Wednesday, March 18, 2009
THT Projected Standings, as of March 9
Posted by David GasskoWe've re-run our projected standings with some help from SG of the Replacement Level Yankees Blog, and I thought I would share the results below the fold. Note that the standings are based on 100 simulations in Diamond Mind Baseball. The "DIV" column tells you the percentage of the time that a team won their division in our simulations, and "WC" tells you the same for the Wild Card. The rosters are accurate as of March 9.
Team W L RF RA DIV WC American League East NYA09 99 63 857 691 56.5 28.0 Bos09 94 68 833 692 25.0 41.5 Tam09 91 71 786 685 18.5 26.0 Tor09 75 87 698 753 0.0 1.5 Bal09 75 87 792 858 0.0 1.0 Central Cle09 84 78 807 770 49.0 0.0 Det09 83 79 797 772 32.5 0.0 Min09 77 85 723 761 10.0 0.0 KC09 75 87 736 802 3.5 0.0 ChA09 73 89 763 854 5.0 0.0 West LAA09 84 78 793 768 49.0 0.0 Oak09 82 80 773 740 33.5 1.0 Sea09 78 84 717 741 14.0 1.0 Tex09 73 89 803 899 3.5 0.0 National League East NYN09 90 72 825 740 48.0 15.7 Atl09 87 75 756 699 24.5 14.8 Phi09 85 77 806 772 26.0 20.0 Flo09 72 90 738 821 1.5 0.0 Was09 68 94 740 866 0.0 0.0 Central ChN09 92 70 820 716 67.5 12.3 Mil09 84 78 798 763 17.5 10.8 StL09 83 79 772 748 11.0 8.8 Cin09 79 83 738 760 3.0 4.0 Hou09 73 89 748 818 1.0 0.0 Pit09 71 91 727 825 0.0 0.0 West Ari09 86 76 743 701 44.5 2.0 LA09 85 77 802 765 39.0 7.0 SF09 79 83 688 703 9.0 4.0 Col09 76 86 803 849 5.0 0.5 SD09 75 87 708 760 2.5 0.0
David Gassko is a former consultant to a major league team. He welcomes comments via e-mail.