The Mets party line is that Glavine's going to have a bounce-back season in 2004, but I don't buy it. His strikeout rate is dangerously low (4.03 per 9 innings), and he's 38 years old. Will he reach 300 career wins? Well, he's at 251 right now, and 49 more wins means 3-4 more decent years. I'm guessing "no."
Matthew Namee cofounded The Hardball Times in 2004, when he was working as the assistant to baseball author and Red Sox executive Bill James. Matthew still lives in Kansas, where he is currently pursuing a law degree. He can be reached at mfnamee [at] gmail [dot] com.
