May 19, 2013

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About Derek Ambrosino

Derek Ambrosino spent a substantial part of his youth staring at the backs of baseball cards and began developing a statistically-oriented infatuation with baseball history at a young age. He’s previously worked for MLB Advanced Media. By day, he is a Communications professional within the field of global health.


Note: This page displays up to 200 articles at a time. To view a subset of a writer's work, click on one of the following years:
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Derek Ambrosino's Articles

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Of Uggs and Uggla

May 16, 2013
Balancing need and value when shopping on the waiver wire

Which batter belongs?

May 01, 2013
With new names among the fantasy elite, which will still be there at the end?

THT Live: The art - not the science - of failure

April 25, 2013

Crisis management

April 17, 2013
Avoiding some common strategic pitfalls when dealing with a detrimental injury

Hot out of the gate

April 10, 2013
Hot starts I'm buying into and some I'm not

Cold out of the gate

April 10, 2013
Some cold starts that concern me, and some that don't.

Who’s next?

April 03, 2013
Ranking those most likely to inherit closer jobs

Has not paying for saves gone too far?

March 27, 2013
Many adopt a don't-pay-for-saves approach. but that can be an oversimplification.

Put your money where your opinions are

March 19, 2013
In an auction, you vote with your dollars, so weigh in when your opinions are strongest

Five questions: Colorado Rockies

March 14, 2013
The Rockies probably can't scale the mountain in 2013, but they can map a route for later

How much to like Ike?

February 26, 2013
2012 was a tale of two halves for Ike Davis. Which Davis will we see in 2013?

Too many stats spoil the broth

February 22, 2013
Rehab for a league with way too many scoring categories

Who is 2013’s top dog?

February 21, 2013
On the annual debate of who to take first overall in a fantasy draft

Back to back to basics

January 18, 2013
The strategic implications of having the first or last ordered pick in a snake draft

More changes of scenery

December 28, 2012
How moves to new teams will impact a batch of fantasy-relevant players

Changes of scenery

December 13, 2012
Some marquis names have changed teams; does this help our hurt their fantasy value?

What a difference a week makes

November 28, 2012
A small change in league design can make a big difference to user experience

THT Live: MLB.com seeking stats stringers

November 28, 2012

Chatting with the mixed Tout Wars champ

October 10, 2012
Cory Schwartz offers his take on roster construction strategy

Building backwards?

September 26, 2012
Can you win by spending more on relievers than starters?

THT Live: Why the media hopes the 2012 Brewers and Ryan Bruan go away

September 15, 2012

Red light, green light

September 12, 2012
Analyzing the schedule to try to steal some stolen bases

The power of power

September 05, 2012
Why we should trust the long ball and the players who hit them

Half-baked ideas, Vol. 1

August 29, 2012
Seedlings of ideas intended to improve the game of baseball and :an experience

Every day I’m hustlin’

August 22, 2012
The concept of hustle is allegedly lost on fantasy baseball, but that's not really the case

Saving for tomorrow

August 15, 2012
An early look at potential bullpen shake-ups for next season for those in keeper leagues with looming trade deadlines

Haste makes… hay

July 31, 2012
You shouldn't wait much longer to make your trades, except in these instances

Trade winds: position players

July 17, 2012
Position players involved in trade rumors and what a trade would do to their value

Trade winds: starting pitchers

July 10, 2012
Some players with trade buzz and what a deal might mean to the fantasy value of each

What our FanGraphs partnership means for THT Fantasy readers

July 05, 2012
THT has joined forces with FanGraphs; the real winners will be our readers

Buy medium

June 26, 2012
Their owners may think they're selling high, but I don't

Resisting the panic play

June 19, 2012
There's no need to throw your eggs into one basket yet

Sticking to your guns

June 14, 2012
League settings, personal engagement, and THT vs. Fantasy Squared's Fangraphs league

How to be a player

June 05, 2012
Staying single and ready to mingle... with the waiver wire

Getting the best of the market

May 29, 2012
Meaningful info and still small samples make the trade market fertile this time of year

The real replacement level of starting pitching

May 23, 2012
Arms really are worth 90 cents on the dollar when compared to bats

Mythbusting - closer edition

May 15, 2012
Has the tumultuous closer position really helped validate the don't-pay-for-saves model?

Long view

May 08, 2012
Another owner is creating a juggernaut; is there anything you can do? Help him, maybe.

THT vs. Fangraphs

May 01, 2012
A belated introduction to a unique expert league

Sustainable profits

April 17, 2012
Players who are outperforming their preseason ranks without playing above their heads.

Early impressions

April 11, 2012
We don't yet know much, except how to capitalize on those who think they do

Mr. Right now

April 04, 2012
The cost of holding non-MLB players on your active roster

Cramming the smart way

March 21, 2012
If you have limited time to prepare for your draft or auction, how should you spend it?

Solve for ADP pt. 2

March 14, 2012
More fun with players' ADPs and what they'd have to do to live up to them

Why I’m not worried about Ryan Braun

February 29, 2012
Are there reasons to worry about Ryan Braun this season?

Solve for ADP

February 15, 2012
What do some bounce-back and leap-forward candidates have to do in 2012 to justify their ADPs?

Making the leap up

February 08, 2012
Jumping from public leagues to more competitive private leagues

Are you mocking me?

February 01, 2012
More discussion of the recent THT mock draft

Ask Oliver

January 25, 2012
What does THT Forecasts have to say about a handful of controversial 2012 fantasy assets?

Can you really play it safe?

January 18, 2012
With the odds stacked against you, is "playing it safe" even possible, let alone advisable?

Is autodraft a necessary evil?

January 04, 2012
Should those who use autodraft be punished for doing so?

Getting outside the matrix

December 23, 2011
The liberation of ignoring pre-ranks, plus some discussion of auction nomination strategy

Ryans

December 14, 2011
One man has two keepers on his roster named Ryan, and shenanigans ensue.

The butterfly effect

December 07, 2011
Preparing for the ripple effects of individual draft day decisions

Orders of protection

November 30, 2011
Talent is talent, regardless of who sandwiches it

What to make of Matt Kemp in 2012?

November 23, 2011
How many players do I rank ahead of Matt Kemp for next season?

The objective insider

November 09, 2011
Fantasy sports writing and its unique journalistic virtues

Itty bitty Citi?

November 03, 2011
How might the new dimensions at Citi Field impact David Wright and other Mets players?

How does your league stack up?

October 26, 2011
How do you evaluate the quality of your fantasy league?

Looking ahead: THT Fantasy in the offseason

October 12, 2011
What you should expect between now and April 2012

THT Live: You are going to lose

October 07, 2011

Two’s a crowd

October 05, 2011
Reflecting on my experiences as a co-manager

THT Live: Going to WAR for the Cy Young Award?

September 30, 2011

Taking time to give thanks

September 28, 2011
Appreciating the commissioner and the THT readers

Endgame reminders

September 21, 2011
Using all the tools and loopholes at your disposal, for offense of defense

Stealing steals

September 16, 2011
Available players likely to steal some bases on the way out

It’s not about you

September 07, 2011
Thoughts on reuniting with past busts

Getting lucky

August 31, 2011
Making your own luck

The 300 club

August 17, 2011
Curtis Granderson and the apotheosis of gallimaufry

The little things

August 10, 2011
What's an innocuous quirk in the early season can become a source of monumental discontent in the stretch run

Approaching endgame

August 03, 2011
You may or may not ever flick the switch, but it wouldn't matter unless you changed the bulb

For the haves and have nots

July 27, 2011
Trade deadline advice for those chasing leads, as well as those protecting them.

Objects in mirror are closer than they appear

July 13, 2011
... and other rational reminders at midseason

NL Waiver Wire: Week 13

July 01, 2011
A pinch-hit writer takes a different approach to finding bargain-bin talent.

Birds of a feather, whatever

June 30, 2011
Is it advantageous to roster several players from the same team?

The Frugal Gourmet

June 22, 2011
If you don't love your unbranded assets, who will?

Hybrid league update

June 15, 2011
Is a hybrid league the panacea to dead-beating?

Approach the bench

June 08, 2011
Choosing the proper bench management strategy for your fantasy player profile

Alex, Victor, and the infinitely complex

June 01, 2011
A single, common roster dilemma is often a microcosm of the your greater strategic questions

True lies

May 25, 2011
Persuasive arguments to augment a player's value that sound true, but are most likely false

Before you close the deal ...

May 18, 2011
Trading for closers before the MLB trade deadline can be tricky

Confessions of a market skeptic

May 12, 2011
To regulate or deregulate, fantasy baseball, Wall Street, and my existential crisis

No-no, not so fast

May 05, 2011
Riffing on Liriano's no-hitter

Overcoming the scarlet drop

April 27, 2011
Why do we consider a player a prince in one league and a pauper in another?

Buy tomorrow, sell yesterday

April 20, 2011
"Buy low, sell high" doesn't relate to perception as much as it does to distribution patterns.

LIMA’s hidden costs

April 13, 2011
The subtle opportunity costs of exercising a LIMA plan

Keep it on the DL

April 06, 2011
A public service announcement: make use of your hidden roster spots

One for you, two for me

March 30, 2011
Greed is good. The benefits of drafting more than your "fair share" of closers.

I like Daniel Hudson, but not his in-laws

March 16, 2011
Some teams' bullpens influence my opinions on their starters

Is fantasy sports gambling?

March 04, 2011
Admit it, we're sinners! Refuting arguments against lumping fantasy sports for stakes with poker and sports gambling

Positioning statements

February 23, 2011
A look at some players who are slated to expand on their current positional eligibility

The Economist: Three observations about money and fantasy sports

February 16, 2011
An experiment leads to observations on performance and stakes

Silly little idea

February 09, 2011
Call me crazy, but I think the inventor of rotisserie baseball should be in the Hall of Fame

Read and react pt.2

February 02, 2011
Brief thoughts on players who appear overvalued, according to their average draft positions.

Read and react, part 1

January 26, 2011
Beginning my 2011 research in earnest, I start by scanning ADPs and reacting to apparent bargains.

Capturing the Black Swan

January 19, 2011
Food for thought about outlying performances and conventional wisdom

Why head-to-head?

January 12, 2011
Many expert and high stakes leagues used the H2H format - why?

Department of redundancy department

December 29, 2010
Principles to consider when choosing your league's categories

Diversify your bonds

December 22, 2010
Perspective on healthy roster diversification across multiple leagues

The bare cupboard

December 14, 2010
The implications of a lack of elite AL starting pitchers on AL-only leagues, appropriate strategies, and the dynamics of "runs"

The human element: I want to watch

December 08, 2010
Games being televised can tempt us to make precarious line-up decisions

The human element: choosing our own fate

December 01, 2010
Some fantasy baseball decisions are not made rationally, but maybe that's OK

Bargain shopping in the AL

November 17, 2010
An early look at some American Leaguers who project to be useful, but who won't break the bank.

Bargain shopping in the NL

November 10, 2010
An early look at some National Leaguers who project to be useful, but who won't break the bank.

Putting the group in groupthink

November 03, 2010
Another look at 2011's top 12, from a more conservative point of view

Sticker shock

October 20, 2010
Yesterday's bargains are often tomorrow's suckers' bets

Aren’t hybrids all the rage?

October 13, 2010
Fear and loathing in league design, inaugural edition.

Mandatory end of season introspection

October 06, 2010
Looking back at some of my "usual suspects" and an update regarding last week's column.

Is thinking with your head overrated?

September 29, 2010
Irrational risks in the pursuit of glory; yay or nay?

Cool story, bro

September 22, 2010
A self-indulgent tale of an epic fantasy day, with a side of lesson

Like taking candy from a Barajas

September 15, 2010
Trying to eke some stolen bases; who's the easiest to take 'em from?

Making a run for—or from—the money

September 08, 2010
The runs scored category and its battle with me to shed its second-class citizenship.

Endgame aggression

September 01, 2010
There aren't many tomorrows left; it's time to forfeit a bit of quality for quantity's sake

I don’t need to know my role; I know my rights

August 25, 2010
Should non-contenders be barred from trading with contenders down the stretch?

How much injury risk is too much?

August 18, 2010
Checking in on an attempt to nurse an April infirmary into a September juggernaut.

Sacred cows make the best burgers

August 11, 2010
Reading the market and taking advantage of last-minute keeper deals

How do we know we’re right?

August 04, 2010
What must we establish to rightly claim credit for our predictions?

WHIP it good

July 28, 2010
Giving Carl Pavano's performance the respect it deserves.

Faith no more?

July 21, 2010
More than halfway though the season, are underperforming players still buy-low candidates, or are they sunken costs?

The mysteries of bulk buying

July 14, 2010
It can be quite difficult to evaluate the benefits of trades involving many players.

Impending closer shake-ups and risk management

July 07, 2010
To double down or buy insurance?

Teaching myself a lesson in opportunity cost

June 30, 2010
What are we costing ourselves by holding on to our fringe assets?

The ethicist part two: pulling a fast one

June 23, 2010
What must I disclose when shopping a lemon?

The Ethicist: Fantasy Baseball Edition

June 16, 2010
In which I extrapolate the "trolley problem."

Confessions of a conspiracy theorist: who’s watching the watchers?

June 09, 2010
How do we know that our league providers are correctly valuing stat lines?

Relief for your toxic assets

June 02, 2010
A potential way of handling season-ending injuries to keepers

Confessions of a market skeptic: endowment effect edition

May 26, 2010
Does the endowment effect actually hinder our abilities to improve our teams?

Checking in on my “usual suspects”

May 19, 2010
Players' stats may not yet be predictive, but hard decisions must be made

What should fantasy baseball “be about?” part 2

May 12, 2010
Owners in your league will behave however you tell them to behave.

What should fantasy baseball “be about?” part 1

May 05, 2010
League settings and their underlying philosophical values, limiting transactions edition.

Capacity building 101: so, tell me more about this database

April 28, 2010
Before we can to take fantasy baseball analysis to the next level, we need some very basic infrastructure.

Most debates really boil down to semantics

April 20, 2010
The clash of the quants and geniuses is under way, but do we know what victory looks like?

Punt your way to the front?

April 14, 2010
Head-to-head leagues offer increased freedom to experiment with bold tactics.

Keeping things in perspective

April 07, 2010
Taking it back to fantasy 101 to fight fantasy hypochondria.

The usual suspects

March 31, 2010
Did I outsmart the market, or myself?

Last year’s models

March 24, 2010
A look at seven similarly valued players, who were once more sought after.

Save me a slice

March 17, 2010
Elite closers: the pizza of fantasy baseball.

Petty thieves

March 10, 2010
Premium speed at discount prices.

The mockery of mock drafts

March 03, 2010
Why mock drafts may not be as useful and predictive as they sound in theory.

Friendship and disappointment

February 24, 2010
Three players likely to disappoint, and the joys of friend-based leagues.

Why discretion is the better part of valor

February 17, 2010
Further exploring the dangers of deferring drafting studs for seemingly similarly skilled sleepers.

Bucking the system

February 10, 2010
Can radically altering a league structure proactively eliminate deadbeats?

This isn’t fantasy baseball, Joe

February 03, 2010
Misconceptions of players' actual values and their fantasy stock

Fantasy Baseball Hall of Fame pt. 3 (2006 – 2010)

January 27, 2010
The final installment of my Fantasy Baseball Hall of Fame series

Fantasy Baseball Hall of Fame pt. 2 (2001 – 2005)

January 19, 2010
in which I continue to use such an honorable platform for self-indulgent fodder

Fantasy Baseball Hall of Fame pt. 1 (1995 – 2000)

January 11, 2010
Self-indulgent, non-helpful fodder you know you want to read!

New year’s resolutions

January 04, 2010
Novel thoughts about 2010 in wrapped in a stale gimmick of a column theme.

Festivus time: the airing of grievances

December 21, 2009
Some "proposals" are even worse than the movie

Late bloomers or one-hit wonders?

December 14, 2009
Will three of last season's unexpected breakouts Aaron Hill, Russell Branyan and Mark Reynolds retain their value in 2010

Does hometown bias exist in competitive fantasy leagues?

December 07, 2009
Soliciting your experiences with hometown bias and fantasy baseball

One category roar, five category snore

November 30, 2009
How does the way a player's value is dispersed across categories affect his marketability?

Killing two birds with one stone

November 23, 2009
The additional benefits of drafting for upside in deep leagues

Fetch me my slippers

November 16, 2009
Yesterday’s busts are tomorrow’s value picks

When a cigar is not just a cigar

November 09, 2009
Behind the scenes of all-"expert" fantasy drafts.

Approaching unconscious competence

November 02, 2009
What’s the most efficient way to prepare for next season?

Evaluating the A-Rod experiment

October 26, 2009
A-Rod plus an interim replacement may have proved one of the wisest investments on draft day

Fantasy snobbery and league legitimacy

October 19, 2009
Are more advanced leagues necessarily of better overall quality?

Protecting me from myself

October 14, 2009
Identifying and addressing our own counterproductive tendencies

Beware he who has little to lose

October 05, 2009
What are the implications of relying on pitcher counting stats versus rate stats during H2H playoffs?

Gonzo managing

September 26, 2009
Fear and loathing in the last week of the season

What to make of pre-ranks part 2

September 21, 2009
How did Yahoo do pre-ranking players 51-100?

What to make of pre-ranks?

September 14, 2009
Are Yahoo's pre-ranks a useful tool when choosing between players?

Slightly deeper keepers

September 09, 2009
Five players who disappointed this year, but should rebound next season

Playing for keeps (Part 2)

August 31, 2009
A look at eight more players on keeper bubbles

Playing for keeps

August 23, 2009
What to make of the keeper-status of some of this year's market movers.

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