May 22, 2013
THT Essentials:
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Wednesday, March 30, 2011
Career projections 2011
Posted by David Gassko
Each of the past few years, I've published career projections for all players aged 21-41 based on a system I developed a few years ago. See last year's article for reference. This year, I'm too busy to write an article, but I've run the numbers so I figured I would throw them up here for download. Note that for hitters I project their career hits and home runs as well as their chances of reaching certain milestones in those categories, while for pitchers I project career wins and their chances of winning 300 games.
The spreadsheet with results for every player (again, aged 21-41 in 2011) who played last season can be downloaded here.
David Gassko is a former consultant to a major league team. He welcomes comments via e-mail.
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Wow, Stanton has a better chance at breaking Bonds’ record than Pujols? I wonder what kind of odds you could get on this in Vegas.