February 9, 2010
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Rich Barbieri John Barten Brian Borawski Craig Brown Evan Brunell Chuck Brownson Kevin Dame Joshua Fisher David Gassko Jeremy Greenhouse Brandon Isleib Chris Jaffe Max Marchi Bruce Markusen Dan Novick Harry Pavlidis Alex Pedicini Jeff Sackmann Nick Steiner Dave Studeman Steve Treder Bryan Tsao Tuck! Geoff Young John Brattain And here's the full roster.
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About David GasskoDavid Gassko is a former consultant to a major league team. He welcomes comments via e-mail.Choose year: 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 David Gassko's ArticlesClick here to view an RSS feed of this writer's articles. Career Projections 2010February 03, 2010Which players are most likely to reach 3,000 hits, 763 home runs, and 300 wins? Downloadable spreadsheet at the end! Who’s going to win the MVP?October 13, 2009David looks at the MVP and Cy Young races, using a model he developed for his article in The Hardball Times Annual 2010. Man vs. computerOctober 06, 2009Can a baseball analyst beat his own projection system? David checks the results of his preseason predictions. A treatise on true talentJuly 30, 2009What does it mean to know how good a player really is? Or, how likely is Ichiro to get a hit in his next at-bat? THT Live: Curt’s Pitch for ALSJune 25, 2009THT Live: Papi getting pop-yJune 22, 2009Explaining LIPSJune 16, 2009An explanation of what goes into Luck Independent Statistics, aka LIPS. Welcome to the new THT FantasyMay 31, 2009We've re-designed THT Fantasy; come take a look at all the new features! THT Live: The Diamond Mind Projection Blowout 2009March 30, 2009Best regards, JohnMarch 30, 2009THT authors remember John Brattain. 29 players I think the THT projections got wrongMarch 30, 2009David runs down a list of players who he thinks will over- or underperform their THT projections. THT Live: THT Projected Standings, as of March 9March 18, 2009THT Season Preview 2009 is shippingFebruary 09, 2009The Hardball Times Season Preview 2009 is shipping. THT Live: THT Season Preview 2009 is shippingFebruary 09, 2009The A-Rod RoundtableFebruary 09, 2009THT authors debate allegations of Alex Rodriguez's steroid use. It’s The Hardball Times Season Preview 2009January 26, 2009Whether you're a fanatical fantasy player, or just want to see what's up with your favorite team, the THT Season Preview 2009 is just for you. THT Live: UZR now available on FangraphsDecember 07, 2008Do experienced players perform better in the postseason?November 20, 2008David continues his examination of whether experience makes a difference in the playoffs. Does experience matter in the postseason?November 12, 2008David asks if experienced teams really have an advantage when the playoffs come around. THT Fantasy MailbagOctober 30, 2008Announcing a new feature on THT. So how did THT projections do?October 06, 2008Comparing the accuracy of 2008 THT projections with that of PECOTA, CHONE and ZiPS. THT Live: Height and home run ratesSeptember 30, 2008THT Live: Fun with THT statsJuly 23, 2008THT Live: Sabermetrics class at MIT on SundayJuly 10, 2008THT round table: Sabathia and HardenJuly 10, 2008Our authors discuss the Sabathia and Harden deals. What is the value of a playoff win?June 26, 2008David explores just how important winning in the postseason is these days, compared to previous eras. Will Joba Chamberlain make a good starter?June 07, 2008David delves deep into the data on Joba Chamberlain's first start. All about Ben SheetsMay 02, 2008David looks at Ben Sheets from a statistical, mechanical and injury perspective with help from Dan Loeterman and Chris Neault. THT Live: How bad does Clement’s defense have to be?April 25, 2008THT Live: Do some types of pitchers get more calls?April 24, 2008THT Live: Philosophical Pitch f/x thought of the dayApril 21, 2008THT Live: HilariousApril 11, 2008THT Live: Knuckleballs and timingApril 11, 2008Testing my career projection systemApril 10, 2008Odds of mimicking reality: high. THT Live: Catcher DefenseApril 06, 2008Five Questions: Baltimore OriolesMarch 28, 2008In a land without hope...Maryland. THT Live: THT Projections UpdateMarch 20, 2008Batted balls and park effectsMarch 20, 2008Beyond mere run factors. THT Live: Dykstra Launching Magazine for Professional AthletesMarch 18, 2008Do pitch counts count?March 06, 2008The toll of a toss. THT Live: For those of you in Wisconsin…February 26, 2008Avoiding the hookFebruary 21, 2008More research on which pitchers have longer careers. THT Live: The THT Season Preview 2008 is shippingFebruary 19, 2008The THT Season Preview 2008 is shippingFebruary 19, 2008The Hardball Times Season Preview 2008 is on its way to your doorstep as we speak. Will to powerFebruary 14, 2008Do strikeout pitchers truly tend to have longer careers? THT Live: Do teams improve by firing their managers?February 12, 2008It’s the Hardball Times Season Preview 2008!February 08, 2008Whether you're a fanatical fantasy player, or just want to see what's up with your favorite team, the THT Season Preview 2008 is just for you. The Hardball Times Season Preview 2008: A sample chapterFebruary 08, 2008A few pages from the Red Sox chapter for those interested in the kind of content you can find in the THT Season Preview. Ten things I learned from The Hardball Times Season Preview 2008February 08, 2008Previewing the Season Preview. Do chicks dig the long ball?January 31, 2008Whether hits in bleachers put fannies in seats. Is Curt Schilling toast?November 15, 2007David examines whether Curt Schilling has another good season left in him. THT Live: Ridiculous “Science”November 09, 2007THT Live: Manny OrtezOctober 31, 2007Have pitchers become more fragile?October 25, 2007David explores whether or not pitchers today just don't have it in them to throw as many innings as our heroes of yesteryear. My 2007 MVPsOctober 11, 2007David presents his MVP ballot for 2007. The value of a batted ballSeptember 20, 2007David looks at whether hitters stick to doing what they're best at and whether or not some hitters get more value out of their batted balls than others. THT Live: 2007 Zone RatingsAugust 27, 2007Historical hitting by positionAugust 09, 2007David looks at how players at different positions have hit throughout baseball history. THT Live: Don’t worry, Red Sox fansAugust 08, 2007THT Live: Barry BondsAugust 05, 2007THT Live: Baseball’s biggest problemAugust 03, 2007Analyzing the deadline dealsAugust 01, 2007David takes a look at all the trades made near baseball's trading deadline. A quick note on Manny RamirezJuly 23, 2007Has Manny really lost his power? THT Live: Joel Pineiro designated for assignmentJuly 22, 2007THT Live: Don’t blow it!July 21, 2007Are the Red Sox collapsing?July 19, 2007David takes a look at Boston's recent mediocrity. THT Live: When did fans start obsessing over steroids?July 16, 2007Did Buehrle get overpaid?July 12, 2007David investigates Mark Buehrle's new contract. The Kazmir conundrumJuly 05, 2007David ponders whether Scott Kazmir's strikeout rates are hurting the young pitcher. The “Luck” StatsJune 28, 2007Which pitchers have been lucky this season? Big cities, big problemsJune 28, 2007Are some places just harder to succeed in? D-Fence!June 14, 2007David reviews the best fielders of 2007. THT Live: The funniest sabermetric joke ever madeJune 13, 2007THT Live: LasikJune 07, 2007Untimely PerformancesMay 30, 2007David discusses his pitching woes. Pondering PythagorasMay 24, 2007David considers whether there is any way for teams to systematically outperform their expected record. The Cheater’s Guide to Baseball: A ReviewMay 17, 2007David Gassko reviews Derek Zumsteg's new book, and comes away very impressed. Pennants Added RevisitedMay 03, 2007David answers a couple questions about last week's column. Pennants AddedApril 26, 2007David takes a look at a popular statistic. THT Live: League Difficulty (Part 4)April 16, 2007Measuring the Change in League Quality (Part 3)April 16, 2007Nerd fight, part two. Measuring the Change In League Quality (Part Two)April 12, 2007David continues his look at the evolution of league quality, and gives us some conclusions. THT Live: Matsuzaka Scouting ReportApril 05, 2007Measuring the Change in League QualityApril 05, 2007How much better are players today? Breaking the PitcherMarch 29, 2007David examines whether breaking balls really cause young pitchers to break down. Five Questions: Colorado RockiesMarch 23, 2007Are the Rockies instituting yet another five-year plan? Five Questions: Baltimore OriolesMarch 20, 2007Did you realize the Orioles have been below .500 nine years running? Diamond Dollars ReviewedMarch 01, 2007David reviews Vince Gennaro's new book on the business of baseball. Ten Things I Learned About Next SeasonFebruary 22, 2007David discusses The Hardball Times 2007 Season Preview, and previews some of its more interesting projections. Hitting PitchersFebruary 08, 2007Not literally, of course. David examines the best hitting pitchers of today and yesterday, and many other related questions. The Outside CornerFebruary 01, 2007David explores the current state of umpiring in the major leagues. Uncovering DIPSJanuary 04, 2007David delves deep into DIPS theory, and makes some stunning conclusions about what pitchers can and cannot control. DIPS, LIPS, and HipsDecember 28, 2006OK, no hips, but David does share a wealth of DIPS 3.0 statistics for 2006, and introduces a new stat to help further weed out luck from a pitcher's statistics. Lineup BalanceDecember 07, 2006How important is a balanced lineup, and other questions. The Year-After EffectNovember 30, 2006Why taking Scott Kazmir in your fantasy draft might not be as risky as you think. Present ValueNovember 27, 2006Why Soriano's contract really isn't as big as it seems. How much is Matsuzaka worth?November 16, 2006David tries to estimate just how much the Red Sox should offer their new Japanese superstar. Does Size Matter (Part 6)November 09, 2006David finally concludes his series on player size. The Curious Case of Julian TavarezOctober 06, 2006Might the Red Sox have found a quality starter? Does Size Matter (Part 5)September 29, 2006This time, we take a look at pitchers. Does Size Matter (Part 4)September 22, 2006In the fourth installment of a multi-part series, David finally comes to a conclusion on how size affects a hitter's projection. Jonathan Papelbon and Replacement LevelSeptember 18, 2006Why we aren't thinking about Papelbon's value as a closer correctly. Does Size Matter? (Part 3)September 14, 2006In the third installment of a multi-part series, David examines how size affects older hitters' power projections, and considers an alternative theory on why size matters. Does Size Matter? (Part 2)August 18, 2006In the second installment of a multi-part series, David examines how size affects a hitter's power projections. THT Dartboard: August 11, 2006August 11, 2006After a week-long hiatus, the Dartboard is back. Does Size Matter? (Part 1)August 10, 2006In this first installment of a multi-part series, David examines the effect of size on a hitter's batting line. Projection Roundtable (Part 5)August 04, 2006David discusses projecting the future with six top baseball forecasters in this five part series. Projection Roundtable (Part 4)August 03, 2006David discusses projecting the future with six top baseball forecasters in this five part series. Projection Roundtable (Part 3)August 02, 2006David discusses projecting the future with six top baseball forecasters in this five part series. Projection Roundtable (Part 2)August 01, 2006David discusses projecting the future with six top baseball forecasters in this five part series. Projection Roundtable (Part 1)July 31, 2006David discusses projecting the future with six top baseball forecasters in this five part series. THT Dartboard: July 27, 2006July 27, 2006Ranking all major league teams. THT Dartboard: July 21, 2006July 21, 2006Ranking all major league teams. THT Dartboard: July 13, 2006July 14, 2006Questions for the second half. THT Dartboard: July 7, 2006July 07, 2006The All-Star edition of THT's Dartboard. THT Dartboard: June 29, 2006June 29, 2006Ranking all major league teams. DIPS, AgainJune 23, 2006Proceed at your own risk. THT Dartboard: June 22, 2006June 22, 2006Ranking all major league teams. Albert Pujols and the State of BaseballJune 14, 2006Why his injury has been front page news for almost a week. What’s Roger Clemens Worth?June 02, 2006Did the Astros overpay? Dusty Baker and Pitch CountsMay 26, 2006Is the Cubs manager endangering his starters? The Truth About the GrounderMay 12, 2006Answering questions about ground ball pitchers. THT Live: Tommy John surgeryMay 06, 2006The Greatest Pitcher AliveMay 05, 2006ESPN polled their experts; David looks at the numbers. Same old, same oldApril 28, 2006How important is consistency? Five Questions: Colorado RockiesMarch 28, 2006Will the Rox score more than 3.57 runs per game on the road? Five Questions: Baltimore OriolesMarch 21, 2006Is there any hope? The Fielding BibleMarch 10, 2006It's stuffed! Slammin’ SammyFebruary 24, 2006We're all doing it now. Another Look at Batted Balls and DIPSFebruary 17, 2006David updates and re-visits his DIPS 3.0 formula, with insight into its importance and uses. So skip the article and download the spreadsheets with all the numbers. Evaluating the EvaluatorsFebruary 03, 2006An explanation of the five most mainstream defensive metrics, and an examination of their accuracy and importance. Pitching Runs Created AgainJanuary 27, 2006Answering a few questions. Pitching Runs CreatedJanuary 20, 2006A cool new way to evaluate pitchers. Understanding Defensive RatingsJanuary 10, 2006David makes it easier to do, with a little help from his friends batting average and Manny Ramirez. (Hint: Manny stinks.) Ramirez and TejadaJanuary 03, 2006Manny and Miggy. So similar, but who's worth more? Range RevisitedDecember 19, 2005Revising David's Range system. How Much Can We Learn By Looking At “Stuff”?December 14, 2005David takes a look at the predictive power of pitchers' stuff. Is Ryan Worth It?November 28, 2005David looks at the five-year deal the Blue Jays gave B.J. Ryan. Stop the Madness! Or not.November 23, 2005David's head explodes talking about the AJ Burnett Sweepstakes. Quantifying Catcher Defense, and Other Stuff Like ThatNovember 17, 2005David doesn't answer if I-Rod is better than Mike Piazza, but he does tell you lots of other use(less)ful things. The Rise and Fall of Nomar GarciaparraNovember 07, 2005A short history of a fomerly great player's career. Goodbye to the ArchitectNovember 04, 2005David says Larry Lucchino and John Henry are to blame for Theo Epstein's departure, whether it's their fault or not. 2005 Gold GlovesOctober 24, 2005David looks at baseball's best and worst defenders. Killer B’s: This Time It’s BackeOctober 17, 2005A WPA look at Game 4 of the Astros-Cardinals series. A Game of Epic ProportionsOctober 10, 2005Looking at game four in the Astros/Braves series with Win Probability Added FifteenOctober 07, 2005This time it's 15 losses for Greg Maddux Measuring RangeSeptember 28, 2005Taking a shot at creating a new defensive metric. A Mini-Dynasty in the MakingSeptember 19, 2005What shaped the team challenging the White Sox in the AL Central. How to Pitch in ColoradoSeptember 12, 2005David takes a look at what kind of pitchers succeed at Coors Field. Whatever Happened to Ichiro?September 05, 2005Finding the reasons for Ichiro's decline. Batted Balls and DIPSAugust 30, 2005Are you ready for DIPS 3.0? David takes a crack. Ranking the General ManagersMay 31, 2005David presents a system for ranking Epstein, Sabean, Beane and the others. Click here to return to the home page. | ||||