November 8, 2009
Order Now The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2010 is now in development and will ship in mid November! This year's book will feature articles by THT's staff as well as Bill James, Tom Tango and Craig Wright. If you use this link to purchase the Annual, you will be in the first group to receive it and you'll be supporting THT. Most Recent Comments
In the backwater swirling (2)
Ranking Yankee World Champions (3) Twins strike for J.J. Hardy (1) Both sides come out ahead in Teahen swap (9) Rays get something for nothing in Iwamura trade (6) 
Or you can search by:
Gear up for baseball season with Chicago White Sox tickets and New York Yankees tickets. LA Angels tickets, Houston Astros tickets, and Atlanta Braves tickets are hot sellers! You can get Boston Red Sox tickets, San Diego Padres tickets or Chicago Cubs tickets for your favorite baseball fan. Coast to Coast Tickets has the best MLB tickets like Minnesota Twins tickets, LA Dodgers tickets, Milwaukee Brewers tickets, New York Met tickets and St. Louis Cardinals tickets. Find premium Chicago Cubs tickets and other Chicago tickets at JustGreatTickets.com. Chicago Cubs Tickets Chicago Tickets  All content on this site (including text, graphs, and any other original works), unless otherwise noted, is licensed under a Creative Commons License. |
Friday, April 22, 2005HR/FlyPosted by Dave StudemanThere's a new pitching stat in the Team Statistics Tables. It's called HR/Fly, and it's basically the number of home runs given up by each team per each flyball allowed. Research published by Ron Shandler's Baseball Forecaster has shown that about 10% of all flyballs are hit for home runs, once you correct for ballpark. In fact, the Forecaster folks found that flyball rates are the best predicter of home runs allowed. So, if a team allows significantly more or less than 10%, you can expect that rate to "regress to the mean" of 10% over a full year. Take a look at the table. The Twins have allowed 16% of flyballs to fall for home runs; I expect that rate to decline. On the other hand, only 6% of the Rangers' fly balls allowed have been home runs (adjusted for ballpark). That number will rise. We'll keep track of this stat throughout the year to see what really happens. One other thing: we use the three-year home run park factors published by BIS in the Bill James Handbook. If we were to use home run park factors for just this year, you might notice the 0.054 factor at Shea Stadium. There have been 32 home runs hit in Mets' games this year, but only one of them at Shea. Dave was called a "national treasure" by Rob Neyer. Seriously. Comments about this article can be sent to him through the miracle of e-mail. CommentsLeave a comment:Commenting is not available in this weblog entry. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||