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Monday, November 29, 2004Win Shares AgingPosted by Dave StudemanThe Baseball Crank has done some nice follow-up analysis of his Established Win Shares method by looking at how aging affects Win Shares. Very nice job, and it's interesting that Win Shares follows a fairly typical aging pattern. Thursday, November 25, 2004Happy ThanksgivingPosted by Dave StudemanIt's Thanksgiving Day here in the US of A. We would like to wish you and your family a great holiday, and thank you for dropping by throughout the year. Tuesday, November 23, 2004Miller at MillerPosted by Dave StudemanIt appears the catcher Damian Miller will play for the Brewers at Miller Park next year. He'll reportedly be paid $8.75 million over three years. This is a great deal for the Brewers. Miller was the sixth-best catcher in the AL last year, creating 15 Win Shares/four WSAA. Next year, the Bill James Handbook projects that he'll create 45 runs in 106 games. Those numbers, along with his great catching skills (led the league in fielding Win Shares per 1,000 innings behind the plate) project out to 13 Win Shares and two WSAA. At that rate, believe it or not, a fair market value for Miller next year would be around $6.5 million. The Brewers signed him for $3 million a year. Plus, they got only three Win Shares from their catchers last year, which means this signing could yield nine additional Win Shares, or three wins, compared to last year's catching squad. That is one of the bigger upswings for any one position we will see the entire offseason. Yes, Miller will be 36 years old next year, which is probably what scared teams off. But the Handbook lists his injury risk as medium and I don't believe he spent any time on the DL last year. Nice job by Milwaukee. Friday, November 19, 2004Why Seth Etherton?Posted by Matthew NameeI've been meaning to comment on this for awhile, and I'm sorry it's taken me so long. On November 1, the A's signed minor league free agent Seth Etherton. It was a move that went relatively unnoticed, and where it was noticed, it seems to have been met with confusion. The only two major A's weblogs to have mentioned the deal were Barry Zito Forever (which simply asked "Why?") and Elephants in Oakland (who commented, "The A's added Scott Etherton for some reason, hopefully somebody knows.") Anyway, I'd like to clear up some confusion: It's yet another shrewd move by Billy Beane. Yes, Seth Etherton (not Scott) has a horrible major-league track record -- in 18 career starts, he has a 5.98 ERA and 20 homers allowed in 90.1 innings. But in 26 combined starts between AAA Louisville and AA Chattanooga in 2004, Etherton was brilliant. He posted a magnificent 156-41 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 152.1 innings, and his 3.37 runs per game was 38% better than the league average. He's also only 28, and in my estimation, he is the best minor league free agent pitcher this winter. Will Etherton even make a start for Oakland in 2005? Maybe, maybe not. But he has a chance to be a real diamond in the rough, and Billy Beane was smart to snatch him up before Los Angeles and Boston did -- because they surely would have. New Lahman Database Now AvailablePosted by Robert DudekSean Lahman and friends have been working hard gathering data and have now updated their excellent database through the 2004 season (version 5.2). It's available in various forms, including Access (a relational database program). Access allows you to create statistical queries in a snap and imports and exports data with ease. Wednesday, November 17, 2004Wouldn’t it be Great if this Guy had a Blog?Posted by Dave StudemanRoger Angell has just come out with his annual New Yorker piece (as pointed out by BTF). For years, his annual season summary was something I looked forward to, as the best coverage of the season available anywhere. Now, with all the great writing available on the Internet I have to conclude: he's still just about the best baseball writer anywhere. Read it and enjoy the work of a Master. Monday, November 15, 2004State of the Baseball BlogPosted by Dave StudemanJon Weisman has a wonderful review of the world of baseball blogging on his Dodger Thoughts site. Be sure to check it out. Sunday, November 14, 2004Hardball Times Baseball Annual ErrataPosted by Dave StudemanWell, we found a few mistakes in the Hardball Times Baseball Annual Stats section. If you bought an electronic version of the book, I will work with the lulu.com site to provide you with a corrected version. If you bought the printed version, take a look at the Houston Astros batting section when you receive it. If it says that Lance Berkman had 110 Runs Created last year, you can download this PDF file with the correct stats. If it says he created 124 runs last year, congratulations! You've got the corrected version already. Sorry, folks. Back to the laboratory... Tuesday, November 09, 2004Mr. Selig?Posted by Matthew NameeMike Webber pointed this out to me, wondering if the Commish was the model for "Gilbert Huph." There's more than a little resemblance, I must say. And if anyone hasn't seen The Incredibles yet, you should -- great way to spend a baseball-less evening. Monday, November 08, 2004The 2004 Scouting Report by the Fans for the FansPosted by Dave StudemanOne of our favorite baseball analysts, whose nom de plume is Tangotiger, is once again collecting your feedback for his annual Fielding Scouting Report. Tango's goal is to leverage the power of the Internet and collect information from the average baseball fan who knows a lot about his/her team's fielding strengths and weaknesses. It's sort of like democracy -- if more fans participate, the results are that much more valid. So drop by his site and submit your own scouting reports. It will just take a couple of minutes. World Cup Inches CloserPosted by Craig BurleyThis past Friday significant progress was made in talks between MLB, NPB (Japan's professional league) and KBO (South Korea's professional league) that are aiming to set up a World Cup tournament to be played in 2006. Currently the aim is for a 16-country tournament to be hosted by MLB and the MLBPA. The three parties seem to have surmounted Japanese objections to a spring tournament (which was threatening to keep Japan out). The tournament is not yet finalized, but is tentatively being called the "Super World Cup". It represents a great milestone for fans of global baseball. |
 Baseball NewsFrom USA TodaySheets outduels Peavy as Brewers shut out Padres Ben Sheets pitched a five-hitter for his career-high 13th win and the Milwaukee Brewers beat the San Diego Padres 1-0 on Saturday night. Big Unit scratched from start with sore shoulder Arizona's Randy Johnson, six wins shy of 300 career victories, was scratched from Sunday's start against the Los Angeles Dodgers because of a sore left shoulder. Phillies-Mets, A's-O's postponed by heavy rains The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets will play a day-night doubleheader Sunday after heavy rain washed out Saturday's game between the top teams in the NL East. Mariners' Morrow nearly no-hits Yankees in first big-league start Throwing a nasty curveball that had Yankees hitters flailing all night, Brandon Morrow pitched 7 2/3 hitless innings as the Seattle Mariners beat fading New York 3-1 Friday night. Dodgers take over NL West lead after pounding Diamondbacks The Arizona Diamondbacks gave Manny Ramirez three chances to hurt them Saturday. He came through twice, and that was enough for the streaking Los Angeles Dodgers. Return of Beckett, Lowell fuels Red Sox past Rangers Josh Beckett and Mike Lowell had an immediate impact in their return to the lineup for the AL wild card-leading Boston Red Sox. Beckett struck out seven over five scoreless innings in his first start in nearly three weeks and Lowell came off the disabled list to go 3-for-5 with a homer and four RBI, helping Boston beat the Texas Rangers 8-1 on Friday night. Uribe goes yard twice as White Sox trample Angels Juan Uribe homered twice, Paul Konerko added a solo shot and Mark Buehrle pitched six shutout innings to help the Chicago White Sox beat the Los Angeles Angels 10-2 in a meeting of division leaders on Friday night. Phillies shut out Mets, cut NL East lead to two games Brett Myers buzzed through the New York Mets' lineup, pitching eight dominant innings and leading the Philadelphia Phillies to a 3-0 victory Friday night that cut their NL East deficit to two games. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||