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THT Daily: Phew

by Dave Studeman
June 30, 2008

Player News
Yesterday’s Results
Today’s Games
Standings
Game of the Day
Yesterday’s Home Runs
Top Minor League Performances

You can always find the most recent THT Daily at http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/content/thtdaily/ and an archive at http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/thtdaily_index/
On this day at THT: Aaron listed the 2004 Bizarro World All Stars.
image
Ronnie Belliard is mobbed after his two-run waddle-off home run in the 12th. (Icon/SMI)

Player News
Player Headlines are courtesy of Rotoworld

Aramis Ramirez will miss the Cubs' next three games to tend to a family matter in the Dominican Republic. He originally asked for four days off, but was only given three. Mark DeRosa and Ronny Cedeno are the most likely fill-ins at third, with Matt Murton possibly seeing a little time in the outfield.

The Dodgers are calling Juan Pierre day-to-day with a left knee injury, but he will have an MRI on Monday. Pierre wanted to stay in today's game after getting hurt and has played through injuries in the past, so maybe he'll prove to be fine to use this week. Still, since the speedster is useless when he's not running at 100 percent, the Dodgers have reason to be extra careful. Mixed leaguers should look elsewhere.

Kevin Slowey tossed a complete-game shutout against the Brewers on Sunday. Slowey struck out eight, walked none, and gave up just three hits. Only one of the three hits went for extra bases (a double), and he threw 79 strikes while needing just 109 pitches to record 27 outs. His home run tendencies mean he'll never be an ace, but Slowey is more than capable of posting an ERA below 4.00 while posting a K/BB similar to his current 54/9 mark in 72 2/3 innings. He'll get the Indians next time out.

Michael Cuddyer is likely headed to the disabled list with a strained tendon in his left hand. Cuddyer had yet to be examined as scheduled Sunday, but no one seems optimistic about a quick return. "It's no better today," manager Ron Gardenhire said. "He's pretty frustrated. We still need to let the doctors look at it." Denard Span should have some short-term fantasy value if Cuddyer lands on the DL.

Yesterday’s Results
Game recaps provided by Craig Calcaterra of Shysterball.

Angels 1, Dodgers 0: I imagine Jayson Stark will tell me if I'm wrong, but I'm going to go out on a limb here and guess that this is the first time a team has had three hits over the course of two games and split 'em. Nice series for the Angles' bats by the way (1 run in three games).

Mets 3, Yankees 1: Not a bad start for Darrell Rasner (5 IP, 8 H, 3 ER) but you have to wonder if he wouldn't have be sharper over his last couple of games if he hadn't spent so much time talking to Jason at It is About the Money, Stupid.

Twins 5, Brewers 0: The Twins are 13-2 in their last 15. Yeah, I think I'll start paying more attention now. Actually, I may not have a choice, as the White Sox, Twins, and Tigers look poised to make the AL Central the race to watch in the second half. After getting shelled by the White Sox on June 8th, Kevin Slowey has given up only three earned runs on 19 hits in 29 innings.

Rays 4, Pirates 3: Quote from Rays catcher Shawn Riggans: "We've got a lot of work ahead of us. Interleague play is done now." Man, when the backup catcher for the Tampa Bay Rays is dissin' the NL like that, you know there's an imbalance between the leagues. The Rays are in first place again, by the way, and they have tons of young talent to deal if they feel like arming for bear. If you're Boston, you should be nervous. If you're New York, you should be downright terrified.

Reds 9, Indians 5: If there is still anyone out there who thinks the Indians have a chance to make a run, they probably need to take note of the fact that the Reds now have a better record than they do. They're simply not running out a Major League lineup most nights, and that's not a sustainable situation. The buzz among the SABR wiseguys at Progressive Field Friday night was that we may very well have been watching C.C. Sabathia's last start as an Indian. I don't know about that, but if I'm Mark Shapiro, I'm on the phone soliciting the best offers I can find and hoping to pull the Bartolo Colon trade redux.

Blue Jays 1, Braves 0: The Braves aren't running out much of a lineup themselves. If Chipper isn't able to go against the Phillies on Tuesday night, they have to DL him, because Bobby Cox just doesn't have enough warm bodies -- let alone decent players -- at his disposal right now.

Mariners 9, Padres 2: Ichiro goes 5-5, as the Padres lay claim to Seattle's title as "The Worst Team in Baseball." Given the weather and the fish tacos and all of that good stuff, things never get truly ugly in San Diego, but this quote from Jake Peavy is the kind of thing that leads to major shakeups: "You have to be real with yourself. I know that I can't go six innings and give up three runs and think that I'm going to win a ballgame around here. It's just not the way it's going. I knew when I gave up the home run in the sixth inning it was probably the game."

Tigers 4, Rockies 3: Speaking of futile, the Rockies have dropped seven in a row and eight of nine. Next up for the Rockies: our friends the Padres. I suppose someone has to win those games, but I can't picture either San Diego or Colorado doing it.

Marlins 4, Diamondbacks 3: Tough luck loss for Danny Haren (7 IP, 5 H, 0 ER). Eric Byrnes -- who was stinkin' up the joint before he went on the DL and has been stinkin' up the joint since he got back -- was benched today, and Bob Melvin said that he's out of the leadoff position when he comes back. It's obvious this team needs a shakeup of some kind, so that's probably a good start.

Astros 3, Red Sox 2: The Sox drop two of three to the lowly 'Stros, and now have to face a Rays team that is as tweaked as can be. Nothing is do or die before the All-Star break, and given the experience and talent of this Red Sox team, they could drop three in a row and it's not really going to matter that much. Still, you have to think that there are some unsettled stomachs in the more excitable enclaves of Red Sox Nation.

Nationals 3, Orioles 2: Since it's Ronnie Belliard we're talking about here, let's just call his game winning shot in the bottom of the 12th a "waddle off" home run. Looking at the box score reveals that the Nats used four left fielders in this game: Wily Mo Pena, Willie Harris, Kory Casto and Paul Lo Duca. That crew is known in Nats' circles as the SSDD platoon.

Cardinals 9, Royals 6: The AP game story starts off like a diary entry from Andrew Sullivan's annual trip to Provincetown: "The sun, the wind, and Jason LaRue's stocky body proved too much for Kansas City to overcome." Apparently the wind was blowing all game long, and when you're a junkballer who gives up a lot of contact like Brian Bannister does, that's going to make for a long day.

Giants 11, A's 1: What's up with Joe Blanton? He has now lost for the fifth time in six starts for a grand total of 11 pre-All-Star break losses. Yesterday he gave up seven runs in four innings, and 16 runs over his last 14 innings. Wasn't there some notion in the early going that of the A's wanted to compete this year they needed to keep Blanton, but if they wanted to tear it completely down, they'd deal him? Man, false dichotomies suck, don't they?

Rangers 5, Phillies 1: The Phillies pull a 12-14 June out of their rears yet still somehow find themselves a game up as July dawns. One wonders how ugly things would be in Philly if the Braves hadn't entered the season depending on a rotation of Methuselahs and if the Mets hadn't spent the majority of the month as a side show.

White Sox 5, Cubs 1: I was pleased to see Piniella tossed in the second inning because that allowed Alan Trammell to come out and argue the double play Ronny Cedeno hit into in the fourth. He was my boyhood idol, so anytime I get a chance to see him audition for another manager job like that, I'm happy.

You can download a compact version of yesterday's boxscores from Heater Magazine.

First Inning's Major and Minor League Daily Reports:

Today’s Games
National League
 ---------------
 New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals, 7:05 PM
  (R) John Maine (8-5) vs. (R) Kyle Lohse (9-2)
 Washington Nationals at Florida Marlins, 7:10 PM
  (R) Tim Redding (6-3) vs. (R) Ryan Tucker (2-2)
 Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 PM
  (L) Paul Maholm (5-5) vs. (R) Aaron Harang (3-10)
 Los Angeles Dodgers at Houston Astros, 8:05 PM
  (L) Eric Stults (2-0) vs. (R) Roy Oswalt (6-8)
 San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies, 9:05 PM
  (R) Greg Maddux (3-6) vs. (L) Jorge De La Rosa (2-4)
 Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks, 9:40 PM
  (R) Dave Bush (4-7) vs. (L) Doug Davis (2-3)
 Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants, 10:15 PM
  (L) Ted Lilly (8-5) vs. (L) Barry Zito (3-11)
 
 American League
 ---------------
 Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles, 7:05 PM
  (R) Zack Greinke (7-4) vs. (L) Brian Burres (6-5)
 Texas Rangers at New York Yankees, 7:05 PM
  (R) Scott Feldman (1-3) vs. (R) Mike Mussina (10-5)
 Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays, 7:10 PM
  (R) Justin Masterson (4-1) vs. (R) James Shields (5-5)
 Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins, 8:10 PM
  (R) Armando Galarraga (7-2) vs. (L) Glen Perkins (4-2)
 Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox, 8:11 PM
  (L) Jeremy Sowers (0-3) vs. (R) Gavin Floyd (8-4)
 Oakland Athletics at LA Angels of Anaheim, 10:05 PM
  (L) Greg Smith (4-6) vs. (R) Jon Garland (7-4)
 Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners, 10:10 PM
  (R) Roy Halladay (8-6) vs. (R) R.A. Dickey (2-3)

Standings
The graphics next to each team are called "sparklines.” They depict each team’s performance over the last month. Each "up" bar is a victory and a "down" bar is a loss. There are horizontal lines for home games and red bars represent games decided by two runs or less. "PWins" is short for Projected Wins, based on each team’s Run Differential, and is often a better measure of a team’s true strength. Other team graphs and stats can be found on our Team Page.
American League East        Pwins  Diff
TB      49  32 .605    0.0   46     3    sparkline graph
BOS     50  34 .595    0.5   49     1    sparkline graph
NYA     44  38 .537    5.5   43     1    sparkline graph
BAL     41  39 .513    7.5   40     1    sparkline graph
TOR     40  43 .482   10.0   45    -5    sparkline graph
American League Central     
CHA     46  35 .568    0.0   50    -4    sparkline graph
MIN     45  37 .549    1.5   42     3    sparkline graph
DET     41  40 .506    5.0   41     0    sparkline graph
CLE     37  45 .451    9.5   42    -5    sparkline graph
KC      37  45 .451    9.5   36     1    sparkline graph
American League West        
LAA     49  33 .598    0.0   42     7    sparkline graph
OAK     44  37 .543    4.5   47    -3    sparkline graph
TEX     42  41 .506    7.5   41     1    sparkline graph
SEA     31  50 .383   17.5   34    -3    sparkline graph


National League East        Pwins  Diff
PHI     44  39 .530    0.0   49    -5    sparkline graph
FLA     42  39 .519    1.0   39     3    sparkline graph
NYN     40  41 .494    3.0   40     0    sparkline graph
ATL     40  43 .482    4.0   46    -6    sparkline graph
WAS     33  50 .398   11.0   30     3    sparkline graph
National League Central     
CHN     49  33 .598    0.0   50    -1    sparkline graph
STL     47  36 .566    2.5   44     3    sparkline graph
MIL     44  37 .543    4.5   40     4    sparkline graph
HOU     39  43 .476   10.0   37     2    sparkline graph
PIT     38  43 .469   10.5   36     2    sparkline graph
CIN     38  45 .458   11.5   36     2    sparkline graph
National League West        
ARI     41  41 .500    0.0   42    -1    sparkline graph
LAN     38  43 .469    2.5   41    -3    sparkline graph
SF      36  46 .439    5.0   37    -1    sparkline graph
COL     32  50 .390    9.0   33    -1    sparkline graph
SD      32  51 .386    9.5   32     0    sparkline graph

Game of the Day
Nationals 3, Orioles 2 - FINAL

BALTIMORE              ab  r  h rbi bb so lob   avg
B Roberts 2b            5  0  1  0   0  1   0  .293
A Cintron ss            5  0  0  0   0  1   0  .258
N Markakis rf           5  1  2  0   0  0   0  .288
A Huff 3b               4  0  1  0   1  0   1  .275
K Millar 1b             5  0  1  0   0  1   3  .241
L Scott lf              5  1  2  1   0  1   3  .280
A Jones cf              5  0  1  1   0  2   3  .273
G Quiroz c              5  0  0  0   0  1   3  .213
J Guthrie p             2  0  1  0   0  0   0  .200
 va-J Payton ph         1  0  0  0   0  1   0  .256
 J Johnson p            0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 C Bradford p           0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 vb-M Mora ph           1  0  0  0   0  0   0  .232
 D Sarfate p            0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 G Sherrill p           0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000

Totals                 43  2  9  2   1  8  13   ###

WASHINGTON             ab  r  h rbi bb so lob   avg
R Bernadina cf          5  1  1  0   0  0   1  .200
C Guzman ss             3  0  1  0   1  1   0  .313
E Dukes rf              4  0  0  0   1  2   3  .250
A Boone 1b              5  0  1  1   0  0   2  .260
K Casto 3b-lf           5  0  0  0   0  0   3  .188
 J Hanrahan p           0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
W Pena lf               2  0  1  0   1  0   0  .218
 P Orr pr-2b            2  0  1  0   0  1   0  .182
W Harris 2b-lf          4  0  2  0   0  0   2  .198
 L Ayala p              0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 C Manning p            0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 P Lo Duca lf           1  0  0  0   0  0   0  .191
W Nieves c              4  0  0  0   0  2   2  .260
 hb-D Young ph          0  1  0  0   1  0   0  .267
J Bergmann p            2  0  0  0   0  1   1  .000
 S Rivera p             0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 ha-J Flores ph         1  0  1  0   0  0   0  .292
 F Lopez pr             0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .243
 J Rauch p              0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 R Belliard 3b          2  1  1  2   0  0   0  .210

Totals                 40  3  9  3   4  7  14   ###

----------------------------------------------------
    BALTIMORE       - 000 000 100 001   --   2  9 1
    WASHINGTON      - 100 000 000 002   --   3  9 0

Two outs when winning run scored.
----------------------------------------------------

va-struck out swinging for J Guthrie in the 8th;  ha-singled to right for S 
Rivera in the 8th;  vb-flied out to center for C Bradford in the 11th;  
hb-walked for W Nieves in the 12th.

BATTING: 2B - J Guthrie (1, J Bergmann). HR - L Scott (14, 7th inning off J 
Bergmann 0 on, 1 Out), R Belliard (6, 12th inning off G Sherrill 1 on, 2 Out). 
RBI - L Scott (32), A Jones (29), A Boone (17), R Belliard 2 (20). 2-out RBI - 
A Jones, R Belliard 2. Runners left in scoring position, 2 out - G Quiroz 1, A 
Jones 2, J Bergmann 1. GIDP - K Casto, W Nieves, W Harris, E Dukes. Team LOB - 
BALTIMORE 6, WASHINGTON 7. BASERUNNING: CS - B Roberts (7, 2nd base by J 
Bergmann/W Nieves), R Bernadina (1, 2nd base by C Bradford/G Quiroz). Picked 
Off - J Guthrie (2nd base, W Nieves). FIELDING: E - K Millar (2, ground ball). 
DP:  (B Roberts-A Cintron-K Millar, A Huff-K Millar 2, K Millar-A Cintron-K 
Millar). 

BALTIMORE                    ip       h   r  er  bb  so  hr    era
J Guthrie                     7       4   1   1   3   4   0   3.50
J Johnson                     2       3   0   0   0   0   0   1.20
C Bradford                    1       0   0   0   0   1   0   2.51
D Sarfate                     1       1   0   0   0   1   0   2.78
G Sherrill (L, 2-3; B, 4)       2/3   1   2   2   1   1   1   3.53

WASHINGTON                   ip       h   r  er  bb  so  hr    era
J Bergmann                    7       6   1   1   1   3   1   4.26
S Rivera                      1       0   0   0   0   2   0   3.75
J Rauch                       1       0   0   0   0   0   0   2.18
L Ayala                       2 1/3   2   1   1   0   2   0   5.48
C Manning                       1/3   0   0   0   0   1   0   3.45
J Hanrahan (W, 5-2)             1/3   1   0   0   0   0   0   4.26

WP - J Bergmann. HBP - C Guzman (by J Guthrie). Pitches-strikes: J Guthrie 
99-65; J Johnson 23-16; C Bradford 12-9; D Sarfate 17-12; G Sherrill 17-10; J 
Bergmann 100-62; S Rivera 16-9; J Rauch 9-7; L Ayala 33-24; C Manning 3-3; J 
Hanrahan 6-4. Ground balls-fly balls: J Guthrie 14-3; J Johnson 4-2; C Bradford 
0-1; D Sarfate 1-1; G Sherrill 1-0; J Bergmann 6-10; S Rivera 1-0; J Rauch 0-3; 
L Ayala 3-2; C Manning 0-0; J Hanrahan 0-1. Batters faced: J Guthrie 26; J 
Johnson 8; C Bradford 3; D Sarfate 4; G Sherrill 4; J Bergmann 26; S Rivera 3; 
J Rauch 3; L Ayala 9; C Manning 1; J Hanrahan 2. IRS - J Hanrahan. UMPIRES: 
HP--Ron Kulpa. 1B--Dan Iassogna. 2B--Bill Hohn. 3B--Dale Scott.   T--3:16. 
Att--39,824. Weather: 90 degrees, partly cloudy. Wind: 5 mph, out to right.

The following graph tracks the game's Win Probability, courtesy of Fan Graphs. You can also view live WPA graphs at Fangraphs during any ballgame all season long.

image

Yesterday’s Home Runs
The following stats are provided by Hit Tracker, which logs the projected “true” distance of each home run (if it were to land uninterrupted at field level) and its "standard" distance, which is corrected for weather conditions. Each homer is also categorized into one of three types: Just Enough (JE) for homers that cleared the fence by ten feet or less, Plenty (PL) for those that were sure home runs but not “blasts,” and No Doubt (ND) for true “blasts”—homers that cleared the fence by at least 20 feet and landed at least 50 feet beyond the fence.
Hitter                Team    Pitcher              Team    True  Stnd.  # Type
Brian Anderson        CWS     Sean Marshall        CHC     396    384   4  PL
Rich Aurilia          SF      Santiago Casilla     OAK     405    406   5  PL
Willy Aybar           TB      Tom Gorzelanny       PIT     407    405   3  PL
Ronnie Belliard       WAS     George Sherrill      BAL     378    344   6  PL/L
Adrian Beltre         SEA     Jake Peavy           SD      350    309  16  JE
Wilson Betemit        NYY     Oliver Perez         NYM     463    457   3  ND
Geoff Blum            HOU     Josh Beckett         BOS     392    390   5  PL
Jeff Clement          SEA     Trevor Hoffman       SD      425    372   2  PL/L
Jack Cust             OAK     Jonathan Sanchez     SF      402    397  13  PL
Chris Davis           TEX     Jamie Moyer          PHI     416    404   2  JE
Carlos Delgado        NYM     Darrell Rasner       NYY     452    443  14  ND
Stephen Drew          ARI     Scott Olsen          FLA     397    395  12  PL
Adam Dunn             CIN     Rick Bauer           CLE     384    403  20  ND
Edwin Encarnacion     CIN     Aaron Laffey         CLE     394    391  13  PL
Ben Francisco         CLE     Jeremy Affeldt       CIN     396    408   6  PL
Jason LaRue           STL     Brian Bannister      KC      389    377   3  PL
Dustin Pedroia        BOS     Brian Moehler        HOU     354    353   8  PL
Albert Pujols         STL     Joel Peralta         KC      385    377  17  PL
Carlos Quentin        CWS     Sean Marshall        CHC     392    393  19  ND
Hanley Ramirez        FLA     Brandon Lyon         ARI     368    361  18  JE/L
Manny Ramirez         BOS     Oscar Villarreal     HOU     393    392  16  PL
Shawn Riggans         TB      Tom Gorzelanny       PIT     422    398   4  PL
Luke Scott            BAL     Jason Bergmann       WAS     398    384  14  JE
Grady Sizemore        CLE     Bronson Arroyo       CIN     405    392  19  PL/L
Jim Thome             CWS     Jose Ascanio         CHC     432    419  15  ND
Troy Tulowitzki       COL     Kenny Rogers         DET     365    346   2  JE/L
Delmon Young          MIN     Ben Sheets           MIL     377    373   2  PL

Top Minor League Games
The following list, provided by First Inning, includes the top minor league batting (based on Runs Created) and pitching (based on Game Score) performances from yesterday, with a focus on each team’s top prospects.
ORG LVL PLAYER            AB  H 2B 3B HR BB SO  Notes
BOS A   Che-Hsuan Lin..... 5  4  2  0  1  1  0  6 RBI !
COL A   Everth Cabrera.... 6  5  1  0  1  0  0  
BOS A+  Jonathan Still.... 3  3  1  0  1  2  0  6 RBI !
SD  A+  Eric Sogard....... 4  2  1  0  1  2  0  
PHI A-  Travis D'Arnaud... 4  3  3  0  0  0  0  4 RBI
BOS AAA Jed Lowrie........ 4  2  0  0  2  0  0  4 RBI
CLE AAA Jordan Brown...... 3  2  1  0  1  1  0  
CLE AA  Trevor Crowe...... 4  2  0  1  1  1  0  3 R
NYM AA  Nick Evans........ 5  3  1  0  1  0  0  
BOS A+  Reid Engel........ 4  2  1  0  1  1  2  
MIL A+  Lorenzo Cain...... 4  2  1  0  1  1  0  
NYY A   Abraham Almonte... 5  3  2  0  0  0  0  3 LD

ORG LVL PLAYER            IP  H  R ER SO BB HR  Notes
STL AA  Jesse Todd........ 8  2  0  0 10  1  0  
CIN AAA Matthew Maloney... 9  3  2  2  8  0  1  
MIN A   M. McCardell...... 9  5  1  1  6  0  0  
LA  AA  James McDonald.... 6  5  0  0  9  1  0  
OAK AA  Vincent Mazzaro... 8  6  0  0  6  0  0  16 GB
MIL A+  Jeremy Jeffress... 6  3  1  1  9  3  0  
MIN AA  Jeffrey Manship... 6  4  2  2  8  2  0  
TEX AAA Dustin Nippert.... 7  0  0  0  5  2  0  
SF  A+  Tim Alderson...... 7  4  2  1  6  2  0  
STL AAA Mike Parisi....... 8  4  2  2  5  2  0  
OAK AAA Gio Gonzalez...... 6  3  1  1  7  4  0  
DET A+  Duane Below....... 6  1  0  0  4  2  0  

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