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Saturday, May 30, 2009

College World Series odds through day 1

Posted by Jeff Sackmann
There weren't any huge upsets yesterday, though seven of the 16 No. 3 seeds beat their respective No. 2's. And while this doesn't technically qualify as an upset, the Virginia Cavaliers got by Strasburg and San Diego State. Interestingly, two of the at-large bids that have received the most criticism—Baylor and Oklahoma State—both won their opening game.

Follow the jump for the revised odds report.

Team                    SuperReg  Omaha  FinalTwo  Champ  

Texas                      66.6%  42.2%     10.9%   5.3%  
Army                        2.6%   0.9%      0.1%   0.0%  
Boston College             25.7%  10.4%      1.3%   0.4%  
Texas State                 5.1%   2.3%      0.3%   0.1%  
Texas Christian            51.2%  22.8%      4.3%   1.8%  
Wright State                1.1%   0.2%      0.0%   0.0%  
Oregon State               41.5%  18.5%      3.5%   1.5%  
Texas A&M                   6.2%   2.5%      0.4%   0.1%  

Georgia Tech               66.0%  39.7%      9.2%   4.3%  
Georgia State               1.8%   0.6%      0.0%   0.0%  
Southern Mississippi       26.5%  11.4%      1.3%   0.4%  
Elon                        5.7%   2.7%      0.4%   0.1%  
Florida                    56.5%  28.1%      4.4%   1.7%  
Bethune Cookman             3.5%   1.1%      0.1%   0.0%  
Jacksonville                2.1%   0.6%      0.0%   0.0%  
Miami (FL)                 37.9%  15.8%      2.0%   0.7%  

Arizona State              69.8%  51.3%     23.5%  14.6%  
Kent State                  1.8%   0.7%      0.1%   0.0%  
Cal Poly                    1.0%   0.3%      0.0%   0.0%  
Oral Roberts               27.4%  14.4%      3.8%   1.7%  
Clemson                    59.5%  21.8%      6.0%   2.8%  
Tennessee Tech              0.5%   0.0%      0.0%   0.0%  
Oklahoma State             33.2%   9.5%      1.9%   0.7%  
Alabama                     6.8%   2.0%      0.4%   0.1%  

East Carolina              66.3%  33.4%      9.5%   4.8%  
Binghamton                  0.8%   0.1%      0.0%   0.0%  
George Mason                5.4%   1.9%      0.3%   0.1%  
South Carolina             27.5%   9.3%      1.4%   0.5%  
North Carolina             51.0%  29.0%      7.7%   3.7%  
Dartmouth                   0.9%   0.2%      0.0%   0.0%  
Kansas                      2.9%   1.0%      0.1%   0.0%  
Coastal Carolina           45.2%  25.0%      7.0%   3.5%  

Cal State Fullerton        75.4%  54.2%     20.4%  12.0%  
Utah                        0.8%   0.2%      0.0%   0.0%  
Gonzaga                    18.5%   7.3%      0.9%   0.3%  
Georgia Southern            5.3%   2.6%      0.5%   0.2%  
Louisville                 55.9%  21.2%      4.7%   2.0%  
Indiana                     2.1%   0.5%      0.0%   0.0%  
Vanderbilt                  4.9%   1.5%      0.2%   0.1%  
Middle Tennessee State     37.1%  12.5%      2.3%   0.9%  

Florida State              59.0%  28.0%      4.2%   1.6%  
Marist                      1.6%   0.4%      0.0%   0.0%  
Ohio State                  3.2%   1.0%      0.1%   0.0%  
Georgia                    36.2%  14.9%      1.7%   0.5%  
Oklahoma                   69.1%  43.4%      8.5%   3.7%  
Wichita State               1.6%   0.5%      0.0%   0.0%  
Washington State            4.0%   1.6%      0.1%   0.0%  
Arkansas                   25.3%  10.2%      0.8%   0.2%  

UC Irvine                  27.2%  14.6%      2.8%   1.0%  
Fresno State                0.5%   0.1%      0.0%   0.0%  
San Diego State             2.1%   0.8%      0.1%   0.0%  
Virginia                   70.3%  52.7%     24.9%  16.1%  
Mississippi                55.9%  19.0%      4.2%   1.8%  
Monmouth                    2.4%   0.5%      0.0%   0.0%  
Western Kentucky           38.2%  11.7%      2.2%   0.8%  
Missouri                    3.5%   0.8%      0.1%   0.0%  

Rice                       51.9%  23.3%      4.3%   1.7%  
Sam Houston State           2.5%   0.7%      0.1%   0.0%  
Xavier                      2.2%   0.6%      0.0%   0.0%  
Kansas State               43.4%  19.7%      3.7%   1.6%  
Louisiana State            73.1%  46.3%     12.2%   6.1%  
Southern                    2.4%   0.8%      0.1%   0.0%  
Baylor                     20.1%   6.8%      0.6%   0.2%  
Minnesota                   4.4%   1.8%      0.2%   0.1%


Jeff Sackmann is the creator of MinorLeagueSplits.com. With Kent Bonham, he founded CollegeSplits.com, which provides data on amateur baseball to about half of the 30 Major League teams. You can also follow him on Twitter.


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