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THT Daily: The NL wildcard is where it’s at

by Matthew Carruth
September 26, 2007

Major League News for September 26
Today’s Links
Player News
Yesterday’s Results
Today’s Games
Standings
Game of the Day

You can always find the most recent THT Daily at http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/content/thtdaily/

THT Links

The Pain of Waiting - For those following teams no longer in the playoff chase, the wait for the good parts of the offseason to begin can be painful.

Methinks This has Been Tried Before - The Pirates need to set and stick to a serious rebuilding plan in order to climb out of their hole. Forcing the issue is what got them here in the first place.

Juan Pierre's New Name - Rob McMillan proposes a new nickname for Juan Pierre, Slappy McPopup.

Making Room - It has been confirmed that the Rays have plans to move Akinoi Awamura to second base next season, in all likelihood to make room for Evan Longoria at third base.

THT Links represents the best efforts of our editors in scouring the various tubes of the interweb for both relevant and irrelevant news items. If you have happened upon a story that we have overlooked or wish to give feedback of any sort, please notify us at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
Player News
Player Headlines are courtesy of Rotoworld

Pirates named Neal Huntington their general manager. There were reports of a change of heart a couple of days ago, but the Pirates followed through and hired the 37-year-old Indians assistant. It will be interesting to see whether Huntington wants to go forward with Jim Tracy or bring in another manager. The Pirates could do better there.

23-year-old Prince Fielder became the youngest member of the 50-homer club when he went deep twice Tuesday in a 9-1 win over the Cards. Both were two-run shots. Fielder also walked twice. He has 11 homers, 22 RBI, 22 runs scored and 17 walks in 81 at-bats this month. That's an MVP-type finish, though it might not matter unless the Brewers advance to the playoffs. They're two games behind the Cubs.

Roger Clemens (hamstring) will not pitch again during the regular season after being scratched from his scheduled start Tuesday. Clemens still expects to be in the rotation for the ALDS. If he's not 100 percent, the Yankees might be better off with Phil Hughes in his spot. Still, manager Joe Torre will be sure to pitch him if he says he can go.

Adam Dunn will undergo surgery Wednesday to clean out his sore right knee. It's not a major operation, so this shouldn't have any impact on whether the Reds pick up his $13.5 million option for 2008. Dunn finishes up at .264/.386/.554 with 40 homers in 501 at-bats. Only in 2004 did he have a higher average and OPS. He's hit 40 homers in four straight seasons. The Reds would be crazy not to retain him.

Carl Crawford is done for the year because of his strained groin. Crawford finishes the season at .315/.355/.466 with 50 steals in 60 attempts. He struck out a career-high 112 times in 584 at-bats, but he finished with an OPS right in between his marks from 2005 (800) and 2006 (830).

Manny Ramirez (oblique) is back in left field for Wednesday's game against the Athletics. It will be his first appearance since Aug. 28. Oddly, Manny is going to bat second tonight for the first time since 1995. We're guessing the Red Sox are simply trying to get him one more at-bat before he's eventually removed from the game.

Yesterday’s Results
American League
TOR    11  BAL     4    (Recap and Boxscore)
BOS     7  OAK     3    (Recap and Boxscore)
TB      7  NYA     6    (Recap and Boxscore)
KC      9  CHA     5    (Recap and Boxscore)
DET     8  MIN     0    (Recap and Boxscore)
CLE     4  SEA     3    (Recap and Boxscore)
TEX     3  LAA     1    (Recap and Boxscore)

National League
FLA     4  CHN     2    (Recap and Boxscore)
WAS    10  NYN     9    (Recap and Boxscore)
ATL    10  PHI     6    (Recap and Boxscore)
HOU     8  CIN     5    (Recap and Boxscore)
MIL     9  STL     1    (Recap and Boxscore)
PIT     6  ARI     5    (Recap and Boxscore)
COL     9  LAN     7    (Recap and Boxscore)
SD      6  SF      4    (Recap and Boxscore)
You can download a compact version of yesterday's boxscores from Heater Magazine.

First Inning's Major and Minor League Daily Reports:

Today’s Games
National League
 ---------------
 Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 PM
  (R) Tim Hudson (16-9) vs. (R) Kyle Lohse (8-12)
 Chicago Cubs at Florida Marlins, 7:05 PM
  (R) Jason Marquis (12-8) vs. (R) Daniel Barone (1-3)
 Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates, 7:05 PM
  (R) Livan Hernandez (11-10) vs. (R) Matt Morris (9-11)
 Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 PM
  (R) Juan Gutierrez (1-1) vs. (R) Tom Shearn (3-0)
 Washington Nationals at New York Mets, 7:10 PM
  (L) Mike Bacsik (5-8) vs. (R) Philip Humber (0-0)
 St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers, 8:05 PM
  (R) Brad Thompson (7-6) vs. (R) Carlos Villanueva (8-4)
 Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 PM
  (R) Josh Fogg (9-9) vs. (R) Derek Lowe (12-13)
 San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants, 10:15 PM
  (R) Jake Peavy (18-6) vs. (L) Patrick Misch (0-3)
 
 American League
 ---------------
 LA Angels of Anaheim at Texas Rangers, 2:05 PM
  (L) Joe Saunders (8-4) vs. (R) Luis Mendoza (1-0)
 Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox, 5:00 PM
  (R) Joe Blanton (14-10) vs. (L) Jon Lester (4-0)
 Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 PM
  (L) Ryan Feierabend (1-5) vs. (L) Jeremy Sowers (1-6)
 Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles, 7:05 PM
  (R) Roy Halladay (15-7) vs. (R) Victor Zambrano (0-2)
 Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers, 7:05 PM
  (L) Johan Santana (15-13) vs. (R) Jair Jurrjens (3-1)
 New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Devil Rays, 7:10 PM
  (R) Chien-Ming Wang (18-7) vs. (L) JP Howell (1-5)
 Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox, 8:11 PM
  (R) Zack Greinke (7-6) vs. (R) Jon Garland (9-13)
 Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners, 10:05 PM
  (R) Fausto Carmona (18-8) vs. (L) Jarrod Washburn (10-15)

Standings
The graphics next to each team are called "sparklines.” They depict each team’s performance over the last month. Each "up" bar is a victory and a "down" bar is a loss. There are horizontal lines for home games and red bars represent games decided by two runs or less. "PWins" is short for Projected Wins, based on each team’s Run Differential, and is often a better measure of a team’s true strength. Other team graphs and stats can be found on our Team Page.
American League East        Pwins  Diff
BOS     93  64 .592    0.0   99    -6    sparkline graph
NYA     90  67 .573    3.0   94    -4    sparkline graph
TOR     80  77 .510   13.0   84    -4    sparkline graph
BAL     67  90 .427   26.0   68    -1    sparkline graph
TB      65  92 .414   28.0   65     0    sparkline graph
American League Central     
CLE     93  63 .596    0.0   88     5    sparkline graph
DET     86  72 .544    8.0   86     0    sparkline graph
MIN     77  80 .490   16.5   79    -2    sparkline graph
CHA     68  89 .433   25.5   63     5    sparkline graph
KC      68  89 .433   25.5   73    -5    sparkline graph
American League West        
LAA     92  66 .582    0.0   89     3    sparkline graph
SEA     83  73 .532    8.0   76     7    sparkline graph
OAK     75  83 .475   17.0   78    -3    sparkline graph
TEX     74  84 .468   18.0   76    -2    sparkline graph


National League East        Pwins  Diff
NYN     87  70 .554    0.0   84     3    sparkline graph
PHI     85  72 .541    2.0   84     1    sparkline graph
ATL     83  74 .529    4.0   87    -4    sparkline graph
WAS     71  87 .449   16.5   68     3    sparkline graph
FLA     67  90 .427   20.0   69    -2    sparkline graph
National League Central     
CHN     83  74 .529    0.0   85    -2    sparkline graph
MIL     81  76 .516    2.0   81     0    sparkline graph
STL     73  84 .465   10.0   67     6    sparkline graph
CIN     71  86 .452   12.0   73    -2    sparkline graph
HOU     69  88 .439   14.0   69     0    sparkline graph
PIT     67  90 .427   16.0   68    -1    sparkline graph
National League West        
ARI     88  69 .561    0.0   77    11    sparkline graph
SD      86  71 .548    2.0   86     0    sparkline graph
COL     85  72 .541    3.0   87    -2    sparkline graph
LAN     80  77 .510    8.0   80     0    sparkline graph
SF      70  88 .443   18.5   76    -6    sparkline graph


Wildcard Standings
American League             
NYA     90  67 .573    0.0
DET     86  72 .544    4.5
SEA     83  73 .532    6.5
TOR     80  77 .510   10.0
MIN     77  80 .490   13.0
National League             
SD      86  71 .548    0.0
PHI     85  72 .541    1.0
COL     85  72 .541    1.0
ATL     83  74 .529    3.0
MIL     81  76 .516    5.0

Game of the Day
The Padres were within one out of losing their fifth game in a row, but a home run by Brian Giles capped a four-run ninth inning, resulting in a 6-5 victory over the Giants. Coupled with Philadelphia’s loss, San Diego now has a one-game lead in the wildcard race over the Phillies and Colorado.
SAN DIEGO (6) VS SAN FRANCISCO (4) - FINAL

SAN DIEGO              ab  r  h rbi bb so lob   avg
B Giles rf              5  1  1  3   0  0   1  .269
S Hairston lf           5  1  1  1   0  3   1  .249
K Kouzmanoff 3b         4  0  2  0   0  1   0  .279
A Gonzalez 1b           4  0  0  0   0  2   3  .275
K Greene ss             4  2  2  1   0  1   0  .251
J Bard c                3  0  0  0   1  2   0  .279
G Blum 2b               3  0  1  0   0  0   1  .245
 J Thatcher p           0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 b-B Myrow ph           1  0  0  0   0  1   1  .125
 T Hoffman p            0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
B Clark cf              4  1  2  1   0  0   1  .256
B Tomko p               2  0  0  0   0  1   1  .000
 D Brocail p            0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .500
 M Giles 2b             0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .230
 a-T Sledge ph          0  0  0  0   1  0   0  .204
 O Robles 2b            0  0  0  0   1  0   0  .227
 C Stansberry pr-2b     0  1  0  0   0  0   0  .286

Totals                 35  6  9  6   3 11   9

a-walked for M Giles in the 8th;  b-struck out swinging for J Thatcher in the 
9th.

BATTING: 2B - K Greene (43, B Wilson). HR - S Hairston (9, 6th inning off M 
Cain 0 on, 1 Out), K Greene (25, 7th inning off M Cain 0 on, 0 Out), B Giles 
(12, 9th inning off B Wilson 2 on, 2 Out). RBI - S Hairston (30), K Greene 
(89), B Clark (8), B Giles 3 (49). 2-out RBI - B Clark, B Giles 3. Runners left 
in scoring position, 2 out - A Gonzalez 1. GIDP - G Blum. Team LOB - 5. 
 
FIELDING: E - G Blum (5, ground ball); K Greene (11, ground ball). DP: 2 (B 
Tomko-K Greene-A Gonzalez, K Greene-C Stansberry-A Gonzalez). 
 
SAN FRANCISCO          ab  r  h rbi bb so lob   avg
D Roberts cf-lf         5  1  1  1   0  0   0  .260
K Frandsen 2b           4  1  2  1   1  0   1  .269
R Winn rf               4  1  3  2   1  1   0  .298
B Molina c              4  0  1  0   1  0   2  .277
R Klesko 1b             3  0  0  0   0  0   2  .260
 a-R Aurilia ph-1b      1  0  0  0   0  1   2  .254
 B Wilson p             0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 S Munter p             0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
P Feliz 3b              4  0  1  0   0  0   3  .249
F Lewis lf              2  1  1  0   1  0   1  .285
 b-R Davis ph-cf        1  0  1  0   0  0   0  .282
O Vizquel ss            4  0  0  0   0  0   4  .243
M Cain p                2  0  0  0   0  2   1  .070
 B Hennessey p          0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 S Kline p              0  0  0  0   0  0   0  .000
 S McClain 1b           1  0  0  0   0  1   1  .250

Totals                 35  4 10  4   4  5  17

a-struck out swinging for R Klesko in the 7th;  b-singled to center for F Lewis 
in the 8th.

BATTING: 2B - D Roberts (17, B Tomko); R Winn (40, D Brocail). HR - R Winn (13, 
2nd inning off B Tomko 1 on, 2 Out). S - M Cain. RBI - D Roberts (23), K 
Frandsen (29), R Winn 2 (61). 2-out RBI - D Roberts, K Frandsen, R Winn 2. 
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out - R Aurilia 1, S McClain 1, P Feliz 2. 
GIDP - K Frandsen, B Molina. Team LOB - 9. 
 
BASERUNNING: SB - R Davis (21, 2nd base off J Thatcher/J Bard). CS - K 
Frandsen (3, 2nd base by B Tomko/J Bard). 
 
FIELDING: DP: 1 (R Klesko-O Vizquel-R Klesko). 
 
----------------------------------------------------
    SAN DIEGO       - 000 001 104   --   6
    SAN FRANCISCO   - 040 000 000   --   4
----------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO                    ip       h   r  er  bb  so  hr    era
B Tomko                       6       6   4   4   3   3   1   5.39
D Brocail                       2/3   1   0   0   1   0   0   3.07
J Thatcher (W, 1-1)           1 1/3   1   0   0   0   2   0   1.02
T Hoffman (S, 41)             1       2   0   0   0   0   0   2.45

SAN FRANCISCO                ip       h   r  er  bb  so  hr    era
M Cain                        7       5   2   2   1   8   2   3.64
B Hennessey (H, 16)           0       0   0   0   1   0   0   3.53
S Kline (B, 3)                  1/3   0   0   0   0   0   0   4.70
B Wilson (L, 1-2; H, 10)      1 1/3   4   4   4   1   3   1   2.38
S Munter                        1/3   0   0   0   0   0   0   4.00

B Hennessey pitched to 1 batter in the 8th.

IBB - B Molina (by D Brocail). Pitches-strikes: B Tomko 99-58; D Brocail 
17-8; J Thatcher 20-14; T Hoffman 12-10; M Cain 113-73; B Hennessey 6-2; S 
Kline 2-1; B Wilson 35-19; S Munter 3-2. Ground balls-fly balls: B Tomko 9-5; D 
Brocail 1-1; J Thatcher 1-1; T Hoffman 2-1; M Cain 5-8; B Hennessey 0-0; S 
Kline 0-1; B Wilson 1-0; S Munter 0-1. Batters faced: B Tomko 27; D Brocail 4; 
J Thatcher 5; T Hoffman 4; M Cain 26; B Hennessey 1; S Kline 1; B Wilson 9; S 
Munter 1. 
 
UMPIRES: HP--Fieldin Culbreth. 1B--Marty Foster. 2B--Paul Schrieber. 3B--Tim 
Mcclelland. 

T--2:55. Att--35,524. 
Weather: 72 degrees, clear. Wind: 17 mph, out to right.

The following graph tracks the game's Win Probability, courtesy of Fan Graphs. You can also view live WPA graphs at Fangraphs during any ballgame all season long.

image

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Matthew Carruth is an editor for The Hardball Times. He welcomes any and all sorts of communication at his email.

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