July 4, 2009
Rich Barbieri
John Barten Brian Borawski Craig Brown Evan Brunell David Gassko Jonathan Hale Brandon Isleib
Chris Jaffe
Bruce Markusen Harry Pavlidis Jeff Sackmann Dave Studeman Steve Treder Bryan Tsao Tuck! Dan Turkenkopf Colin Wyers Geoff Young John Brattain And here's the full roster.
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Thursday, March 20, 2008THT Projections UpdatePosted by David GasskoFor those who purchased The Hardball Times Season Preview 2008 (and for those who haven't, it's not too late!), we've posted a couple updated projection files to the Preview site. The first file contains updated projections and fantasy values, as well as a column with depth charts generously donated by SG of RLYW fame. Otherwise, it's pretty much equivalent to the projection file that was up before. The second file we've posted because of reader demand for fantasy numbers. As I wrote in the Season Preview, we used Run, RBI, Win, and Save numbers derived from simulating the season 100 times to calculate our fantasy values. We did not, however, make those numbers available to the reader. Now we are, so that not only do you see how much we think each player is worth, but the numbers that go into that value. One note on our fantasy values: In the projection sheet, values are included for only those players who we think are worth something in a 12-team, 5x5 league. But in the other spreadsheet, we have included fantasy values for almost a thousand players, so many of the values are negative -- don't take that too literally. Anyway, since we had to run 100 simulations (thanks SG!) to project fantasy stats, we also have a new set of projected standings. There have a fair number of changes, and here's how we now see things shaking out. Keep in mind that "Div" is the number of times that the team won the division in the simulations and "WC" is the number of times it won the wild card. Team W L RS RA DIV WC American League East NYA08 93 69 949 818 46.5 24.5 Bos08 92 70 829 713 47.0 18.5 Tor08 86 76 779 745 4.5 24.5 Tam08 81 81 816 825 2.0 10.0 Bal08 66 96 752 901 0.0 0.0 Central Det08 90 72 849 756 62.0 3.5 Cle08 86 76 839 771 31.5 7.5 ChA08 75 87 803 872 3.0 0.0 Min08 74 88 724 791 3.5 1.0 KC08 73 89 781 864 0.0 1.0 West LAA08 90 72 813 719 75.0 4.0 Oak08 80 82 777 798 11.5 3.0 Sea08 79 83 718 752 11.5 1.5 Tex08 76 86 823 864 2.0 1.0 National League East NYN08 99 63 836 677 82.5 9.5 Phi08 89 73 900 808 13.0 40.0 Atl08 85 77 819 783 4.5 16.0 Was08 69 93 726 843 0.0 0.0 Flo08 62 100 703 873 0.0 0.0 Central Mil08 89 73 826 754 50.8 5.8 ChN08 86 76 814 756 30.8 6.3 StL08 81 81 782 795 15.0 0.0 Cin08 77 85 811 843 2.3 3.3 Hou08 73 89 740 833 1.0 2.0 Pit08 69 93 713 837 0.0 0.0 West SD08 90 72 763 685 59.0 6.0 LAN08 83 79 751 734 15.5 3.8 Ari08 81 81 737 724 12.5 3.3 Col08 81 81 824 804 12.0 3.8 SF08 75 87 666 732 1.0 0.0 CommentsLeave a comment:Commenting is not available in this weblog entry. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||