November 22, 2009
Order Now The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2010 is now in development and will ship in mid November! This year's book will feature articles by THT's staff as well as Bill James, Tom Tango and Craig Wright. If you use this link to purchase the Annual, you will be in the first group to receive it and you'll be supporting THT. Most Recent Comments
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Sunday, October 22, 2006World Series Probabilities After Game 2Posted by Jeff SackmannNow that the World Series is heading back to St. Louis knotted at one apiece, the Tigers still have an edge--but just barely. Adjusting for league, Detroit has a 59% chance of taking the title; without the adjustment, it's just over 52%. Despite that, the Cardinals have a better shot of winning the series in five games than do the Tigers. Not only do they have home-field advantage for the next three games, but Games 3 and 4 are the games that I pegged as the most likely for them to win. Here's the complete list of possible outcomes: DET STL NoAdj LgAdj WIN LOSE 52.6% 59.1% LOSE WIN 47.4% 40.9% 4 1 8.8% 11.0% 4 2 22.8% 26.0% 4 3 21.0% 22.1% 3 4 17.8% 16.2% 2 4 13.3% 11.2% 1 4 16.3% 13.5% Jeff Sackmann is the creator of MinorLeagueSplits.com. With Kent Bonham, he founded CollegeSplits.com, which provides data on amateur baseball to about half of the 30 Major League teams. You can also follow him on Twitter. CommentsLeave a comment:Commenting is not available in this weblog entry. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||