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THT Daily: Phillies in first

by THT Staff
September 17, 2008

Player News
Yesterday’s Results
Today’s Games
Standings
Game of the Day
Yesterday’s Home Runs

You can always find the most recent THT Daily at http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/content/thtdaily/ and an archive at http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/thtdaily_index/

Player News

Player Headlines are courtesy of Rotoworld
image
Dioner Navarro celebrates after singling in the winning run for the Rays in the ninth. (Icon/SMI)

The Rockies announced that they're scratching Jeff Francis from his start Tuesday and shutting him down for the rest of the season. Uh oh. Francis has been dealing with renewed soreness in his shoulder in his last two starts. "There’s some discomfort," he said. "I don’t think it’s anything serious." Considering that he was on the DL earlier this season with something that also wasn't supposed to be serious, there's going to be good reason for concern entering 2009. Livan Hernandez will start in his place against the Padres.

Fernando Tatis suffered a separated shoulder while diving for a ball in Tuesday's game, ending his season. A sad ending to one of the year's feel-good stories. In his most extensive playing time in six years, Tatis hit .297/.369/.484 with 11 homers and 47 RBI in 263 at-bats for the Mets. Nick Evans and Daniel Murphy will be asked to step up with Tatis sidelined.

Erik Bedard will undergo exploratory surgery on his left shoulder next week. Dr. Lewis Yocum will perform the procedure. Whether Bedard will be ready for the beginning of 2008 won't be known until after the operation. Even if no major damage is discovered, the operation makes it much less likely that he'll be traded this winter.

Yesterday’s Results

Game recaps provided by Craig Calcaterra of Shysterball.

Phillies 8, Braves 7: Phillies in Phirst! According to the box score, Ryan Howard hit a triple in the seventh inning. I'll track down the video later, but for now I can only assume that (1) the center and left fielders for Atlanta collided on the play and were both redered unconscious; and (2) the right fielder was attacked by a crocodile as he came over to retrieve the ball. And by the way, my James Parrdon has subsided, as the Braves' junkballing rookie gave up four runs on ten hits in four and a third.

Nats 1, Mets 0
: At this point I am sort of hoping that Philly pulls away and that New York has to battle it out with Milwaukee for the wild card in a one-game playoff. Scientists would have to invent new equipment in order to calculate the levels of stress and anxiety such a game would would inspire among its participants.

Cubs 5, Brewers 4: Ned Yost watches this one on TV and chuckles. Another loss -- and the first NL loss for Sabathia -- but at least there was some fight in Milwaukee in this one. They rallied late, and had a chance to tie it in the ninth with runners on the corners. Prince Fielder struck out, however, and thus unsuccessfully endeth the first turn of the key on JumpStart 2008.

Marlins 5, Astros 1
: Cecil Cooper has complained loudly about having to play putative home games in a stadium that so raucously favored his opponents. To make it up to him, Major League Baseball hastily scheduled this series in Florida, where the Marlins are certain to gain no advantage from any crowds at all.

Dodgers 6, Pirates 2: Chipper Jones -- who was all the rage the first half of the season -- went 73 games into the season before dropping below .400 for good. Manny Ramirez is now over 40 games into his NL career and he continues to hover over .400 himself. After this win, the Dodgers' playoff chances have increased to 99.7%.

Orioles 2, Blue Jays 0: Chris Waters, who has spent almost all nine of his seasons in professional baseball toiling in the minors, tosses a four-hit shutout. I make fun of games like these at this part of the season an awful lot, but if I'm honest, I truly love to see stuff like this. You know how these late callups go. Waters may never get another chance to pitch in meaningful big league game after the season ends. How great is it that he can now click a link on Retrosheet for the rest of his life and find a game like this one?

Reds 7, Cardinals 2: In a year in which they exceeded expectations for long, it's rather sad to see St. Louis skidding towards the finish line like this.

Rays 2, Red Sox 1: Anyone expect to see any of the doom and gloom stories about the Red Sox today like we saw about the Rays yesterday? Nah, me neither.

White Sox 6, Yankees 2: Being generous, Andy Pettitte has had, what, three decent starts since the All-Star break? Should we assume that he's retiring at the end of this season?

Rangers 5, Tigers 4: Yesterday I mentioned that the Tigers could have used Dan Petry in lieu of Dontrelle Willis. Today, following a simply stunning ninth inning collapse, I'm struck by the notion that Aurelio Lopez would have been preferable to Fernando Rodney.

Mariners 6, Royals 3: Attendance was listed as over 19,000. The fact that these two teams can draw that many people at this point in the season when Tampa Bay cannot absent a huge influx of Sox fans tells you a lot about the relative maturity and viability of the Tampa Bay market.

Rockies 10, Padres 3: Remember how exciting game 163 was between these two teams last year? Nah, me neither.

Diamondbacks 2, Giants 0: Danny Haren pitches a four-hit shutout and strikes out 12. He'll take it of course, but if he could have found a way to spread that goodness out over his past couple of starts, Arizona wouldn't be in this mess.

Indians 12, Twins 9: Francisco Liriano picked the wrong day to revert to April form (2.2 IP, 6 H, 8 R), and the Twins certainly weren't happy to see Victor Martinez revert to 2007 form (3-5, 3 RBI, walkoff homer). Two and a half back with eleven to play.

A's 8, Angels 1: You'd think that if the A's knew they had a whuppin' stick layin' around they would have broken it out a long time ago.

You can download a compact version of yesterday's boxscores from Heater Magazine.

First Inning's Major and Minor League Daily Reports:

Today’s Games

National League
 ---------------
 San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies, 3:05 PM
  (R) Josh Geer (2-0) vs. (R) Livan Hernandez (1-3)
 Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates, 7:05 PM
  (R) Chad Billingsley (15-10) vs. (L) Zach Duke (5-14)
 St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 PM
  (R) Todd Wellemeyer (12-7) vs. (R) Aaron Harang (4-16)
 New York Mets at Washington Nationals, 7:10 PM
  (R) Brandon Knight (0-0) vs. (R) Shairon Martis (0-2)
 Houston Astros at Florida Marlins, 7:10 PM
  (R) Brandon Backe (9-12) vs. (R) Ricky Nolasco (14-7)
 Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves, 7:10 PM
  (L) J.A. Happ (0-0) vs. (R) Jair Jurrjens (13-9)
 Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 PM
  (R) Ben Sheets (13-8) vs. (R) Jason Marquis (10-8)
 San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks, 9:40 PM
  (L) Jonathan Sanchez (9-10) vs. (R) Brandon Webb (20-7)
 
 American League
 ---------------
 Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 PM
  (R) Scott Baker (9-4) vs. (L) Cliff Lee (22-2)
 Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees, 7:05 PM
  (R) Lance Broadway (1-0) vs. (R) Phil Hughes (0-4)
 Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays, 7:07 PM
  (R) Brian Bass (3-4) vs. (L) David Purcey (3-6)
 Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays, 7:10 PM
  (R) Tim Wakefield (9-10) vs. (R) Matt Garza (11-9)
 Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers, 8:05 PM
  (R) Freddy Garcia (0-0) vs. (R) Dustin Nippert (3-4)
 Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals, 8:10 PM
  (L) Ryan Rowland-Smith (4-2) vs. (R) Gil Meche (11-11)
 LA Angels of Anaheim at Oakland Athletics, 10:05 PM
  (R) Jered Weaver (11-10) vs. (L) Greg Smith (7-15)

Standings

The graphics next to each team are called "sparklines.” They depict each team’s performance over the last month. Each "up" bar is a victory and a "down" bar is a loss. There are horizontal lines for home games and red bars represent games decided by two runs or less. "PWins" is short for Projected Wins, based on each team’s Run Differential, and is often a better measure of a team’s true strength. Other team graphs and stats can be found on our Team Page.
American League East        Pwins  Diff
TB      89  60 .597    0.0   83     6    sparkline graph
BOS     89  62 .589    1.0   92    -3    sparkline graph
NYA     80  71 .530   10.0   79     1    sparkline graph
TOR     80  71 .530   10.0   86    -6    sparkline graph
BAL     67  82 .450   22.0   69    -2    sparkline graph
American League Central     
CHA     84  66 .560    0.0   84     0    sparkline graph
MIN     82  69 .543    2.5   84    -2    sparkline graph
CLE     74  77 .490   10.5   79    -5    sparkline graph
DET     70  80 .467   14.0   73    -3    sparkline graph
KC      67  84 .444   17.5   63     4    sparkline graph
American League West        
LAA     92  58 .613    0.0   82    10    sparkline graph
TEX     75  77 .493   18.0   71     4    sparkline graph
OAK     70  80 .467   22.0   72    -2    sparkline graph
SEA     57  93 .380   35.0   62    -5    sparkline graph


National League East        Pwins  Diff
PHI     84  67 .556    0.0   87    -3    sparkline graph
NYN     83  67 .553    0.5   83     0    sparkline graph
FLA     78  72 .520    5.5   73     5    sparkline graph
ATL     67  84 .444   17.0   73    -6    sparkline graph
WAS     58  93 .384   26.0   60    -2    sparkline graph
National League Central     
CHN     91  58 .611    0.0   93    -2    sparkline graph
MIL     83  68 .550    9.0   81     2    sparkline graph
HOU     80  70 .533   11.5   73     7    sparkline graph
STL     78  72 .520   13.5   78     0    sparkline graph
CIN     69  81 .460   22.5   66     3    sparkline graph
PIT     63  88 .417   29.0   61     2    sparkline graph
National League West        
LAN     79  72 .523    0.0   81    -2    sparkline graph
ARI     74  76 .493    4.5   76    -2    sparkline graph
COL     69  83 .454   10.5   68     1    sparkline graph
SF      68  83 .450   11.0   64     4    sparkline graph
SD      58  94 .382   21.5   63    -5    sparkline graph


Wildcard Standings
American League             
BOS     89  62 .589    0.0
MIN     82  69 .543    7.0
TOR     80  71 .530    9.0
NYA     80  71 .530    9.0
TEX     75  77 .493   14.5
National League             
NYN     83  67 .553    0.0
MIL     83  68 .550    0.5
HOU     80  70 .533    3.0
STL     78  72 .520    5.0
FLA     78  72 .520    5.0

Game of the Day

Rays 2, Red Sox 1 - FINAL

BOSTON                 ab  r  h rbi bb so lob   avg
J Ellsbury lf           4  1  2  0   0  0   0  .269
D Pedroia 2b            4  0  1  0   0  0   0  .327
D Ortiz dh              4  0  0  0   0  0   1  .262
K Youkilis 1b           3  0  0  1   0  1   2  .310
M Lowell 3b             3  0  1  0   1  0   1  .275
 J Van Every pr         0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .250
 A Cora ss              0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .283
M Kotsay rf             3  0  0  0   1  1   1  .214
J Lowrie ss-3b          4  0  1  0   0  2   2  .275
J Varitek c             2  0  0  0   1  1   2  .223
C Crisp cf              3  0  0  0   0  1   3  .286

Totals                 30  1  5  1   3  6  12   ###

TAMPA BAY              ab  r  h rbi bb so lob   avg
A Iwamura 2b            4  0  1  0   0  0   1  .277
J Bartlett ss           4  1  1  0   0  0   1  .276
C Pena 1b               3  1  1  1   1  1   0  .246
E Longoria 3b           4  0  0  0   0  3   2  .278
C Floyd dh              3  0  1  0   0  0   0  .274
D Navarro c             3  0  1  1   1  0   0  .293
E Hinske lf             2  0  0  0   0  1   2  .244
 J Ruggiano lf          0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .231
G Gross rf              3  0  0  0   0  1   2  .249
F Perez cf              3  0  0  0   0  2   1  .226

Totals                 29  2  5  2   2  8   9   ###

----------------------------------------------------
    BOSTON          - 000 001 000   --   1  5 0
    TAMPA BAY       - 000 000 101   --   2  5 1

One out when winning run scored.
----------------------------------------------------

BATTING: HR - C Pena (29, 7th inning off J Beckett 0 on, 0 Out). SF - K 
Youkilis. RBI - K Youkilis (106), C Pena (89), D Navarro (47). Runners left in 
scoring position, 2 out - C Crisp 1, M Lowell 1, J Lowrie 1, G Gross 1, A 
Iwamura 1. GIDP - C Crisp, J Bartlett. Team LOB - BOSTON 6, TAMPA BAY 6. 
BASERUNNING: CS - J Ellsbury (10, 2nd base by J Howell/D Navarro). FIELDING: E 
- E Longoria (9, ground ball). DP:  (J Beckett-D Pedroia-K Youkilis, J 
Bartlett-A Iwamura-C Pena). 

BOSTON                       ip       h   r  er  bb  so  hr    era
J Beckett                     8       3   1   1   1   7   1   3.96
J Masterson (L, 6-5)            1/3   2   1   1   1   1   0   3.18

TAMPA BAY                    ip       h   r  er  bb  so  hr    era
A Sonnanstine                 6       3   1   0   2   5   0   4.33
G Balfour                     1 1/3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1.58
J Howell                      1 1/3   2   0   0   1   0   0   2.36
D Wheeler (W, 5-5)              1/3   0   0   0   0   1   0   2.69

HBP - J Ruggiano (by J Beckett); C Floyd (by J Masterson). Pitches-strikes: J 
Beckett 95-63; J Masterson 22-14; A Sonnanstine 93-60; G Balfour 14-11; J 
Howell 21-12; D Wheeler 4-3. Ground balls-fly balls: J Beckett 10-7; J 
Masterson 0-0; A Sonnanstine 7-7; G Balfour 0-4; J Howell 2-1; D Wheeler 0-0. 
Batters faced: J Beckett 28; J Masterson 5; A Sonnanstine 23; G Balfour 4; J 
Howell 6; D Wheeler 1. UMPIRES: HP--Gary Darling. 1B--Paul Emmel. 2B--Jerry 
Crawford. 3B--Jerry Meals.   T--2:51. Att--32,079. Weather: INDOORS

The following graph tracks the game's Win Probability, courtesy of Fan Graphs. You can also view live WPA graphs at Fangraphs during any ballgame all season long.

image

Yesterday’s Home Runs

The following stats are provided by Hit Tracker, which logs the projected “true” distance of each home run (if it were to land uninterrupted at field level) and its "standard" distance, which is corrected for weather conditions. Each homer is also categorized into one of three types: Just Enough (JE) for homers that cleared the fence by ten feet or less, Plenty (PL) for those that were sure home runs but not “blasts,” and No Doubt (ND) for true “blasts”—homers that cleared the fence by at least 20 feet and landed at least 50 feet beyond the fence.
Hitter                Team    Pitcher              Team   True   Stnd.  # Type
Jeff Baker            COL     Shawn Estes          SD      450    412  10  PL
Casey Blake           LAD     Jeff Karstens        PIT     410    407  21  PL
John Buck             KC      Brandon Morrow       SEA     403    396   9  PL
Asdrubal Cabrera      CLE     Francisco Liriano    MIN     368    370   6  JE
Jorge Cantu           FLA     Roy Oswalt           HOU     380    384  27  PL
David DeJesus         KC      Brandon Morrow       SEA     410    403  11  PL
Stephen Drew          ARI     Matt Cain            SF      431    417  18  ND
Prince Fielder        MIL     Ryan Dempster        CHC     464    459  32  ND
Prince Fielder        MIL     Carlos Marmol        CHC     396    392  31  JE
Ryan Garko            CLE     Francisco Liriano    MIN     408    408  12  PL
Jason Giambi          NYY     Gavin Floyd          CWS     412    414  31  PL
Troy Glaus            STL     Bronson Arroyo       CIN     402    397  24  ND
Adrian Gonzalez       SD      Ubaldo Jimenez       COL     442    402  34  PL
Jack Hannahan         OAK     John Lackey          LAA     383    388   9  PL
Ryan Howard           PHI     Mike Gonzalez        ATL     388    387  45  PL
Chris Iannetta        COL     Charlie Haeger       SD      445    410  17  ND
Jose Lopez            SEA     Brandon Duckworth    KC      390    383  15  PL
Victor Martinez       CLE     Joe Nathan           MIN     397    400   2  PL
Aaron Miles           STL     Bronson Arroyo       CIN     390    390   4  ND
Kendry Morales        LAA     Sean Gallagher       OAK     383    388   1  JE
Carlos Pena           TB      Josh Beckett         BOS     348    347  29  JE
Alexei Ramirez        CWS     Andy Pettitte        NYY     380    383  18  PL
Carlos Ruiz           PHI     James Parr           ATL     391    395   4  PL
Luke Scott            BAL     John Parrish         TOR     422    430  23  PL
Ryan Shealy           KC      Brandon Morrow       SEA     428    421   5  PL
Grady Sizemore        CLE     Eddie Guardado       MIN     371    372  32  PL
Chris Snyder          ARI     Matt Cain            SF      400    387  16  PL
Alfonso Soriano       CHC     C.C. Sabathia        MIL     370    368  29  JE
Jayson Werth          PHI     James Parr           ATL     404    397  24  PL

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