February 9, 2010
Order NowGet "The world champ of baseball annuals." The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2010 features articles by THT's staff as well as Bill James, Tom Tango and Craig Wright and contains much, much more. Please support THT and use this link to purchase the Annual. Get the fantasy book that everyone's raving about! Edited by THT Fantasy's Rob McQuown and Michael Street, and featuring our own Matt Hagen on prospects. Shipping now from ACTA! Most Recent Comments
Looking at Todd Wellemeyer, Jason Pridie, Mark Hendrickson and Willy Taveras (yes, things are slow) (1)
Are fastballs actually getting faster? (7) APBA manager wanted (2) The Twins will spend over $100 million on players in 2010 (13) Why would Pujols strike a deal now? (17) ![]() ![]()
Pat Andriola
Rich Barbieri John Barten Brian Borawski Craig Brown Evan Brunell Chuck Brownson Kevin Dame Joshua Fisher David Gassko Jeremy Greenhouse Brandon Isleib Chris Jaffe Max Marchi Bruce Markusen Dan Novick Harry Pavlidis Alex Pedicini Jeff Sackmann Nick Steiner Dave Studeman Steve Treder Bryan Tsao Tuck! Geoff Young John Brattain And here's the full roster.
Or you can search by:
Gear up for baseball season with Chicago White Sox tickets and New York Yankees tickets. LA Angels tickets, Houston Astros tickets, and Atlanta Braves tickets are hot sellers! You can get Boston Red Sox tickets, San Diego Padres tickets or Chicago Cubs tickets for your favorite baseball fan. Coast to Coast Tickets has the best MLB tickets like Minnesota Twins tickets, LA Dodgers tickets, Milwaukee Brewers tickets, New York Met tickets and St. Louis Cardinals tickets. Find premium Chicago Cubs tickets and other Chicago tickets at JustGreatTickets.com. Chicago Cubs Tickets Chicago Tickets ![]() All content on this site (including text, graphs, and any other original works), unless otherwise noted, is licensed under a Creative Commons License. |
Saturday, July 18, 2009Homer Bailey still isn’t getting itPosted by Dan NovickBaseball America's top 100 prospects from 2007 looks, in part, like this: 1) Daisuke Matsuzaka In their short careers, each of these players have disappointed to some extent. Matsuzaka has been decent and/or injured, but not the shutdown ace some people expected, and Hughes has come on strongly this season after battling some injuries and ineffectiveness the previous two. Homer Bailey is a different story. Nothing has been physically wrong with Bailey, but his stuff seems to have just stopped fooling hitters. Major league hitters, that is. Over his career, he's thrown 518.2 minor league innings, putting up a 3.60 ERA and striking out just over a batter per inning. His time in the major leagues has been a bit more rocky, to say the least. 109.2 innings over three seasons with an ERA of 6.65 and a strikeout-to-walk ratio hovering at just about one isn't going to get it done. Over the past three years, only Steve Trachsel has a worse K/BB ratio in as many innings. I think that speaks for itself. The troubling thing is that Bailey isn't getting better, either. He had been pitching well in the minor leagues, to the tune of a 2.71 ERA (though a 3.86 FIP says he's getting a little lucky), and over 8 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched, including a 15 strikeout, 2 walk performance earlier in the season. But in 5 major league starts, he's walked as many as he has struck out (19), and has continued to get lit up, with a 6.43 ERA. He recently started throwing a splitter again, which has tormented minor league hitters, but has still left him with mixed results in the big leagues so far. Check out his batted ball chart, courtesy of FanGraphs: ![]() It's a small sample, but that groundball rate (in green) is only going south. There is an encouraging sign, though. His fastball velocity has increased each of the last two years, which should help to ease concerns about potential use-related injury. If his shoulder hasn't started to come apart yet, there's a chance it might not at all. Homer Bailey is still just 23 years old, so we shouldn't give up hope on him yet. But with a complete lack of success at the Major League level, and a lack of improvement over the last three years, it might be difficult for the Reds to remain patient for much longer. Dan Novick is a lifelong Yankees fan, and still gets the chills every time Enter Sandman plays from the Yankee Stadium speakers. He welcomes comments and questions via e-mail. Comments
Dan Novick said...
If he pitches like he did against Philly on the 8th (or St. Louis the start before) then that would be fantastic. But his problem, as you said, is that for every good start there’s a horrendous one. When that happens, you get a 6.43 ERA. Posted 07/19 at 01:50 AM
chuck3 said...
Dan’s characterization of Bailey sounds eerily like Bronson Arroyo this year, either lights-out or knocked-out…. Posted 07/19 at 06:04 PM
Page 1 of 1
Leave a comment:Commenting is not available in this weblog entry. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
I can agree with you to a point but…....
He has put together a couple of gems so your averages are a bit misguided. That’s because he’s sucked as much as he’s aced.
John