February 10, 2012
Now Available for 2012
THT Essentials:
Now Available
The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2012 , an annual "must buy" for all baseball fans, is now shipping. Read this article to learn more about it .
THT's latest e-book
Third Base: The Crossroads is THT's new e-book, available for $3.99 from the Kindle store . The good news is that anyone can read a Kindle book, even on a PC . So enjoy the best from THT in a new format.
Most Recent Comments
And here's the full roster.
Dish TV Packages options for all televised baseball games.
Or you can search by:
Gear up for baseball season with Chicago White Sox tickets and New York Yankees tickets . LA Angels tickets , Houston Astros tickets , and Atlanta Braves tickets are hot sellers! You can get Boston Red Sox tickets , San Diego Padres tickets or Chicago Cubs tickets for your favorite baseball fan. Coast to Coast Tickets has the best MLB tickets like Minnesota Twins tickets , LA Dodgers tickets , Milwaukee Brewers tickets , New York Met tickets and St. Louis Cardinals tickets .
All content on this site (including text, graphs, and any other original works), unless otherwise noted, is licensed under a
Creative Commons
License .
Part of the USA Today Sports Media Group
Roll mouse over date for entries
S
M
T
W
T
F
S
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
Sunday, October 22, 2006
World Series Probabilities After Game 2
Posted by Jeff Sackmann
Now that the World Series is heading back to St. Louis knotted at one apiece, the Tigers still have an edge--but just barely. Adjusting for league, Detroit has a 59% chance of taking the title; without the adjustment, it's just over 52%. Despite that, the Cardinals have a better shot of winning the series in five games than do the Tigers. Not only do they have home-field advantage for the next three games, but Games 3 and 4 are the games that I pegged as the most likely for them to win.
Here's the complete list of possible outcomes:
DET STL NoAdj LgAdj
WIN LOSE 52.6% 59.1%
LOSE WIN 47.4% 40.9%
4 1 8.8% 11.0%
4 2 22.8% 26.0%
4 3 21.0% 22.1%
3 4 17.8% 16.2%
2 4 13.3% 11.2%
1 4 16.3% 13.5%
Jeff Sackmann is the creator of MinorLeagueSplits.com . With Kent Bonham, he founded CollegeSplits.com . Jeff and Kent blog about college baseball and the draft , and you can follow them on Twitter for bite-sized snacks of minor league and college stats. Jeff also has an email address .
Comments
Leave a comment:
Commenting is not available in this weblog entry.