February 10, 2012
Now Available for 2012 THT Essentials: Now Available The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2012, an annual "must buy" for all baseball fans, is now shipping. Read this article to learn more about it.
THT's latest book 
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Rich Barbieri John Barten Brian Borawski Vince Caramela Chris Jaffe Brad Johnson Mat Kovach Kevin Lai Myron Logan Chris Lund Bruce Markusen Jeff Moore Troy Patterson Harry Pavlidis Dave Studeman Steve Treder David Wade And here's the full roster. Dish TV Packages options for all televised baseball games.
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About Derek CartyDerek Carty, 23, has also been published by NBC's Rotoworld, Sports Illustrated, FOX Sports, and USA Today. This season, he'll be contributing to FanDuel and will be linking to all of his work at DerekCarty.com. In his three years competing in expert leagues, he has won 2 titles with 4 top three finishes, including a LABR NL title in 2009, making him the youngest person to ever win a major expert league title. Derek is a proud graduate of the MLB Scouting Bureau's Scout Development Program and is a firm believer in the importance of combining stats and scouting. He welcomes questions via e-mail, Facebook, or Twitter.Note: This page displays up to 100 articles at a time. To view a subset of a writer's work, click on one of the following years: 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Derek Carty's ArticlesClick here to view an RSS feed of this writer's articles. Farewell, THTMay 30, 2011My goodbye post to THT readers. Compete against Derek Carty for cash (again)April 20, 2011How you can play against Derek Carty in a daily league this weekend for $250 in prizes. Velocity, strikeouts, and Colby Lewis’ rough startApril 12, 2011How much impact velocity has on strikeouts, and what to expect from Lewis the rest of 2011. There’s nothing magic about age 27April 04, 2011An examination of the myth of "age 27 breakouts." Common players on my 2011 fantasy teamsApril 01, 2011The players I ended up drafting on more than one team. 2011 FSIC NL: Team Carty/PritchettMarch 31, 2011A look at my final draft of the year. Predicting reliever winsMarch 28, 2011An attempt to predict those tricky vulture wins. 2011 Tout Wars mixed: Team CartyMarch 24, 2011A look at my Tout Wars team for the coming season. Compete against Derek Carty for cashMarch 17, 2011How you can play against Derek Carty in an Opening Day daily league for $250 in prizes. 2011 LABR NL - Team CartyMarch 09, 2011A look at how my 2011 LABR auction turned out. 2011 Cardrunners AL expert league - Team CartyMarch 07, 2011The results of my first draft of the year. Keeper league strategy: ClosersSeptember 14, 2010A look at potential 2011 closers that should be scooped up in keeper leagues. New writers and announcementsSeptember 14, 2010Introducing new writers and a couple quick announcements. Reaffirming our faith in DIPSAugust 24, 2010Addressing a few criticisms of DIPS and other metrics based on peripherals. More on regression, xFIP, HR/FB, BABIP, and the likeAugust 18, 2010Some more discussion of things like regression and the proper treatment of "luck" stats like HR/FB and BABIP. How much do counts affect BABIP?July 30, 2010Does pitching in particular counts significantly impact BABIP? Do we use luck and randomness as a crutch?July 30, 2010A follow-up to Dave Cameron's piece on randomness and a response to Chris Liss' assertion that analysts attribute too much to luck. Another look at the Home Run Derby hangover effectJuly 12, 2010Once more time: Do Home Run Derby participants suffer in the second half? The continued misuse of FIPJune 11, 2010Another look at FIP, xFIP, and the continued misuse and misunderstanding of it. Does it pay to play the match-ups with your SPs?June 08, 2010Is it smart to sit starters against strong teams and play them against weak ones? Which small sample breakouts are for real?June 02, 2010Predicting which pitchers will sustain their high K rates despite small samples. Waiver Wire AL: Week 6May 15, 2010A look at 9 American League players worth considering this week. Introducing: Closer WatchMay 10, 2010Introduction to a new feature at THT Fantasy. Why we should always draft Pujols firstMay 04, 2010A look at projection accuracy, variance, and misconceptions about them. Some changes at THT FantasyMay 03, 2010An update of the goings-ons at THT Fantasy. High on: Mike LeakeApril 27, 2010A look at why it might be worth it to invest in Mike Leake. Intuition vs. QuantsApril 16, 2010Debate with fantasy and poker pros over the merits of running a team quantitatively or intuitively. Common players on my 2010 fantasy teamsApril 01, 2010A look at which players have wound up on my fantasy teams most frequently. Tout Wars Mixed 2010: Team CartyMarch 30, 2010A look at my rookie year Tout Wars team. CardRunners Expert League 2010: Team CartyMarch 22, 2010A look at Team Carty in an AL-only league with a very interesting setup. LABR NL 2010: Team CartyMarch 09, 2010A sneak peek at the LABR roster of the defending champ. What to make of David WrightMarch 02, 2010On David Wright's 2009 struggles, opposite-field hitting, and Citi Field. Introducing: xW, xBABIP, xLOB%, xHR/FB, and moreJanuary 25, 2010Introduction to a number of useful new tools for evaluating pitchers. New THTF writers and Buy On The RumorJanuary 21, 2010Welcoming four new writers to THT Fantasy and a refreshed Buy On The Rumor blog. The thought process behind the Bill James systemJanuary 18, 2010Some clarification on the Bill James projection system from a member of the BIS team who works on them. The ‘optimistic’ Bill James projectionsDecember 22, 2009Why the Bill James projections just seem optimistic. Random thoughts on one-trick ponies, tradeability, and ‘value’December 15, 2009A collection of random thoughts and theories. The Kemp Speed Theory: Do bigger players slow down earlier?October 21, 2009A look at whether big players lose their speed at a younger age than smaller players. THTF fantasy glory: Championships and top finishesOctober 05, 2009A look at how the THT Fantasy staff fared in their experts competitions in 2009. And sometimes, we don’t place enough emphasis on this yearAugust 31, 2009A look at how sometimes we place too little emphasis on current year statistics. Welcoming a new THT Fantasy writerAugust 21, 2009Introducing another new member of the THTF team. Keeper league strategy: ClosersAugust 12, 2009A keeper league strategy involving closers and which setup men might be primed to close games in 2009. State of THT FantasyAugust 11, 2009A quick update about the goings ons at THT Fantasy. Fantasy Baseball Roundtable: Do trade pitches work?August 11, 2009This week, THTF hosts the Fantasy Baseball Roundtable and asks whether it's possible to change a potential trading partner's mind about a player. In search of new inefficiencies in the fantasy marketplaceAugust 10, 2009A look at the fantasy community's growing — perceived or otherwise — reliance on single-year statistics. The control hitters have over everythingJuly 29, 2009A look at year-to-year correlations for 25 hitting stats. For those who still don’t believe FIP is bad for fantasy analysis…July 16, 2009Some more discussion on why FIP is a misleading and potentially useless stat for fantasy analysis. The high variability second half teamJuly 15, 2009A look at some boom or bust candidates for the second half and which way I think they'll go. All-Star Week at THT FantasyJuly 13, 2009What to expect from THT Fantasy this week. Do hitters decline after the Home Run Derby?July 13, 2009A look at whether hitters actually underperform after participating in the Home Run Derby. Simple xBABIP CalculatorJuly 10, 2009A downloadable tool to calculate a simple version of Chris Dutton and Peter Bendix's xBABIP, plus an announcement for a new project. The control hitters have over LD%July 08, 2009A look at the control a hitter has over his own line drive rate. Deadline closer deals: The bane of a fantasy owner’s existenceJuly 06, 2009A look at how fantasy championship dreams could be shattered come July 31 and how to take precautions. How to handle league-switchers in AL and NL-only leaguesJune 29, 2009A method for determining whether to bid on a guy like Mark DeRosa or wait for Matt Holliday. More on the LIPS/FIP discrepancyJune 17, 2009A look at pitchers with normal HR/FB rates who are still misvalued by FIP. Using FIP to evaluate pitchers? I wouldn’tJune 15, 2009Why FIP shouldn't be used for fantasy analysis and a look at the players affected most by its flaws. What’s wrong with Jimmy Rollins?June 10, 2009Why it may be time to buy Jimmy Rollins. Fantasy Baseball Roundtable: Buying high and selling lowJune 09, 2009THT Fantasy is hosting this week's Fantasy Baseball Roundtable, discussing the merits of buying high and selling low. Javier Vazquez: More on bunching and damageJune 08, 2009Digging a little bit deeper on Javier Vazquez, further examining his alleged "bunching" and the damage done by those bunches. 2009 LIPS ERA LeadersJune 03, 2009A look at the early season leaders in LIPS ERA. **Updated since first posted** The problem with Javier Vazquez: Bunching hits and walks?June 03, 2009Is clustering hits and walks together the reason why Javier Vazquez doesn't pitch up to his peripherals? Another welcome to the new THT FantasyJune 01, 2009Welcome to the new THT Fantasy... again. The best pitcher of 2009 is…June 01, 2009Greinke? Santana? Lincecum? Or someone less obvious... Roster Doctor - 5/5/09May 06, 2009Another chance to play Roster Doctor. Closer carouselMay 04, 2009A look at the changing closer situations from the past week and who might surface in Washington. State of THT FantasyApril 22, 2009A quick update about the goings ons at THT Fantasy. Buy your power nowApril 22, 2009A look at why fantasy owners might be wise to trade for power now. Draft review: FSICApril 20, 2009A look at Derek and Paul's FSIC NL team. What’s the big deal with Jose Arredondo?April 16, 2009Why is Arredondo owned in so many leagues? When to use your FAAB budget and waiver priorityApril 15, 2009My thoughts on using waiver priorities and my FAAB budget. Fantasy Baseball Roundtable: Next Ludwick and LeeApril 14, 2009A link to this week's roundtable discussion on who will be 2009's Ryan Ludwick and Cliff Lee. Roster Doctor - 4/10/09April 10, 2009When to use the waiver wireApril 09, 2009My take on proper use of the waiver wire in leagues with 'first-come-first-served' free agent pools. Final off-season thoughtsApril 06, 2009Some final thoughts on players, including some undervalued power threats. Fantasy Baseball Roundtable: Undraftable playersApril 04, 2009Link to this week's Fantasy Baseball Roundtable. Common players on my fantasy teamsMarch 27, 2009A look at which players have wound up on my fantasy teams most frequently. Smoke and mirrors: Nate McLouthMarch 25, 2009A look at McLouth's 2008 season and what 2009 might hold. New feature: Roster DoctorMarch 18, 2009An introduction to THT Fantasy's newest feature, Roster Doctor. THT Fantasy Final Four bracket contestMarch 17, 2009NCAA Final Four bracket contest for THT Fantasy readers. Player spotlight: Hanley RamirezMarch 16, 2009A look why we should reconsider Hanley Ramirez as the No. 1 pick in 2009 fantasy drafts. Fantasy Baseball Roundtable: Player evaluation or strategy?March 10, 2009This week's Fantasy Baseball Roundtable, focusing on the relative importance of player evaluation and strategy. Team Carty’s LABR NL rosterMarch 09, 2009An early look at my LABR NL roster. Fun with Road Park FactorsMarch 04, 2009A look at players who could be affected by their 2009 schedules. The double-unlucky pitching staffMarch 02, 2009A look at pitchers who experienced two bouts of bad luck in 2008. Links to Rotoworld article and KFFL Expert LeagueFebruary 27, 2009A couple of links to outside articles and discussions I've recently done. Where should Chase Utley be drafted?February 25, 2009Why Chase Utley could be the biggest early round bargain of 2009. CAPS Profile: Gil MecheFebruary 23, 2009A look at Royals starter Gil Meche under the CAPS microscope. CAPS Profile: Aaron HarangFebruary 16, 2009A look at Aaron Harang and his prospects for a rebound in 2009. THT Projections and Fantasy Roundtable linkFebruary 13, 2009Some news about purchasing THT Projections and a link to this week's Fantasy Baseball Roundtable. Draft strategy: Injury risks can lead to big rewards (Part 3)February 11, 2009A look at some of the caveats to the strategy suggested in Part 2, plus some players to use the strategy with. Fantasy Roundtable and Sons of Sam Horn Chat linksFebruary 06, 2009Links to a couple of external discussions that I was recently involved in. Draft strategy: Injury risks can lead to big rewards (Part 2)February 04, 2009A look at the huge hidden value of players with injury risks. Draft strategy: Injury risks can lead to big rewards (Part 1)February 02, 2009Which makes the better draft day risk, an injury-prone player or a young player with upside? Introducing: CAPS Road Park FactorsJanuary 28, 2009Introducing an addition to our new CAPS stat, individualized Road Park Factors. What’s the best BABIP estimator?January 26, 2009A head-to-head comparison of seven BABIP estimators. Which one should we be using? THT Season Preview 2009 goes to printersJanuary 26, 2009A quick notice about the soon-to-be-released THT Season Preview book. Why one closer over another?January 21, 2009If saves are unpredictable, does it matter which closers we draft? Smoke and mirrors: Robinson CanoJanuary 19, 2009A look at whether Robinson Cano's 2008 season was indicative of a new talent level or simply bad luck. THT Roundtable: How seriously do experts take mock drafts?January 14, 2009A look inside the heads of 13 experts as to their approach for publicized mock drafts. Fantasy fallout: Hoffman signs with BrewersJanuary 09, 2009The fantasy ramifications of Milwaukee's signing an all-time closer. | ||||