June 19, 2013
And here's the full roster.
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About Sal BaxamusaSal Baxamusa is a graduate student in chemical engineering. When he's not thinking about or watching baseball, he spends time with his wife or tinkers with chemicals in the lab. He is a native of the Bay Area and currently makes his home in New England. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org..
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Sal Baxamusa's Articles
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When is it safe to root for a no-hitter?
The A's have some things going for them.
Mark Cuban, an open-minded high school football coach, and the future of baseball analytics.
Sal tells about his new favorite player this year.
Sal reports back from the conference, where top officials from across US pro sports shared insights on everything from statistical analysis to the fan experience.
OK, not really. That would be Evan Longoria. But Brad Ziegler has been pretty darn good for a guy who was in the Northern League just a few years ago.
Sal has some fun with in-season projections. You can join in, since Sal's spreadsheets are now available!
At the midseason mark, Sal checks out the under- and over-performing teams
Casey Kotchman, Andruw Jones and others are off to hot and cold starts, but will they last?
Sal explains the hierarchical structure of sabermetric research.
They're rebuilding, but the year's not hopeless
Sal uses player projections to estimate a few players' true talents.
Sal uses Marcel projections to evaluate a few players' talent.
Simpler may be just fine when it comes to projecting performance
Projections in rear-view mirror may appear larger or smaller than reality.
Did the average third baseman hit more like Kevin Kouzmanoff or Wilson Betemit?
Is luck the residue of design when teams beat their Pythagorean records? Sal says no.
...or is it? Sal takes a look at which offenses were the most consistent, and which ones weren't, with a little help from his friend Waloddi Weibull.
A cautionary tale: do not mess with ancient Greek philosophers/baseball fans.
Do pitchers or hitters control the length of plate appearances? The thrilling dénouement to Sal's series on the length of plate appearances.
Sal learns that there are no efficient pitchers, only effective ones.
Do pitchers who control the strike zone force batters to put the ball in play?
Sal sifts through Retrosheet data to look beyond averages and evaluate plate appearances through distributions.
One pitch? Two pitches? Sal figures out how far back a hitter can remember.
We review some of the surprising performances in the first half.
Sal takes a look at how hitters react to 3-0 pitch counts.
Next up: The two Eastern divisions.
The hits that made AL and NL Central fans swoon so far this season.
The highlights of the season so far, using Win Probability Added.
A review of Mike Stadler's new book, The Psychology of Baseball: Inside the Mental Game of the Major Leaguer.
A look at how closers are being leveraged so far this year.
Sal adds his thoughts to the "new market inefficiency" and outlines a framework for somebody looking to play the market.
Sal tries not to get too excited (or depressed) about the first month of baseball.
Sal owns up to a mistake, and ties up some loose ends with mERA+.
ERA+ is great tool, but it may not telling us the full story when it comes to league and park adjustments.
Sal asks his wife for help in assessing the disposition of the 2007 A's.
Sal plays general manager with money that isn't his.
Sal takes a look at one-year contracts with team options and finds that maybe - just maybe - teams know what they're doing.
Sal attends the MIT Sloan Sports Business Conference and shares the details of a day spent schmoozing with the more intelligent, more important, and more connected.
What happens when a batter doesn't offer at the first five pitches? (Besides Sal screaming at the TV to get his freakin' bat off his shoulders.)
More about Kirk Saarloos than you ever thought you'd know.
Sometimes, you can blast the ball over 400 feet and it won't even leave the yard. Sometimes, they become home runs anyway.
A look at the home runs of 2006 that didn't even travel 300 feet!
Pitch sequence matters. Or does it? (Yes, it does.)
Call the police, there's a madman around—and he's still trying to find some logic behind option years in player contracts.
In a west end town in a dead end world, Sal takes a look at how one might go about pricing an option year in a contract.
A look at what makes teams more prone to being shut down or shut out.
Ah, runs. No wait, too many! Save some for tomorrow night! Why is it only my team that can't score consistently?
A look at how Roy Oswalt's consistent performance may have made him less valuable than Chris Carpenter.
The Tigers win a battle of bullpens to head to the World Series.
The Tigers bullpen puts the A's on the ropes.
With New York out of the playoffs, the ALCS should bring the focus back onto good old fashioned baseball. A game by game breakdown of this year's American League Championship Series.
The Twins make critical mistakes as the A's improve to 1-9 in series clinching games under Billy Beane.