        0  1  0  0   0  0   0  .156
A Kearns rf             4  0  1  1   0  2   1  .265
W Pena lf               4  1  1  0   0  1   2  .245
R Belliard 2b           4  0  1  0   0  1   2  .279
J Flores c              4  0  2  2   0  0   0  .257
S Hill p                1  0  0  0   0  0   0  .095
 A Munoz p              0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 W Abreu p              0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 L Ayala p              0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 a-T Batista ph         1  0  0  0   0  0   0  .269
 C Schroder p           0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000

Totals                 30  4 10  4   3  6  12

a-flied out to left for L Ayala in the 8th.

BATTING: 2B - N Logan 2 (17, D Willis 2); R Zimmerman (36, D Willis); J Flores 
(7, K Gregg). S - F Lopez , S Hill. RBI - A Kearns (57), R Zimmerman (82), J 
Flores 2 (23). 2-out RBI - A Kearns, J Flores 2. Runners left in scoring 
position, 2 out - F Lopez 1, W Pena 1. GIDP - D Young. Team LOB - 5. 
 
BASERUNNING: Picked Off - R Belliard (1st base, M Olivo). 
 
FIELDING: E - J Flores 2 (3, dropped foul ball 2). DP: 1 (R Belliard-F 
Lopez-D Young). 
 
----------------------------------------------------
    FLORIDA         - 000 210 000   --   3
    WASHINGTON      - 101 000 002   --   4

Two outs when winning run scored.
----------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA                      ip       h   r  er  bb  so  hr    era
D Willis                      7 1/3   8   2   2   2   5   0   5.01
L Gardner (H, 3)                2/3   0   0   0   0   0   0   2.18
K Gregg (L, 0-5; B, 3)          2/3   2   2   2   1   1   0   3.27

WASHINGTON                   ip       h   r  er  bb  so  hr    era
S Hill                        6 1/3  11   3   3   0   6   0   2.98
A Munoz                         1/3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0.00
W Abreu                         1/3   0   0   0   0   0   0   6.29
L Ayala                       1       0   0   0   0   1   0   3.19
C Schroder (W, 2-1)           1       0   0   0   1   1   0   2.29

WP - S Hill. Pitches-strikes: D Willis 111-65; L Gardner 3-3; K Gregg 21-12; 
S Hill 97-71; A Munoz 2-2; W Abreu 4-3; L Ayala 16-10; C Schroder 17-10. Ground 
balls-fly balls: D Willis 8-7; L Gardner 0-1; K Gregg 0-1; S Hill 8-4; A Munoz 
0-1; W Abreu 0-1; L Ayala 1-1; C Schroder 2-0. Batters faced: D Willis 29; L 
Gardner 1; K Gregg 5; S Hill 29; A Munoz 1; W Abreu 1; L Ayala 3; C Schroder 3. 
 
UMPIRES: HP--Bill Welke. 1B--Laz Diaz. 2B--Wally Bell. 3B--Mike Dimuro. 

T--2:50. Att--15,611. 
Weather: 89 degrees, clear. Wind: 0 mph, n/a.

The following graph tracks the game's Win Probability, courtesy of Fan Graphs. You can also view live WPA graphs at Fangraphs during any ballgame all season long.

image

Top Minor League Games
The following list, provided by First Inning, includes the top minor league batting (based on Runs Created) and pitching (based on Game Score) performances from yesterday, with a focus on each team’s top prospects.
ORG LVL PLAYER            AB  H 2B 3B HR BB SO  Notes
OAK A-  Matthew Sulentic.. 3  1  0  1  0  2  1  
BOS AA  J. Corsaletti..... 5  4  0  0  1  0  1  3 R
SF  A-  Sharlon Schoop.... 3  1  1  0  0  2  1  
BOS AA  Aaron Bates....... 4  2  1  0  0  0  1  
FLA A-  Thomas Hickman.... 4  1  0  0  0  0  1  
TOR AA  Ryan Patterson.... 5  1  0  0  0  0  0  
BOS AA  Thomas Hottovy.... 0  0  0  0  0  0  0  
TOR AA  Kyle Yates........ 0  0  0  0  0  0  0  
BOS AA  Jeff Natale....... 2  0  0  0  0  0  0  
PIT A-  Michael Felix..... 0  0  0  0  0  0  0  
DET A-  Ronald Bourquin... 4  0  0  0  0  0  2  
NYM A-  Eddie Kunz........ 0  0  0  0  0  0  0  

ORG LVL PLAYER            IP  H  R ER SO BB HR  Notes
PIT A-  Michael Felix..... 2  0  0  0  3  3  0  
BOS AA  Thomas Hottovy.... 5  5  1  1  1  2  1  9 OF
TOR AA  Kyle Yates........ 3  8  5  5  2  1  3  
PIT A-  Daniel Moskos..... 1  1  0  0  2  0  0  
SF  A-  Daniel Turpen..... 1  1  1  1  1  0  1  2 GB
PHI A-  Walter Tejeda..... 1  2  2  1  1  0  1  2 OF
HOU A-  Jordan Powell..... 2  1  1  0  4  1  0  
CHC A-  C. Huseby......... 2  1  0  0  0  1  0  
PIT A-  Thomas Boleska.... 1  1  0  0  0  1  0  2 GB
SF  A-  Oliver Odle....... 4  5  3  3  2  2  0  7 GB
CLE A-  Jonathan Holt..... 2  2  1  0  1  1  0  
HOU A-  David Dinelli..... 2  0  0  0  2  1  0  

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Matthew Carruth is an editor for The Hardball Times. He welcomes any and all sorts of communication at his email.


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