November 23, 2009
Order NowThe Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2010 is now in development and will ship in mid November! This year's book will feature articles by THT's staff as well as Bill James, Tom Tango and Craig Wright. If you use this link to purchase the Annual, you will be in the first group to receive it and you'll be supporting THT. ![]()
Rich Barbieri
John Barten Brian Borawski Craig Brown Evan Brunell David Gassko Jonathan Hale Brandon Isleib Chris Jaffe Max Marchi Bruce Markusen Harry Pavlidis Jeff Sackmann Dave Studeman Steve Treder Bryan Tsao Tuck! Dan Turkenkopf Colin Wyers Geoff Young John Brattain And here's the full roster.
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Will the Red Sox win the AL East?by John BeamerAugust 14, 2009 I'm playing around with a playoff odds calculator that I've created in excel — all will be divulged in an upcoming article. Anyway, to test drive my calculator I thought I'd take a quick look at the AL East. As of yesterday the standings were: American League East Pwins Diff NYA 72 43 .626 0.0 67 5 BOS 65 49 .570 6.5 65 0 TB 61 53 .535 10.5 64 -3 TOR 54 59 .478 17.0 61 -7 BAL 47 67 .412 24.5 49 -2 Despite the Bombers being a cool 6.5 games ahead, in terms of Pythagorean wins they are only a couple of games better. Interestingly in THT's Season Preview we have the Yankees winning 100 games and the divsion (the Sox were second on 98 wins). At the time we calculated the Yankees' odds of making the playoffs were 56%. Props to David Gassko — if the Yankees play to their current win record they'll notch their 101st victory on the last day of the season. Based on current standings and our expectation of true talent at the start of the season, what are the odds of Red Sox trumping the Yankees? Have a look: NYA 82.3% BOS 14.4% Hmmm — as expected the fat lady is warming up her voice. John is an unashamed glory supporter having followed the Atlanta Braves since 1991. He blogs the Braves at Chop-n-Change. He welcomes comments, criticisms and suggestions via e-mail Commenting is not available in this weblog entry. Do you have a general question or comment for one of THT's writers? Send it in to our weekly mailbag We also welcome unsolicited op-ed pieces of approximately 500 words for consideration. We reserve the right to edit for length, clarity and consistency of style. Please include your whole name and location to be considered. If you have a comment about this specific article, please email the writer. |