January 9, 2009

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The 2009 Hardball Times Annual is now available. You can read about it here, but just make sure you order it directly from ACTA today.

 
Rich Barbieri
John Barten
John Beamer
Brian Borawski
John Brattain
Craig Brown
Evan Brunell
Derek Carty
Mike Fast
David Gassko


Brandon Isleib
Chris Jaffe
Josh Kalk
Dave Studeman
Steve Treder
Bryan Tsao
Tuck!
John Walsh
Colin Wyers
Geoff Young

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Sunday, July 27, 2008

Minors to Majors

Posted by Dave Studeman
MGL has analyzed the correlation between minor league and major league performances in consecutive years and draws comparisons to the same results for major leaguers only. The minor league stats are converted to major league equivalents for the analysis.

The bottom line is that minor league stats aren't as strongly correlated with the next year as major league stats, but the correlation is still pretty strong. For major leaguers, a typical year-to-year correlation for basic battings ratios (OBP, SLG) is around .5 or .6. For minor leaguers promoted to the majors, it's around .3 or .4. A question in my mind is whether selection bias is inflating the minors-to-majors correlations.