Posted by Dave Studeman
At the end of the third inning, the Phillies lead the Nationals, 3-0, behind Jamie Moyer. That's an 82% win probability for the Phils which, combined with the Mets' losing 7-1 (5% win probability), means the Phillies have a 78% chance of finishing the day in sole possession of first. And that's only after three innings.
Meanwhile, the Padres lead the Brewers 3-0 in the second.
Dave was called a "national treasure" by Rob Neyer. Seriously. Comments about this article can be sent to him through the miracle of e-mail.