May 25, 2013
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About Jeff SackmannJeff Sackmann is the creator of MinorLeagueSplits.com. With Kent Bonham, he founded CollegeSplits.com, which provides data on amateur baseball to about half of the 30 Major League teams. In his other virtual life, Jeff helps people get into business school. He has written Total GMAT Math, Total GMAT Verbal, and Total GRE Math. Jeff also has an email address.
Note: This page displays up to 200 articles at a time. To view a subset of a writer's work, click on one of the following years:
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Jeff Sackmann's Articles
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On a position-by-position basis, are we doing replacement level wrong?
A statistical look at a renegade major league yields a surprising insight into the effect of expansion.
Using retrospective projections to find breakout (and flat-out weird) seasons.
The journeyman infielder has been unfairly consigned to a career in the minors. Someone needs to let him contribute ... if it's not already too late.
A new book takes a closer look at a baseball hotbed in the Caribbean.
Checking in on midseason TotalZone defense numbers for the minor leagues.
What is the probability of a given player hitting for the cycle?
College players, wood bats ... what more could you want?
Who's there, who to watch, and who's going to win.
Jeff sifts through the first 10 rounds of the amateur draft looking for names you should know.
The road to Omaha runs through Monte Carlo.
Jeff cracks open the spreadsheets and ranks the top college draft prospects.
There's plenty of draft-eligible college talent behind the plate. Jeff ranks the contenders.
Jeff identifies an important red flag for draft day.
In which Jeff beats a dead horse, wondering if it will come back to life.
Who is the most feared college catcher? Which 2008 Giants draft pick is better (at some things) than Buster Posey? For once, Jeff tries to answer as many questions as he asks.
How the defensive spectrum changes from college ball to the professional ranks
What happens when college pitchers face future draftees? And what does it all mean?
A new way to measure amateur prospects: What happens when they go head to head?
The NL Central is up for grabs. Will the Crew be good enough to take it?
On the use and misuse of batted ball stats.
Answering some questions, and asking some new ones.
A first look at development patterns for college hitters
Defense analysis meets NCAA outfielders.
Breaking down park factors to see who benefits—and who suffers—from their home park.
Which farmhands have it, and which ones don't?
Hunting for bullpen help in minor league starting rotations
The Pirates are bringing new meaning to the word "rebuilding."
When second best is more than good enough.
Seattle needed Chone in a bad, bad way.
Or: How the Angels (almost) won the pennant
The NL Rookie of the Year Award race is wide open. Here are the contenders.
Someday, the Royals will be competitive again. But when?
The disappointing Brewer has been DFA'd. What does that say about Doug Melvin's original decision to lock him up?
How old are the players on your Triple-A affiliate? Does it matter?
Trying to make sense out of the Dominican Summer League
The defensive stylings of Robbie Shields, Gordon Beckham, and...Tyler Bortnick?
Texas closer Austin Wood isn't the only college pitcher to have endangered his arm this year. Jeff looks at the workloads of other top picks.
Jeff looks at the first five rounds of the draft and finds the players whose numbers benefited or suffered most from context.
Handicapping the 64-team NCAA bracket.
Jeff handicaps the Division II and III championships.
A foray into college defense stats
Will the 2009 Crew get drunk with glory, or just gloriously drunk?
How does NAIA baseball stack up against the levels of the NCAA?
It isn't the regular season, but it might just be better.
How does NCAA Division 3 compare to Division 1?
Putting small-college baseball in context.
Ranking schools, schedules, and conferences.
As if I really want to talk about it.
Trust me—this is how God wants it.
With CC Sabathia in the fold, the Brewers are in the driver's seat in the race for the Wild Card. Will they stay on course?
Why Milwaukee's idea wasn't completely insane.
Will this first-place team stick around at the top of the standings?
How do things change with the pitcher on deck?
Jeff and Kent use college play-by-play data to check up on evaluations of amateur talent.
A .900+ OPS is waiting ... will anyone make the call?
Do college groundball rates tell us anything?
If this column only answered that question, it would be a short one.
Forget about Joe Torre—the Yankees have bigger things to worry about.
It's nine million bucks, but a tougher decision than you might think.
Here are six players who should get strong consideration for end-of-season awards ... but won't.
Pitch-by-pitch data for prospects, suspects and Adam Pettyjohn.
Jeff digs into minor league pitch-by-pitch data, starting with Triple-A batters.
Should you trade away the future for the present...and the future?
Four teams with some soul-searching to do between now and July 31.
The Home Run Derby is boring and broken. Jeff has the solution.
Jeff dives into the numbers and determines which expansion-era teams were streakiest.
Who'll enter the history books as 2007's worst team? The Nats are the frontrunners, but Jeff finds some stiff competition.
Jeff takes an in-depth look at the past, present, and future of the unheralded second round of the amateur draft.
Jeff looks at the first picks in the 2006 amateur draft and considers how this year's class will look in June 2008.
Jeff takes in the NCAA Division III Championships...and loves every minute of it.
How MLB bleeds you out of your last dollar, and why it might be a good thing.
An immodest proposal designed to make middle relievers work for their money.
Jeff looks at how teams can get creative with their active rosters, and whether the rules ought to be tightened.
The Yankees made a multi-million dollar gamble, and it's anybody's guess how it will turn out.
Is Milwaukee leaving wins on the table by keeping Ryan Braun in the minors?
Maybe Shannon Stewart wasn't such a bad signing after all.
Here a Yankee, there a Yankee...
It's a jungle out there, but Jeff and Kent boil it all down to one number worth watching.
The Hall of Famers tomorrow ... today!
Picking up where he left off on Wednesday, Jeff looks at the future Hall of Famers taking the mound in the junior circuit.
There are probably 50 or 60 future Hall of Famers playing the major leagues right now. Jeff tries to figure out who they are.
Finding truly useless regulars isn't as easy as it looks.
The Washington Nationals have to field a starting rotation, whether they want to or not. Jeff takes a look at who they dug up.
In 2006, the Brewers were a sleeper team that never woke up. Will they finally stop hitting the snooze?
Jeff takes a look back at the 2002 Midsummer Classic. It was a wild scene, even before Bud Selig got involved.
Which teams are best built to withstand the inevitable pitching injuries? Jeff takes a look.
The 2006 All-Star finally has a job. Jeff wonders why it took so long and tries to figure out whether he deserves it.
The Brewers are No. 1 in Jeff's heart. Coincidentally, they also top this list.
The Los Angeles Angels top this list of teams with the deepest rosters in the junior circuit.
In many ways, college baseball is uncharted territory. Kent and Jeff will be your guides.
Jeff ignores writerly advice and writes about what he doesn't know.
It's that time of year: We're talking about baseball all the time, but we don't know much of anything.
Every tragedy has a face. Win Shares Above Bench isn't a tragedy, but it does have some faces.
Who has the best farm system? Jeff puts on his beanie cap and figures it out.
Or, Ramon Ortiz vs. Matt Garza.
Kent and Jeff bring a new baby into the world...and it's a big one.
The Brewers signed Bill Hall through 2010. Deals like this one are signs of the times, so Jeff takes a closer look at the trend.
Will next year's free agent options be more appetizing than this year's?
Or is it?
What we need to do if we really want to compare prospects
In 17 starts last year, the Brewers ace made history.
And the winner is...
This time, Jeff uses actual starters!
Somebody must think so—besides Scott Boras, that is.
Sure, but does he deserve any?
The big boys are signed, but the cupboard isn't bare.
What we talk about when we talk about starters.
Hint: Probably not as good as you think.
Which minor league pitchers best controlled the basepaths in 2006?
Jeff Suppan and Barry Zito are the best pitchers left on the market. A handful of teams have some soul-searching to do.
Which young catchers best controlled the running game in 2006?
Jim Bowden has been uncharacteristically silent this winter. Jeff wonders what it means for his team's future.
Five notable selectees and one interesting strategy in Thursday's Rule 5 Draft.
Jeff looks at the market for free-agent second basemen.
The Brewers have started a game of musical chairs, and their best hitter may be the odd man out.
How good is an average center fielder?
Is $50 million the new $13 million? Jeff wonders what it all means for Barry Zito, the Red Sox and Japanese baseball.
If he comes to the states, it's far from clear how he'll perform. Jeff looks at all the possibilities.
How much is Japan's best pitcher worth?
With or without the help of foreign substances, Chris Carpenter shuts down the Tigers.
Reyes pitches into the ninth, and the Cardinals hit like they're healthy.
Bring your pocket protector, and we'll figure out who'll win this thing!
Behind Suppan's arm and Molina's bat, the Cardinals advance to the World Series
Maine is memorable, and the Mets force a final game.
With their bullpen back on track, the Cardinals are one win away from the World Series.
Steve Trachsel implodes as Suppan excels.
Billy Wagner creates postseason heroes wholesale.
Glavine and Weaver duel into the sixth, but one Carlos Beltran swing is all the Mets need.
Subtract Pedro and El Duque, add a competent Jeff Weaver, and this series is closer than it looks.
Behind a strong outing from Jeff Weaver, the Cardinals take a 2-0 series lead.
Jake Peavy lost another Game 1.
Looking forward to when executives will just say no.
Is Coco one of baseball's best closers? Jeff takes a look.
Four teams that could benefit from a fire sale.