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Saturday, July 31, 2010

Measures of Qualls-ity

Posted by Harry Pavlidis
Arizona has shipped Chad Qualls to the Rays, eliciting responses ranging from anger to mockery to happiness.

Qualls is having an off year, his worst showing of the past four campaigns. It's just not as bad as his bloated ERA indicates. Using pitch-by-pitch linear weights to derive "ERA", both rvERAe (based on batted ball types) and rvERAa (based on actual hits and outs) have jumped for Qualls in 2010. This is along with an apparent downward trend in both whiff and ground ball rates.








YearrvERAervERAaWhiffGB%
20073.323.50.29361
20083.332.66.24758
20093.103.93.21459
20104.047.28.18056



Not a stud, not a dud. You may even expect Qualls to regress towards his career/recent levels—improve, in other words.



Harry Pavlidis admits he has a baseball problem. He is a member of Complete Game Consulting and has his own blog, Cubs f/x. Feedback, questions and comments are appreciated - Email harrypav@gmail.com and Twitter @harrypav


Comments

Luis said...

He looked GOOD vs the Mets Friday night

Posted 07/31  at  11:55 PM
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