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June 18, 2013
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Why we add the hot hitterby Paul SingmanJune 12, 2012 Paul has been managing fantasy baseball teams for many seasons and writing for THT Fantasy over the past three years. He is currently a student at UPenn welcomes readers' thoughts at his email here or in the comments below. Comments
Paul Singman said...
Thanks and well said yourself, batpig. Posted 06/12 at 02:40 PM
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great article, those are the exact factors I look for when evaluating “hot” hitters. I think the important thing to understand is that by definition—because these decisions involve players in the free agent pool—we are looking at “fringy” fantasy players for whom these factors (especially playing time and lineup position) weigh heavily into their value.
it’s not like you have to decide if Adam Jones is really better than Ryan Braun after three weeks in April. You are making decisions about something like Andy Dirks versus Brennan Boesch, where the relative performance (allowing Dirks to claim the #2 lineup spot ahead of Fielder/Miggy) caused a pretty substantial swing in their relative value.
another few examples off the top of my head are guys like Jose Altuve, Alejandro de Aza, Jed Lowrie, Mike Aviles… how much was their value impacted by their hot starts to the season allowing them to cement regular playing time at the top of a decent-or-better lineup? The different between infrequent playing time at the bottom of the linuep and an every-day spot at the top is huge for the counting stats.