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Friday, September 03, 2010

Visual Baseball:  Yankees vs. Rays Smackdown

Posted by Kevin Dame
Here's a version of Rankometer I'm experimenting with, designed to compare 2 teams head to head. Let's compare the Yankee and Rays on hitting (OPS), pitching (FIP), defense (UZR), and base running (Fangraphs Speed Score).

HITTING: The Rays are disadvantaged at almost every position, and at their strongest positions (3B and LF) they only have a slight advantage.

image
PITCHING: The teams look very similar, with both teams' starting rotations surprisingly average, and their top relievers closing out games in dominant fashion.

image


DEFENSE: The Rays are better than the Yankees, but not as much as you'd think.

image
BASE RUNNING: Not surprisingly, the Rays are superior base runners, although they grind to a halt at the DH position. The Yankees are surprisingly good base runners, although Cano and Swisher can really clog up the base paths, and Arod seems to be slowing by the day.

image


"The commonality between science and art is in trying to see profoundly - to develop strategies of seeing and showing." - Edward Tufte.

Feel free to send comments, questions, and suggestions to Kevin via
email.


Comments

Jason B said...

#1 reliever, Grant Balfour?  Rafael Soriano would like a word.

Posted 09/03  at  10:17 AM
Dave Studeman said...

I definitely would not use FIP to rank relievers.  I’d use WPA.

Posted 09/03  at  11:21 AM
Jason B said...

Usage patterns have to count for something, too; whether (for instance) Matt Capps is the Twins’ “best reliever” by FIP or WPA or any other metric, he is the designated “closer”, which probably means more in a team-to-team comparison than random reliever #1 (who may be a low-leverage innings eater) versus random reliever #2.

In your two relief slots, I would just compare closer-to-closer, and ‘designated 8th inning setup guy’ to ‘designated 8th inning setup guy’.

Posted 09/03  at  11:38 AM
Jon said...

A-Rod and Jeter appear to have switched positions for baserunning. . .

Posted 09/03  at  12:36 PM
NCRF said...

You have Cantu as the 3B for the Rangers, as well as Michael Young.  You are missing a 3B for the Orioles (Tejada before traded).

Posted 09/03  at  12:46 PM
keith said...

So the Yankees have the 3rd worst #1 starter in the AL (Sabathia) and the 2nd worst first base defender (Teixiera who is worse than Laporta, Butler and Miggy).

Posted 09/03  at  02:16 PM
Kevin Dame said...

Thanks for the comments everyone.  Some responses:

1.  Sorry about the bug in Rankometer.  The shortstop and third basemen switching positions while running has been corrected.

2.  Reliever rankings have been changed to WPA.  Regarding usage patterns, my goal is to reveal who’s the best pitchers statistically.  So if Bard is pitching better than Papelbon, I want to reflect that.

3.  Not all teams will have a representative positional player.  If the Orioles don’t show at 3B that means they didn’t have someone with enough AB or that player didn’t rank high enough to crack the top 14.  For pitching, it’s a bit different (and inconsistent, I know) in that each team is represented.

Rankometer - still a work in progress!

PS - not sure how to interpret the comment about Sabathia.  Is he the 3rd worst #1 starter in the AL?  If you rank by FIP, then yes!

Posted 09/03  at  11:56 PM
Jason B said...

Kevin -

Thanks for the responses.  I guess when I suggested a “closer vs closer” type comparison (along with “set-up man vs set-up man”) that it made for a ‘truer’ comparison.  That is, you’ve got a 3B compared to a 3B, and a LF compared to a LF, but when it comes to the pen and you’re strictly looking at the two best relievers, you could be comparing a 7th-inning guy versus a closer, which doesn’t really tell you that “team A” has an advantage over “team B” at this position, since the two may not be readily comparable. 

To be consistent, it seems like the comparisons should be all position/usage based (3B vs 3B; 4th SP vs 4th SP; closer vs closer) or all qualitative (NYY best hitter vs TB best hitter; NYY 8th-best hitter vs TB 8th-best hitter; 3rd-best SP vs. 3rd best SP; best RP vs. best RP, etc).  Mixing the two seems confusing.

(In my easily-addled mind anyway!)

Thanks again for your always interesting work and follow-up in the comments section.

Posted 09/07  at  02:18 PM
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