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THT & Friends mock draft (Part 3: lessons learned)

by Karl de Vries
February 15, 2013



Karl de Vries is a New Jersey-based writer and journalist who prefers following fantasy baseball to watching his hapless Mets embarrass themselves on TV every night. He can be reached at karl[dot]rotodiamond[at]gmail.com or followed on Twitter at @Karl_de_Vries.

Comments

jimbo said...

The draftable team - or ‘value picks’ - I’d want out of this mock (based on my league setup and 6th slot and assuming things like the ‘other CarGo’ wouldn’t really be available in round 22)
Stanton
Strasburg
Bruce
Greinke
Zimmerman
Freeman
Trumbo
Ike Davis
Moore
Alcides
Espinosa
Lucroy
Rutledge
Brett Anderson
Frazier
Marte
Vogelsong
Minor
Shelby Miller
Kendrick
Eaton
Hughes
Fujikawa
Rondon

Power is king in my league. I don’t care about balance in the draft if good power falls. The odds of being able to ‘trade it up’ is very good.

If Ike Davis does what he’s expected to, that’s an easy swap for Bourn or Jennings later on (both went > 50 picks before him).

Posted 02/15  at  02:51 PM
Brad Johnson said...

To add my two cents since I responded to the wrong prompt:

I learned that OF depth is much shallower than years past, although that also means that there are more exploitable platoons. I’m not sure if that means I’m more or less inclined to invest in OFers yet.

Starting pitcher is extremely deep. Around round 22, I realized that I would have been comfortable fielding a rotation purely from players still available. SP always seems deep, but I usually find that it’s shallower than it appears at first glance. Not this time around.

The other surprise was that there are substantially more workable catchers available than in years past. I usually pay a premium in 2 C leagues to leverage the scarcity (usually at the expense of OF), but I won’t be this year. 1 C leagues need not put any premium on catcher.

Posted 02/15  at  04:51 PM
Derek Ambrosino said...

I want to make a follow-on point stemming from Brad’s remark on pitching depth.

This seems obvious or intuitive, but it is worth repeating. The depth in SP not closes the gap between pitchers taken highly and those who can be had later, but it also raises the value of elite offensive players. The candle burns at both ends, if you spend too highly on pitching you can burn quickly.

Run prevention and run prevention is a zero-sum game. Every run that pitcher doesn’t give up is an RBI, R, and may HR that isn’t earned by the collective offensive output of batters. So, if more and more pitchers are turning in 3.50 and lower ERAs, that means fewer fringe players are cobbling together those solid 23 HR and 85 RBI seasons, making elite level offense production that much more important.

Posted 02/17  at  11:48 AM
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