November 8, 2009
Order Now The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2010 is now in development and will ship in mid November! This year's book will feature articles by THT's staff as well as Bill James, Tom Tango and Craig Wright. If you use this link to purchase the Annual, you will be in the first group to receive it and you'll be supporting THT. Most Recent Comments
In the backwater swirling (2)
Ranking Yankee World Champions (3) Twins strike for J.J. Hardy (1) Both sides come out ahead in Teahen swap (9) Rays get something for nothing in Iwamura trade (6) 
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Wednesday, January 26, 2005Marcel is MagnifiqueTangotiger has released his projections for 2005 batting and pitching stats, based on a system he calls "Marcel," because it's so simple that even a monkey could do it (remember Ross and Marcel?). If I recall correctly, Tango basically blends each player's previous experience 5/4/3/2 for hitters, and 3/2/1/2 for pitchers, where the first three components are each of the last 3 years (most recent year first), and the 4th number corresponds to league average. I believe Tango also adds a simple aging factor for each player. You can download the zipped file of Tango's projections. You might also be interested in Dan Szymborski's ZiPS projections, which are also available for download. I have to admit that I don't know how Dan calculates his projections. Sunday, January 23, 2005David Pinto’s Defensive AnalysisLast year, David Pinto published a "probabilistic model of range" -- one of the most sophisticated zone-based analyses of fielding around. Similar to MGL's Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR), it calculates how well each fielder got to balls hit in specific zones, compared to the major league average for each zone. MGL isn't publishing his UZR rankings this year, so it's great that David is publishing his analysis again. Hopefully, this is the first of several tables David will produce. According to David's analysis, the best fielding teams this year were the Cardinals, Red Sox, Cubs and White Sox. You've probably already noticed that the first two teams also happened to make it to the World Series. Head on over to David's blog for more great insight. Sunday, January 16, 2005DIPS Worksheet v2.0I've improved my DIPS worksheets to now include HR, BB & SO Park Factors for every season since 1969, thanks to Retrosheet. Enjoy! Wednesday, January 12, 2005A New Book UpdateWe've created a new addendum to the Hardball Times Annual. This addendum corrects some discrepancies we found in the individual fielding stats. You can download the addendum (as a PDF file) from our Book page. Be sure to periodically drop by the Book Page to check for new updates. Tuesday, January 04, 2005It’s Boggs and SandbergWade Boggs and Ryne Sandberg were elected to the Hall of Fame today, two very deserving inductions. Goose Gossage and Bert Blyleven, two very deserving players, received 55% and 41%, respectively. Jim Rice and Andre Dawson, also good candidates for the Hall, both received over 40% of the vote. For reasons I can't fathom, Bruce Sutter came in third, at 67%. Sutter was obviously a great reliever, and absolutely unhittable in 1977 (maybe the best year I ever witnessed by a reliever). But he pitched only 1,042 innings in his career, with only 168 Win Shares. I don't know if that's the lowest total of any Hall of Famer, but it is close. Let's hope the voters come to their senses by next year. For your edification, I have posted a list of all Hall of Fame players and their Win Shares totals at baseball graphs. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||