Tuesday, November 24, 2009
Making sense of Juan Castro to PhilliesPosted by Evan Brunell
On the face of it, Juan Castro signing a major-league contract worth about $700,000 with a 2011 club option makes no sense. After all, this is a 37-year old with a career line of .230/.270/.332. He has negligible value on offense, and I couldn't care less about his .277 mark he posted last year (/.311/.339). The only thing separating .277 from a .230 average is five hits. With Castro's weak power, I would be willing to bet those extra five hits were likely nabbed on either a seeing-eye single fluke, a texas leaguer or incompetence from defenders.
David Murphy of the Philadelphia Inquirer likens Castro to Omar Vizquel, who just inked a one-year pact with the Chicago White Sox for 1.375 million. He's comparing a Hall of Famer to a never-has-been journeyman. His logic? Castro had a .569 OPS over the last two seasons while Vizquel is at a .594 OPS.
Other than 3B, it's a compelling argument to say that Castro and Vizquel are rather similar players at this stage of their respective careers. I wouldn't lend too much credence to both Castro's and Vizquel's 3B numbers, because UZR/150 is a tough statistic with small sample size. I would argue the gap is significantly smaller than it appears, although Vizquel would still have Castro beat.
I predicted a while back that Omar would end up with the Phillies. Obviously, I was wrong, but doesn't it look like as if Philly essentially did sign Omar, only for about $600,000 less?
To be sure, the signing doesn't change what Philadelphia hoped to do with the backup infielder position. Philadelphia was on record saying they wanted a strong defensive option with pop in his bat who could spell Jimmy Rollins, Chase Utley and their eventual third-baseman a bit more frequently given their progression to middle age. Unless Amaro is smitten by that .277 batting average and truly thinks it sustainable, this isn't happening. But Murphy brings up a logical point:
Keep in mind that two candidates to replace Pedro Feliz at third base are Placido Polanco and Mark DeRosa, both of whom have played extensively at second base. And while the Phillies do not view Greg Dobbs as an everyday third baseman, they do contend - at least publicly - that they are comfortable starting him there occasionally. Last year, Dobbs hit .309 with a .829 OPS in the 28 games in which he started.
One more thing. Some are saying it's a lateral move from Eric Bruntlett at best. Let's compare the two, both offensively and defensively given their career numbers:
Hmm... maybe not such a lateral move after all. Looks like Castro's better on defense.
Evan Brunell is currently editor of Fire Brand of the American League, a Red Sox blog he began in 2003. He also scores games at Fenway Park for MLB. He was the co-founder and president of MVN, an independent sports media web site.