November 21, 2009

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The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2010 is now in development and will ship in mid November! This year's book will feature articles by THT's staff as well as Bill James, Tom Tango and Craig Wright. If you use this link to purchase the Annual, you will be in the first group to receive it and you'll be supporting THT.


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About Jeff Sackmann

Jeff Sackmann is the creator of MinorLeagueSplits.com. With Kent Bonham, he founded CollegeSplits.com, which provides data on amateur baseball to about half of the 30 Major League teams. In his other virtual life, Jeff helps people get into business school. He has written Total GMAT Math, Total GMAT Verbal, and Total GRE Math.


Choose year:  2009  2008  2007  2006  2005  2004

Jeff Sackmann's Articles

Where does production come from?

October 29, 2009
Or: How the Angels (almost) won the pennant

THT Live: Quality start streaks

October 01, 2009

Pick your favorite rookie

October 01, 2009
The NL Rookie of the Year Award race is wide open. Here are the contenders.

THT Live: Disco Hayes theorizes

September 23, 2009

They want Moore?

September 03, 2009
Someday, the Royals will be competitive again. But when?

Revisiting Bill Hall’s long-term deal

August 20, 2009
The disappointing Brewer has been DFA'd. What does that say about Doug Melvin's original decision to lock him up?

THT Live: Cespedes, De La Cruz, and pray for a better rhyme

August 19, 2009

THT Live: How old is your Double-A team?

August 08, 2009

Treading and retreading

August 06, 2009
How old are the players on your Triple-A affiliate? Does it matter?

THT Live: W: Felix Cespedes

August 04, 2009

THT Live: Midseason TotalZone Minors

August 03, 2009

THT Live: Claudio Vargas, really?

July 31, 2009

THT Live: Watch out, Mark Buehrle

July 29, 2009

Dissecting the DSL

July 23, 2009
Trying to make sense out of the Dominican Summer League

Fielding stats for college shortstops

July 09, 2009
The defensive stylings of Robbie Shields, Gordon Beckham, and...Tyler Bortnick?

The wrong side of 120

June 25, 2009
Texas closer Austin Wood isn't the only college pitcher to have endangered his arm this year. Jeff looks at the workloads of other top picks.

THT Live: The (Cape League) replacement players

June 24, 2009

THT Live: College World Series odds: Championships

June 22, 2009

THT Live: College World Series odds: Omaha day 7

June 19, 2009

THT Live: College World Series odds: Omaha day 6

June 18, 2009

THT Live: College World Series odds: Omaha day 5

June 17, 2009

THT Live: College World Series odds: Omaha day 4

June 16, 2009

THT Live: College World Series odds: Omaha day 3

June 15, 2009

THT Live: College World Series odds: Omaha day 2

June 14, 2009

Extreme environments

June 12, 2009
Jeff looks at the first five rounds of the draft and finds the players whose numbers benefited or suffered most from context.

THT Live: College splits for 2009 draftees

June 11, 2009

THT Live: College World Series odds: Pre-Omaha

June 09, 2009

THT Live: College World Series odds: Pre-Super Regionals

June 02, 2009

THT Live: College World Series odds through day 3

June 01, 2009

THT Live: College World Series odds through day 2

May 31, 2009

THT Live: College World Series odds through day 1

May 30, 2009

The odds to Omaha

May 28, 2009
Handicapping the 64-team NCAA bracket.

Small College World Series odds

May 21, 2009
Jeff handicaps the Division II and III championships.

Is Tom Mendonca the second coming of Brooks Robinson?

May 07, 2009
A foray into college defense stats

Five questions: Milwaukee Brewers

March 26, 2009
Will the 2009 Crew get drunk with glory, or just gloriously drunk?

Measuring the NAIA

March 16, 2009
How does NAIA baseball stack up against the levels of the NCAA?

Why I love the World Baseball Classic

March 12, 2009
It isn't the regular season, but it might just be better.

Even smaller colleges

March 03, 2009
How does NCAA Division 3 compare to Division 1?

How good is NCAA Division 2?

February 17, 2009
Putting small-college baseball in context.

Breaking down Division 1 baseball

February 05, 2009
Ranking schools, schedules, and conferences.

Why the Brewers lost to the Phillies

October 08, 2008
As if I really want to talk about it.

Why the Brewers Will Beat the Phillies

October 01, 2008
Trust me—this is how God wants it.

The remains of the season: Brewers edition

August 05, 2008
With CC Sabathia in the fold, the Brewers are in the driver's seat in the race for the Wild Card. Will they stay on course?

THT Live: College splits from day one

June 06, 2008

Yep, 14 pitchers

May 01, 2008
Why Milwaukee's idea wasn't completely insane.

Anatomy of the A’s

April 22, 2008
Will this first-place team stick around at the top of the standings?

The benefit of batting eighth

April 17, 2008
How do things change with the pitcher on deck?

Scouting the scouts

April 09, 2008
Jeff and Kent use college play-by-play data to check up on evaluations of amateur talent.

Who should sign Barry Bonds?

March 04, 2008
A .900+ OPS is waiting ... will anyone make the call?

Education of a pitcher

February 28, 2008
Do college groundball rates tell us anything?

Can the 1986 Brewers be salvaged?

October 24, 2007
If this column only answered that question, it would be a short one.

Exodus in the Bronx?

October 17, 2007
Forget about Joe Torre—the Yankees have bigger things to worry about.

Should the Brewers exercise Jenkins’s option?

October 11, 2007
It's nine million bucks, but a tougher decision than you might think.

Voteless wonders

October 05, 2007
Here are six players who should get strong consideration for end-of-season awards ... but won't.

Triple-A pitchers, under the microscope

August 15, 2007
Pitch-by-pitch data for prospects, suspects and Adam Pettyjohn.

Triple-A, one pitch at a time

August 08, 2007
Jeff digs into minor league pitch-by-pitch data, starting with Triple-A batters.

Deadline draft picks

August 01, 2007
Should you trade away the future for the present...and the future?

On the bubble

July 18, 2007
Four teams with some soul-searching to do between now and July 31.

Fixing the Derby

July 11, 2007
The Home Run Derby is boring and broken. Jeff has the solution.

Streaking

June 27, 2007
Jeff dives into the numbers and determines which expansion-era teams were streakiest.

Race to the bottom

June 22, 2007
Who'll enter the history books as 2007's worst team? The Nats are the frontrunners, but Jeff finds some stiff competition.

Round Two

June 20, 2007
Jeff takes an in-depth look at the past, present, and future of the unheralded second round of the amateur draft.

Early Returns

June 13, 2007
Jeff looks at the first picks in the 2006 amateur draft and considers how this year's class will look in June 2008.

THT Live: Draft Splits

June 08, 2007

Ping!

June 06, 2007
Jeff takes in the NCAA Division III Championships...and loves every minute of it.

The $7 Ballpark Brewskie

May 31, 2007
How MLB bleeds you out of your last dollar, and why it might be a good thing.

The Case for a Quicker Hook

May 25, 2007
An immodest proposal designed to make middle relievers work for their money.

The 27-Man Roster

May 23, 2007
Jeff looks at how teams can get creative with their active rosters, and whether the rules ought to be tightened.

Roger This

May 18, 2007
The Yankees made a multi-million dollar gamble, and it's anybody's guess how it will turn out.

Better Brewers

May 09, 2007
Is Milwaukee leaving wins on the table by keeping Ryan Braun in the minors?

The New Inefficiency

May 04, 2007
Maybe Shannon Stewart wasn't such a bad signing after all.

Legends Among Us: American League Position Players

May 02, 2007
Here a Yankee, there a Yankee...

The Best College Hitters, So Far

April 27, 2007
It's a jungle out there, but Jeff and Kent boil it all down to one number worth watching.

Legends Among Us: National League Position Players

April 25, 2007
The Hall of Famers tomorrow ... today!

Legends Among Us: American League Pitchers

April 13, 2007
Picking up where he left off on Wednesday, Jeff looks at the future Hall of Famers taking the mound in the junior circuit.

Legends Among Us: National League Pitchers

April 11, 2007
There are probably 50 or 60 future Hall of Famers playing the major leagues right now. Jeff tries to figure out who they are.

No One’s Fantasy

April 06, 2007
Finding truly useless regulars isn't as easy as it looks.

Who Are These Guys?

April 04, 2007
The Washington Nationals have to field a starting rotation, whether they want to or not. Jeff takes a look at who they dug up.

Five Questions: Milwaukee Brewers

March 28, 2007
In 2006, the Brewers were a sleeper team that never woke up. Will they finally stop hitting the snooze?

The All-Star Game That Shouldn’t

March 21, 2007
Jeff takes a look back at the 2002 Midsummer Classic. It was a wild scene, even before Bud Selig got involved.

Baseball’s Deepest Starting Rotations

March 16, 2007
Which teams are best built to withstand the inevitable pitching injuries? Jeff takes a look.

What’s the Deal With Mark Redman?

March 14, 2007
The 2006 All-Star finally has a job. Jeff wonders why it took so long and tries to figure out whether he deserves it.

The Best Benches in the National League

March 09, 2007
The Brewers are No. 1 in Jeff's heart. Coincidentally, they also top this list.

The Best Benches in the American League

March 07, 2007
The Los Angeles Angels top this list of teams with the deepest rosters in the junior circuit.

10,115 Things We Didn’t Know Last Month

March 02, 2007
In many ways, college baseball is uncharted territory. Kent and Jeff will be your guides.

Five American League Bullpens in Flux

February 28, 2007
Jeff ignores writerly advice and writes about what he doesn't know.

Five National League Bullpens in Flux

February 23, 2007
It's that time of year: We're talking about baseball all the time, but we don't know much of anything.

Meet the Bench Players

February 21, 2007
Every tragedy has a face. Win Shares Above Bench isn't a tragedy, but it does have some faces.

THT Live: On the Radio in Austin, Texas

February 19, 2007

Ranking Organizations

February 16, 2007
Who has the best farm system? Jeff puts on his beanie cap and figures it out.

Risk vs. Uncertainty

February 14, 2007
Or, Ramon Ortiz vs. Matt Garza.

Introducing College Splits

February 09, 2007
Kent and Jeff bring a new baby into the world...and it's a big one.

Planning Ahead in Milwaukee

February 07, 2007
The Brewers signed Bill Hall through 2010. Deals like this one are signs of the times, so Jeff takes a closer look at the trend.

THT Live: NYC SABR Chapter Meeting on Saturday

February 06, 2007

The Class of ‘08

February 02, 2007
Will next year's free agent options be more appetizing than this year's?

Average Is as Average Does

January 31, 2007
Or is it?

Unlisted

January 26, 2007
What we need to do if we really want to compare prospects

Ben Sheets is Awesome

January 24, 2007
In 17 starts last year, the Brewers ace made history.

LaRoche for Gonzalez

January 19, 2007
And the winner is...

Another Look at Starting Rotations

January 17, 2007
This time, Jeff uses actual starters!

Is Scott Schoeneweis Any Good?

January 12, 2007
Somebody must think so—besides Scott Boras, that is.

Steve Garvey Gets No Respect

January 10, 2007
Sure, but does he deserve any?

Free Agents (Still) Worth Watching

January 03, 2007
The big boys are signed, but the cupboard isn't bare.

More Fun With Rotation Numbers

December 29, 2006
What we talk about when we talk about starters.

How Good Is Your #4 Starter?

December 27, 2006
Hint: Probably not as good as you think.

Holding the Runner

December 22, 2006
Which minor league pitchers best controlled the basepaths in 2006?

The Mid-Rotation Starters of Your Dreams

December 20, 2006
Jeff Suppan and Barry Zito are the best pitchers left on the market. A handful of teams have some soul-searching to do.

Minor League Guns

December 15, 2006
Which young catchers best controlled the running game in 2006?

Issues of National Concern

December 13, 2006
Jim Bowden has been uncharacteristically silent this winter. Jeff wonders what it means for his team's future.

Rule 5 Recap

December 08, 2006
Five notable selectees and one interesting strategy in Thursday's Rule 5 Draft.

Is Adam Kennedy the Steal of the Offseason?

December 06, 2006
Jeff looks at the market for free-agent second basemen.

Whither Bill Hall?

November 29, 2006
The Brewers have started a game of musical chairs, and their best hitter may be the odd man out.

Anatomy of the Outfield

November 22, 2006
How good is an average center fielder?

Matsuzaka Madness

November 15, 2006
Is $50 million the new $13 million? Jeff wonders what it all means for Barry Zito, the Red Sox and Japanese baseball.

Projecting Akinori Iwamura

November 08, 2006
If he comes to the states, it's far from clear how he'll perform. Jeff looks at all the possibilities.

Putting a Price on Matsuzaka

November 01, 2006
How much is Japan's best pitcher worth?

World Series: Cardinals vs. Tigers: Carpenter Dominates

October 25, 2006
With or without the help of foreign substances, Chris Carpenter shuts down the Tigers.

THT Live: World Series Probabilities After Game 2

October 22, 2006

World Series: Cardinals vs. Tigers: St. Louis Grabs Game 1

October 22, 2006
Reyes pitches into the ninth, and the Cardinals hit like they're healthy.

Projecting the World Series

October 21, 2006
Bring your pocket protector, and we'll figure out who'll win this thing!

NLCS: Mets vs. Cardinals: Jeff Suppan, Series MVP

October 20, 2006
Behind Suppan's arm and Molina's bat, the Cardinals advance to the World Series

NLCS: Mets vs. Cardinals: Let’s Play Seven!

October 19, 2006
Maine is memorable, and the Mets force a final game.

NLCS: Mets vs. Cardinals: Weaver Gets Revenge

October 18, 2006
With their bullpen back on track, the Cardinals are one win away from the World Series.

NLCS: Mets vs. Cardinals: Jeff Suppan Masters the Mets

October 15, 2006
Steve Trachsel implodes as Suppan excels.

NLCS: Mets vs. Cardinals: St. Louis Strikes Back

October 14, 2006
Billy Wagner creates postseason heroes wholesale.

NLCS: Mets vs. Cardinals: Glavine Wins the Opener

October 13, 2006
Glavine and Weaver duel into the sixth, but one Carlos Beltran swing is all the Mets need.

NLCS Preview: Mets vs. Cardinals

October 11, 2006
Subtract Pedro and El Duque, add a competent Jeff Weaver, and this series is closer than it looks.

NLDS: Cards vs. Pads: Boomer Goes Bust

October 06, 2006
Behind a strong outing from Jeff Weaver, the Cardinals take a 2-0 series lead.

NLDS: Cardinals vs. Padres: Pujols wins

October 04, 2006
Jake Peavy lost another Game 1.

Eight Ugly Options

October 04, 2006
Looking forward to when executives will just say no.

Francisco Cordero, Deadline Steal

September 27, 2006
Is Coco one of baseball's best closers? Jeff takes a look.

Rebuilding, the Marlin Way

September 21, 2006
Four teams that could benefit from a fire sale.

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